The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified FN 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Inputs
Amberline
2x $14.50
Galigator
2x $15.56
Charged Up
2x $10.70
Whiteout
2x $24.80
Derailment
2x $28.75
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
30.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
30.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
13.3% $150.19
Deathgaze
13.3% $39.59
Kintsugi
13.3% $38.44
Max Win
$597.10 (+158.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$297.89 (+28.8%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+94.4%
Cost
$231.33
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $231.33
Ask Price EV $297.89 (+28.8%)
Bid Price EV $262.92 (+13.7%)
Ask Profit $66.56 (+28.8%)
Bid Profit $31.59 (+13.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $34.97 (+15.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$66.56
Bid Slippage Buffer +$31.59
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $597.10 (+158.1%)
Worst Case $38.44 (-83.4%)
Volatility +94.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$214.44
Avg Loss -$155.26
Bottom 5% Outcome $38.44 (-83.4%)
Std Dev $218.27
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 152h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Factory New
$14.50 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Factory New
$15.56 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Factory New
$17.95 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Factory New
$19.98 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
—
Field-Tested
$10.70 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
—
Minimal Wear
$23.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Field-Tested
$24.80 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Field-Tested
$25.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Derailment
—
Minimal Wear
$28.75 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Derailment
—
Factory New
$50.60 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 17S //TOTAL COST $231.33 //ASK PRICE EV $297.89 //BID PRICE EV $262.92 //ASK PROFIT $66.56 (+28.8%) //BID PROFIT $31.59 (+13.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $597.10 //VOLATILITY +94.4% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$597.10
+$365.77
+158.1%
$524.10
+$292.77
+126.6%
$73.00
12.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$294.44
+$63.11
+27.3%
$258.53
+$27.20
+11.8%
$35.91
12.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$150.19
-$81.14
-35.1%
$135.90
-$95.43
-41.3%
$14.29
9.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$39.59
-$191.74
-82.9%
$37.78
-$193.55
-83.7%
$1.81
4.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$38.44
-$192.89
-83.4%
$37.31
-$194.02
-83.9%
$1.13
2.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
"realistic_value": 597.102,
"optimistic_value": 554.78,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
"conservative_value": 524.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:32.488398Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
"realistic_value": 294.4405,
"optimistic_value": 294.43,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
"conservative_value": 258.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:56:36.220092Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 150.193,
"optimistic_value": 149.22,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 135.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:35:42.904333Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 38.437,
"optimistic_value": 38.08,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 37.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:39:51.034546Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 39.5865,
"optimistic_value": 39.38,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 37.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:13.009371Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13260bba61f4575f8c167e6a",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 14.5,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "511864836538367625",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:06.675762Z"
},
{
"price": 15.56,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "490472790738250275",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:12:58.566660Z"
},
{
"price": 17.95,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "521997988016496786",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:12:58.566660Z"
},
{
"price": 19.98,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753221922191313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:06.675762Z"
},
{
"price": 10.7,
"skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
"listing_id": "493850543432341336",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:31.075557Z"
},
{
"price": 23.17,
"skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
"listing_id": "518620288314505252",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:52:42.621551Z"
},
{
"price": 24.8,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "509613142167715971",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:15.564159Z"
},
{
"price": 25.32,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "525375740885109643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:15.564159Z"
},
{
"price": 28.75,
"skin_id": "skin-9fc289ff7b61",
"listing_id": "520872035662683780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Derailment",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9fc289ff7b61.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:57:48.891787Z"
},
{
"price": 50.6,
"skin_id": "skin-9fc289ff7b61",
"listing_id": "500605889841311627",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Derailment",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9fc289ff7b61.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:52:45.422430Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-train-2025:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Hellish 30.0% $64.09 Latte Rush 30.0% $41.81 Crane Flight 13.3% $35.39 Kintsugi 13.3% $9.44 Deathgaze 13.3% $9.01 | $64.09 +72.2% | $38.95 +4.6% | 60.0% | +55.7% | $37.22 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 10.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 10.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 26.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 26.7% $39.59 Kintsugi 26.7% $38.44 | $597.10 +428.7% | $150.01 +32.8% | 46.7% | +149.9% | $112.93 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 25.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 16.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 16.7% $39.59 Kintsugi 16.7% $38.44 | $597.10 +198.9% | $260.92 +30.6% | 50.0% | +108.5% | $199.75 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 5.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 5.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 30.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 30.0% $39.59 Kintsugi 30.0% $38.44 | $597.10 +585.1% | $113.04 +29.7% | 40.0% | +149.9% | $87.15 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 35.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 35.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 10.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 10.0% $39.59 Kintsugi 10.0% $38.44 | $597.10 +123.8% | $334.86 +25.5% | 70.0% | +80.0% | $266.81 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 40.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 40.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 6.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 6.7% $39.59 Kintsugi 6.7% $38.44 | $597.10 +93.2% | $371.83 +20.3% | 40.0% | +65.3% | $309.00 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 45.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 45.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 3.3% $150.19 Deathgaze 3.3% $39.59 Kintsugi 3.3% $38.44 | $597.10 +67.0% | $408.80 +14.3% | 45.0% | +50.9% | $357.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 10.0% $9.68 Charged Up 10.0% $7.43 Derailment 10.0% $7.13 Electrum  14.0% $4.11 Firebreathing  14.0% $2.79 Galigator 14.0% $2.19 | $9.68 +206.3% | $4.18 +32.3% | 44.0% | +76.1% | $3.16 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | LongDog  10.0% $663.30 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $200.36 Fully Tuned  45.0% $183.83 | $663.30 +251.8% | $239.22 +26.9% | 55.0% | +75.1% | $188.55 | — |