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The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6

Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Battle-Scarred -33.5%Factory New +32.0%Field-Tested +9.1%Minimal Wear -9.5%Well-Worn -28.1%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
2x $1.07
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
2x $1.70
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
6x $4.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
30.0% $64.09
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
30.0% $41.81
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $35.39
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $9.44
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $8.93
Max Win
$64.09 (+79.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$38.94 (+9.1%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+58.1%
Cost
$35.70
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $35.70
Ask Price EV $38.94 (+9.1%)
Bid Price EV $36.68 (+2.7%)
Ask Profit $3.24 (+9.1%)
Bid Profit $0.98 (+2.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.26 (+6.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.24
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.98
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $64.09 (+79.5%)
Worst Case $8.93 (-75.0%)
Volatility +58.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.7%
Avg Win +$17.25
Avg Loss -$17.78
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.93 (-75.0%)
Std Dev $20.74
Avg Norm Float 0.3771
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 153h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$1.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$1.70 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$1.87 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)
$4.07 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)
$4.62 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.24 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.33 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 15M 47S //TOTAL COST $35.70 //ASK PRICE EV $38.94 //BID PRICE EV $36.68 //ASK PROFIT $3.24 (+9.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.98 (+2.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $64.09 //VOLATILITY +58.1% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.37706,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
      "realistic_value": 64.08749999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 64.07,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
      "conservative_value": 58.73,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:54.419332Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.37706,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
      "realistic_value": 41.812000000000005,
      "optimistic_value": 41.7,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
      "conservative_value": 41.1,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:17.095459Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.37706,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 35.3885,
      "optimistic_value": 35,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 32.98,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:07:39.352821Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.37706,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 9.44,
      "optimistic_value": 9.23,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 8.77,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:06.545022Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.37706,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 8.928,
      "optimistic_value": 8.76,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.71,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:04.258349Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_13260bba61f4575f8c167e6a",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.07,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "510739041954124402",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:22.218260Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.29,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "509613142168430751",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:22.404066Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.7,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "510739041954762826",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:17:49.700043Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.87,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "497228243055853289",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:17:49.700043Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.07,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "494976443342665338",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.599108Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.62,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "499480042828613377",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.599108Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "498354142900695235",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.24,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "493850543432321104",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "512990789045304815",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "516368436281855942",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-train-2025:6"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
30.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
30.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $38.82
$597.10
+164.5%
$297.94
+32.0%
60.0%+96.6%$225.79—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
35.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
35.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $38.82
$597.10
+127.9%
$334.90
+27.8%
70.0%+81.4%$261.99—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
5.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
5.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $38.44
$597.10
+571.7%
$113.04
+27.2%
40.0%+147.0%$88.89—
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
40.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
40.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
6.7% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
6.7% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
6.7% $38.82
$597.10
+96.8%
$371.86
+22.6%
40.0%+66.5%$303.37—
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
45.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
45.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
3.3% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
3.3% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
3.3% $38.44
$597.10
+70.5%
$408.80
+16.7%
45.0%+52.0%$350.17—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear
LongDog
AWP | LongDog
10.0% $663.30
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $200.36
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $183.83
$663.30
+252.7%
$239.22
+27.2%
55.0%+75.3%$188.06—
FS

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