The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Bronze Deco
1x $0.34
Valence
1x $0.38
Aeolian Light
3x $0.26
Creep
1x $0.28
The Daily Deagle
3x $0.34
Grip Tape
1x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
40.0% $5.85
Worm God
5.0% $3.43
Grand Prix
5.0% $2.20
Trace Lock
40.0% $2.19
Pole Position
5.0% $2.13
Heat
5.0% $1.86
Max Win
$5.85 (+77.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.70 (+12.0%)
Win %
45.0%
Volatility
+54.0%
Cost
$3.30
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $3.30
Ask Price EV $3.70 (+12.0%)
Bid Price EV $3.27 (-1.0%)
Ask Profit $0.40 (+12.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.03 (-1.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.43 (+13.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.40
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.03
Risk
Win Probability 45.0%
Loss Probability 55.0%
Best Case $5.85 (+77.3%)
Worst Case $1.86 (-43.7%)
Volatility +54.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 55.0%
Avg Win +$2.28
Avg Loss -$1.15
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.86 (-43.7%)
Std Dev $1.78
Avg Norm Float 0.4453
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 148h 56m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Valence
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 18S //TOTAL COST $3.30 //ASK PRICE EV $3.70 //BID PRICE EV $3.27 //ASK PROFIT $0.40 (+12.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.03 (-1.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 45.0% //BEST CASE $5.85 //VOLATILITY +54.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
40.0%
$5.85
+$2.55
+77.3%
$4.91
+$1.61
+48.8%
$0.94
16.1%
—
SMALL WIN
5.0%
$3.43
+$0.13
+4.0%
$3.31
+$0.01
+0.3%
$0.12
3.5%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$2.20
-$1.10
-33.3%
$2.00
-$1.30
-39.4%
$0.20
9.1%
—
LOSS
40.0%
$2.19
-$1.11
-33.7%
$2.13
-$1.17
-35.5%
$0.06
2.6%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$2.13
-$1.17
-35.5%
$2.00
-$1.30
-39.4%
$0.13
6.1%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$1.86
-$1.44
-43.7%
$1.73
-$1.57
-47.6%
$0.13
6.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.33396750000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 5.850499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.253669Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.311703,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 2.1870000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:58.345446Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.20038050000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97e27944006",
"realistic_value": 3.4315,
"optimistic_value": 3.4,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Worm God",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:34.409839Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97e27944006.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.311703,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"realistic_value": 2.13,
"optimistic_value": 2.13,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:48.400569Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.44529,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"realistic_value": 1.857,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"conservative_value": 1.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:55:43.875686Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.294529,
"output_skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"realistic_value": 2.201,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:00.971098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fea7a76f83bf0644056f7e17",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-7698ea25d00a",
"listing_id": "503983642532463427",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7698ea25d00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:16.500713Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-4b8851edb204",
"listing_id": "516368541588413702",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Valence (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Valence",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4b8851edb204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:09.354402Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "511864941881349645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:25.892994Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "529879287550318068",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:25.892994Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "514116688950863706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:05.951951Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "499480042827724717",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:31.184941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "505109542379650448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:31.184941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "520872141037641288",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:31.184941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "491598743580262862",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:40.087635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "493850543431854508",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:18.506095Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.28 Worm God 5.0% $4.27 Pole Position 5.0% $3.11 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Heat 5.0% $2.20 | $12.25 +106.5% | $7.20 +21.4% | 40.0% | +70.3% | $5.93 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 40.0% $26.93 Pole Position 5.0% $16.79 Trace Lock 40.0% $14.65 Worm God 5.0% $8.18 Heat 5.0% $3.47 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 | $26.93 +73.7% | $18.16 +17.2% | 45.0% | +51.7% | $15.50 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Worm God 5.0% $3.43 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.19 Pole Position 5.0% $2.13 Heat 5.0% $1.85 | $5.85 +80.6% | $3.70 +14.1% | 45.0% | +55.0% | $3.24 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Worm God 2.5% $4.27 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.22 Pole Position 2.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 2.5% $2.20 Heat 2.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +94.4% | $7.70 +22.3% | 45.0% | +65.6% | $6.30 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Worm God 7.5% $4.27 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.22 Pole Position 7.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 7.5% $2.20 Heat 7.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +117.5% | $6.65 +18.1% | 35.0% | +74.0% | $5.63 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.29 Worm God 10.0% $4.27 Pole Position 10.0% $3.11 Grand Prix 10.0% $2.20 Heat 10.0% $2.14 | $12.25 +128.0% | $6.13 +14.2% | 30.0% | +75.9% | $5.37 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.29 Worm God 12.5% $4.27 Pole Position 12.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 12.5% $2.20 Heat 12.5% $2.14 | $12.25 +143.4% | $5.60 +11.3% | 25.0% | +78.0% | $5.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Achroma Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco  30.0% $224.09 Djinn  30.0% $166.29 The End  10.0% $159.10 Monkey Business  30.0% $118.12 | $224.09 +40.3% | $168.46 +5.5% | 60.0% | +25.8% | $159.70 | — |