The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Bronze Deco
2x $2.70
Aeolian Light
3x $0.94
The Daily Deagle
3x $1.23
Creep
1x $1.43
Grip Tape
1x $2.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
40.0% $26.93
Heat
5.0% $24.03
Pole Position
5.0% $16.79
Trace Lock
40.0% $14.65
Worm God
5.0% $8.18
Grand Prix
5.0% $2.20
Max Win
$26.93 (+11.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$19.19 (-20.6%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+30.4%
Cost
$24.17
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.17
Ask Price EV $19.19 (-20.6%)
Bid Price EV $18.41 (-23.8%)
Ask Profit $-4.98 (-20.6%)
Bid Profit $-5.76 (-23.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.78 (+3.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$4.98
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.76
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $26.93 (+11.4%)
Worst Case $2.20 (-90.9%)
Volatility +30.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 55.0%
Avg Win +$2.76
Avg Loss -$10.14
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.20 (-90.9%)
Std Dev $7.36
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 10h 35m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco
—
Factory New
$2.70 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco
—
Factory New
$3.75 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.23 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$2.11 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$3.00 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$4.99 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 48M 42S //TOTAL COST $24.17 //ASK PRICE EV $19.19 //BID PRICE EV $18.41 //ASK PROFIT $-4.98 (-20.6%) //BID PROFIT $-5.76 (-23.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $26.93 //VOLATILITY +30.4% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
SMALL WIN
40.0%
$26.93
+$2.76
+11.4%
$26.63
+$2.46
+10.2%
$0.30
1.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$24.03
-$0.14
-0.6%
$23.25
-$0.92
-3.8%
$0.77
3.2%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$16.79
-$7.38
-30.5%
$16.65
-$7.52
-31.1%
$0.14
0.8%
—
LOSS
40.0%
$14.65
-$9.52
-39.4%
$13.16
-$11.01
-45.6%
$1.49
10.2%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$8.18
-$15.99
-66.2%
$8.00
-$16.17
-66.9%
$0.18
2.2%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$2.20
-$21.97
-90.9%
$2.00
-$22.17
-91.7%
$0.20
9.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.052320000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 26.926499999999997,
"optimistic_value": 26.72,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 26.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:41:55.655672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.048832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 14.647,
"optimistic_value": 14.64,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 13.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:52.373111Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.031392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97e27944006",
"realistic_value": 8.1805,
"optimistic_value": 8.17,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Worm God",
"conservative_value": 8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Worm God (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:23.247862Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97e27944006.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.048832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"realistic_value": 16.79,
"optimistic_value": 16.72,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"conservative_value": 16.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:43.936996Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"realistic_value": 24.025,
"optimistic_value": 23.99,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"conservative_value": 23.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:23.948537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.256976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"realistic_value": 2.201,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:00.971098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fea7a76f83bf0644056f7e17",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.7,
"skin_id": "skin-7698ea25d00a",
"listing_id": "492724590626414385",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7698ea25d00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:17.882745Z"
},
{
"price": 3.75,
"skin_id": "skin-7698ea25d00a",
"listing_id": "520872035663869944",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7698ea25d00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:17.882745Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "518620288313427412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 1.23,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "499479193126471981",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:28.134701Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "507361289453312365",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:58.037878Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "516368541588481562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.432497Z"
},
{
"price": 2.11,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "510738989040662074",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.432497Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "519746241188615516",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:55:49.033788Z"
},
{
"price": 3,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "506235389469302484",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:53:02.133180Z"
},
{
"price": 4.99,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "658230515405375198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:53:02.133180Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.28 Worm God 5.0% $4.27 Pole Position 5.0% $3.11 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Heat 5.0% $2.20 | $12.25 +106.5% | $7.20 +21.4% | 40.0% | +70.3% | $5.93 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 40.0% $26.93 Pole Position 5.0% $16.79 Trace Lock 40.0% $14.65 Worm God 5.0% $8.18 Heat 5.0% $3.47 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 | $26.93 +73.7% | $18.16 +17.2% | 45.0% | +51.7% | $15.50 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Worm God 5.0% $3.43 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.19 Pole Position 5.0% $2.13 Heat 5.0% $1.85 | $5.85 +80.6% | $3.70 +14.1% | 45.0% | +55.0% | $3.24 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Worm God 5.0% $3.43 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.19 Pole Position 5.0% $2.13 Heat 5.0% $1.86 | $5.85 +77.3% | $3.70 +12.0% | 45.0% | +54.0% | $3.30 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.28 Worm God 2.5% $4.27 Pole Position 2.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 2.5% $2.20 Heat 2.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +92.5% | $7.73 +21.5% | 45.0% | +64.6% | $6.36 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Worm God 7.5% $4.27 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.22 Pole Position 7.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 7.5% $2.20 Heat 7.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +117.5% | $6.65 +18.1% | 35.0% | +74.0% | $5.63 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.29 Worm God 10.0% $4.27 Pole Position 10.0% $3.11 Grand Prix 10.0% $2.20 Heat 10.0% $2.14 | $12.25 +128.0% | $6.13 +14.2% | 30.0% | +75.9% | $5.37 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.29 Worm God 12.5% $4.27 Pole Position 12.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 12.5% $2.20 Heat 12.5% $2.14 | $12.25 +143.4% | $5.60 +11.3% | 25.0% | +78.0% | $5.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Achroma Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco  30.0% $224.09 Djinn  30.0% $166.29 The End  10.0% $159.10 Monkey Business  30.0% $118.12 | $224.09 +40.3% | $168.46 +5.5% | 60.0% | +25.8% | $159.70 | — |