The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified BS 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Amberline
4x $1.04
Whiteout
6x $4.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
30.0% $29.52
Latte Rush
30.0% $28.42
Crane Flight
13.3% $27.86
Kintsugi
13.3% $6.64
Deathgaze
13.3% $5.91
Max Win
$29.52 (-13.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$22.77 (-33.5%)
Win %
0.0%
Volatility
+29.1%
Cost
$34.22
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $34.22
Ask Price EV $22.77 (-33.5%)
Bid Price EV $21.62 (-36.8%)
Ask Profit $-11.45 (-33.5%)
Bid Profit $-12.60 (-36.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.15 (+3.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$11.45
Bid Slippage Buffer -$12.60
Risk
Win Probability 0.00%
Loss Probability 100.0%
Best Case $29.52 (-13.7%)
Worst Case $5.91 (-82.7%)
Volatility +29.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.7%
Avg Win —
Avg Loss -$11.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.91 (-82.7%)
Std Dev $9.96
Avg Norm Float 0.4911
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 153h 32m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.06 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.07 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.62 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.24 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.33 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 15M 45S //TOTAL COST $34.22 //ASK PRICE EV $22.77 //BID PRICE EV $21.62 //ASK PROFIT $-11.45 (-33.5%) //BID PROFIT $-12.60 (-36.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 0.0% //BEST CASE $29.52 //VOLATILITY +29.1% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
LOSS
30.0%
$29.52
-$4.70
-13.7%
$27.51
-$6.71
-19.6%
$2.01
6.8%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$28.42
-$5.80
-16.9%
$27.11
-$7.11
-20.8%
$1.31
4.6%
—
LOSS
13.3%
$27.86
-$6.36
-18.6%
$27.41
-$6.81
-19.9%
$0.45
1.6%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$6.64
-$27.58
-80.6%
$6.12
-$28.10
-82.1%
$0.52
7.9%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$5.91
-$28.31
-82.7%
$5.71
-$28.51
-83.3%
$0.20
3.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.49107,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
"realistic_value": 29.522,
"optimistic_value": 29.06,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
"conservative_value": 27.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T17:55:41.551465Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.49107,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
"realistic_value": 28.421499999999998,
"optimistic_value": 28.11,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
"conservative_value": 27.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:40.894592Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.49107,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 27.857,
"optimistic_value": 27.5,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 27.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:10.479436Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.49107,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 6.6445,
"optimistic_value": 6.62,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:53.693072Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.49107,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 5.914,
"optimistic_value": 5.83,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 5.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:01.862995Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_13260bba61f4575f8c167e6a",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.04,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "520872141038402112",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:22.218260Z"
},
{
"price": 1.06,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375740885759875",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:22.218260Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "510739041954124402",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:22.218260Z"
},
{
"price": 1.28,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "527627540538357428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:22.404066Z"
},
{
"price": 4.07,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "494976443342665338",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.599108Z"
},
{
"price": 4.62,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "499480042828613377",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.599108Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "498354142900695235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
},
{
"price": 5.24,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "493850543432321104",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
},
{
"price": 5.33,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "512990789045304815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
},
{
"price": 5.34,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "516368436281855942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-train-2025:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 30.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 30.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 13.3% $150.19 Deathgaze 13.3% $39.59 Kintsugi 13.3% $38.82 | $597.10 +164.5% | $297.94 +32.0% | 60.0% | +96.6% | $225.79 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Hellish 30.0% $64.09 Latte Rush 30.0% $41.81 Crane Flight 13.3% $35.39 Kintsugi 13.3% $9.44 Deathgaze 13.3% $8.93 | $64.09 +79.5% | $38.94 +9.1% | 60.0% | +58.1% | $35.70 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 35.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 35.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 10.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 10.0% $39.59 Kintsugi 10.0% $38.82 | $597.10 +127.9% | $334.90 +27.8% | 70.0% | +81.4% | $261.99 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 5.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 5.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 30.0% $150.19 Deathgaze 30.0% $39.59 Kintsugi 30.0% $38.44 | $597.10 +571.7% | $113.04 +27.2% | 40.0% | +147.0% | $88.89 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 40.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 40.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 6.7% $150.19 Deathgaze 6.7% $39.59 Kintsugi 6.7% $38.82 | $597.10 +96.8% | $371.86 +22.6% | 40.0% | +66.5% | $303.37 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 45.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 45.0% $294.44 Crane Flight 3.3% $150.19 Deathgaze 3.3% $39.59 Kintsugi 3.3% $38.44 | $597.10 +70.5% | $408.80 +16.7% | 45.0% | +52.0% | $350.17 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | LongDog  10.0% $663.30 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $200.36 Fully Tuned  45.0% $183.83 | $663.30 +252.7% | $239.22 +27.2% | 55.0% | +75.3% | $188.06 | — |