← Results

The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6

Restricted → Classified WW 10 items
Battle-Scarred -33.5%Factory New +32.0%Field-Tested +9.1%Minimal Wear -9.5%Well-Worn -28.1%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn
Inputs
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
4x $1.06
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
6x $4.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
30.0% $33.69
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
30.0% $28.90
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $28.87
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $8.04
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $8.03
Max Win
$33.69 (-2.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$24.77 (-28.1%)
Win %
0.0%
Volatility
+29.9%
Cost
$34.47
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $34.47
Ask Price EV $24.77 (-28.1%)
Bid Price EV $23.97 (-30.5%)
Ask Profit $-9.70 (-28.1%)
Bid Profit $-10.50 (-30.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.80 (+2.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$9.70
Bid Slippage Buffer -$10.50
Risk
Win Probability 0.00%
Loss Probability 100.0%
Best Case $33.69 (-2.3%)
Worst Case $8.03 (-76.7%)
Volatility +29.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.7%
Avg Win —
Avg Loss -$9.70
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.03 (-76.7%)
Std Dev $10.29
Avg Norm Float 0.4369
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 153h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$1.06 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$1.29 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)
$4.07 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)
$4.62 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.24 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.33 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)
$5.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 15M 46S //TOTAL COST $34.47 //ASK PRICE EV $24.77 //BID PRICE EV $23.97 //ASK PROFIT $-9.70 (-28.1%) //BID PROFIT $-10.50 (-30.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 0.0% //BEST CASE $33.69 //VOLATILITY +29.9% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.43694,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
      "realistic_value": 33.688,
      "optimistic_value": 33.52,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
      "conservative_value": 31.58,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T07:35:36.378479Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.43694,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
      "realistic_value": 28.897,
      "optimistic_value": 28.82,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
      "conservative_value": 28.7,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:51:19.457202Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.43694,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 28.8675,
      "optimistic_value": 28.64,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 28.15,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:08:26.391960Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.43694,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 8.041,
      "optimistic_value": 8.02,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 8,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:13.291579Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.43694,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 8.0275,
      "optimistic_value": 8.01,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 7.98,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:05.378602Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_13260bba61f4575f8c167e6a",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.06,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375740885759875",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:22.218260Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.07,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "510739041954124402",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:22.218260Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.28,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "527627540538357428",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:22.404066Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.29,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "509613142168430751",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:22.404066Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.07,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "494976443342665338",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.599108Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.62,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "499480042828613377",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:27.599108Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "498354142900695235",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.24,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "493850543432321104",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "512990789045304815",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "listing_id": "516368436281855942",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:26.197099Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:4+collection-set-train-2025:6"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
30.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
30.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $38.82
$597.10
+164.5%
$297.94
+32.0%
60.0%+96.6%$225.79—
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
30.0% $64.09
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
30.0% $41.81
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $35.39
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $9.44
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $8.93
$64.09
+79.5%
$38.94
+9.1%
60.0%+58.1%$35.70—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
35.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
35.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $38.82
$597.10
+127.9%
$334.90
+27.8%
70.0%+81.4%$261.99—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
5.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
5.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $38.44
$597.10
+571.7%
$113.04
+27.2%
40.0%+147.0%$88.89—
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
40.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
40.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
6.7% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
6.7% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
6.7% $38.82
$597.10
+96.8%
$371.86
+22.6%
40.0%+66.5%$303.37—
The Dead Hand Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
45.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
45.0% $294.44
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
3.3% $150.19
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
3.3% $39.59
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
3.3% $38.44
$597.10
+70.5%
$408.80
+16.7%
45.0%+52.0%$350.17—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear
LongDog
AWP | LongDog
10.0% $663.30
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $200.36
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $183.83
$663.30
+252.7%
$239.22
+27.2%
55.0%+75.3%$188.06—
FS

TradeUps

Market intelligence and contract tracking for Counter-Strike 2.

TRADEUPS.ORG

support@tradeups.org

© 2026 TradeUps. All rights reserved.

TradeUps is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. We provide analytics and market data only, and do not sell, broker, custody, or transfer Counter-Strike 2 virtual items.