The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Valence
2x $0.32
Aeolian Light
4x $0.26
Creep
2x $0.28
The Daily Deagle
2x $0.37
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
40.0% $6.12
Worm God
5.0% $3.43
Trace Lock
40.0% $2.18
Grand Prix
5.0% $2.17
Pole Position
5.0% $2.13
Heat
5.0% $1.85
Max Win
$6.12 (+60.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.80 (-0.3%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+50.2%
Cost
$3.81
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.81
Ask Price EV $3.80 (-0.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.43 (-9.9%)
Ask Profit $-0.01 (-0.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.38 (-9.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+9.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.01
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.38
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $6.12 (+60.5%)
Worst Case $1.85 (-51.4%)
Volatility +50.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 55.0%
Avg Win +$2.31
Avg Loss -$1.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.85 (-51.4%)
Std Dev $1.91
Avg Norm Float 0.5285
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 148h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Valence
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Valence
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 51M 47S //TOTAL COST $3.81 //ASK PRICE EV $3.80 //BID PRICE EV $3.43 //ASK PROFIT $-0.01 (-0.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.38 (-9.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $6.12 //VOLATILITY +50.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
40.0%
$6.12
+$2.31
+60.5%
$5.33
+$1.52
+39.9%
$0.79
12.9%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$3.43
-$0.38
-9.9%
$3.31
-$0.50
-13.1%
$0.12
3.5%
—
NUKE
40.0%
$2.18
-$1.63
-42.7%
$2.13
-$1.68
-44.1%
$0.05
2.5%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$2.17
-$1.64
-43.1%
$2.00
-$1.81
-47.5%
$0.17
7.8%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$2.13
-$1.68
-44.0%
$2.00
-$1.81
-47.5%
$0.13
6.3%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$1.85
-$1.96
-51.4%
$1.63
-$2.18
-57.2%
$0.22
11.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.39639750000000007,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 6.1165,
"optimistic_value": 5.91,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 5.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:45:27.628648Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.369971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 2.1835,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:04.150349Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.23783850000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97e27944006",
"realistic_value": 3.4315,
"optimistic_value": 3.4,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Worm God",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:34.409839Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97e27944006.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.369971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"realistic_value": 2.1335,
"optimistic_value": 2.13,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:17.132051Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.52853,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"realistic_value": 1.85,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"conservative_value": 1.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:00:59.689607Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.302853,
"output_skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"realistic_value": 2.1685,
"optimistic_value": 2.13,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:30.673880Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fea7a76f83bf0644056f7e17",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-4b8851edb204",
"listing_id": "503983589619610327",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Valence",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4b8851edb204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:41.868543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-4b8851edb204",
"listing_id": "492724538182205073",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Valence",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4b8851edb204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:41.868543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "511864941881349645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:03.278386Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "529879287550318068",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:03.278386Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "514116688950863706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:06.821461Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "508487136896542430",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:06.821461Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "500605942755268019",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:15.920587Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "500605942755240839",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:54.063861Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "606438509297863277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:54.063861Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "518620122757210468",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:15.920587Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 40.0% $26.93 Pole Position 5.0% $16.79 Trace Lock 40.0% $14.65 Worm God 5.0% $8.18 Heat 5.0% $3.47 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.17 | $26.93 +69.5% | $18.16 +14.3% | 45.0% | +50.5% | $15.89 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.28 Worm God 5.0% $4.27 Pole Position 5.0% $3.11 Heat 5.0% $2.18 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.17 | $12.25 +90.7% | $7.20 +12.1% | 40.0% | +64.9% | $6.42 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 45.0% $26.93 Pole Position 2.5% $16.79 Trace Lock 45.0% $14.65 Worm God 2.5% $8.18 Heat 2.5% $3.47 Grand Prix 2.5% $2.17 | $26.93 +59.0% | $19.48 +15.0% | 45.0% | +42.9% | $16.94 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Worm God 10.0% $4.27 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.26 Pole Position 10.0% $3.11 Heat 10.0% $2.21 Grand Prix 10.0% $2.20 | $12.25 +123.4% | $6.13 +11.9% | 30.0% | +74.3% | $5.48 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.28 Worm God 12.5% $4.27 Pole Position 12.5% $3.11 Heat 12.5% $2.21 Grand Prix 12.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +132.4% | $5.61 +6.4% | 25.0% | +74.3% | $5.27 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Achroma Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco  30.0% $224.09 Djinn  30.0% $166.29 The End  10.0% $159.10 Monkey Business  30.0% $118.12 | $224.09 +40.3% | $168.46 +5.5% | 60.0% | +25.8% | $159.70 | — |