The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Man-o'-war
2x $0.59
The Daily Deagle
1x $0.36
Aeolian Light
5x $0.36
Grip Tape
2x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
40.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
40.0% $4.28
Worm God
5.0% $4.27
Pole Position
5.0% $3.11
Grand Prix
5.0% $2.20
Heat
5.0% $2.20
Max Win
$12.25 (+106.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.20 (+21.4%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+70.3%
Cost
$5.93
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.93
Ask Price EV $7.20 (+21.4%)
Bid Price EV $6.75 (+13.9%)
Ask Profit $1.27 (+21.4%)
Bid Profit $0.82 (+13.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.44 (+7.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.27
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.82
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+106.5%)
Worst Case $2.20 (-63.0%)
Volatility +70.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$6.32
Avg Loss -$2.10
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.20 (-63.0%)
Std Dev $4.17
Avg Norm Float 0.1998
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 149h 13m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Negev | Man-o'-war
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Man-o'-war
—
Minimal Wear
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 28S //TOTAL COST $5.93 //ASK PRICE EV $7.20 //BID PRICE EV $6.75 //ASK PROFIT $1.27 (+21.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.82 (+13.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +70.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
40.0%
$12.25
+$6.32
+106.5%
$11.36
+$5.43
+91.6%
$0.89
7.2%
—
LOSS
40.0%
$4.28
-$1.65
-27.9%
$4.16
-$1.77
-29.8%
$0.12
2.8%
—
LOSS
5.0%
$4.27
-$1.66
-28.1%
$3.88
-$2.05
-34.6%
$0.39
9.0%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$3.11
-$2.82
-47.5%
$3.08
-$2.85
-48.1%
$0.03
1.1%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$2.20
-$3.73
-62.9%
$2.00
-$3.93
-66.3%
$0.20
9.1%
—
NUKE
5.0%
$2.20
-$3.73
-63.0%
$1.95
-$3.98
-67.1%
$0.25
11.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.14987999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.13988799999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.278,
"optimistic_value": 4.25,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:49.525526Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.089928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97e27944006",
"realistic_value": 4.266,
"optimistic_value": 4.07,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Worm God",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:50.637884Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97e27944006.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.13988799999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"realistic_value": 3.114,
"optimistic_value": 3.1,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:49.361903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.19984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"realistic_value": 2.197,
"optimistic_value": 2.19,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"conservative_value": 1.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:17.074848Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.269984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"realistic_value": 2.201,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:00.971098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_fea7a76f83bf0644056f7e17",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-fd5699e808a0",
"listing_id": "491598690700234922",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Man-o'-war",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fd5699e808a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:07.544606Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-fd5699e808a0",
"listing_id": "492724590627115593",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Man-o'-war",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fd5699e808a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:07.544606Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "520872141037641288",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:31.184941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "491598743580262862",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:40.087635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "493850543431854508",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:18.506095Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "516368541588469934",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "524249840858848503",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "507361342333880845",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "500605889842133939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "521998040962328694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:33.808326Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 40.0% $26.93 Pole Position 5.0% $16.79 Trace Lock 40.0% $14.65 Worm God 5.0% $8.18 Heat 5.0% $3.47 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 | $26.93 +73.7% | $18.16 +17.2% | 45.0% | +51.7% | $15.50 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Worm God 5.0% $3.43 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.19 Pole Position 5.0% $2.13 Heat 5.0% $1.85 | $5.85 +80.6% | $3.70 +14.1% | 45.0% | +55.0% | $3.24 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Worm God 5.0% $3.43 Grand Prix 5.0% $2.20 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.19 Pole Position 5.0% $2.13 Heat 5.0% $1.86 | $5.85 +77.3% | $3.70 +12.0% | 45.0% | +54.0% | $3.30 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.28 Worm God 2.5% $4.27 Pole Position 2.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 2.5% $2.20 Heat 2.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +92.5% | $7.73 +21.5% | 45.0% | +64.6% | $6.36 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Worm God 7.5% $4.27 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.22 Pole Position 7.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 7.5% $2.20 Heat 7.5% $2.20 | $12.25 +117.5% | $6.65 +18.1% | 35.0% | +74.0% | $5.63 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.29 Worm God 10.0% $4.27 Pole Position 10.0% $3.11 Grand Prix 10.0% $2.20 Heat 10.0% $2.14 | $12.25 +128.0% | $6.13 +14.2% | 30.0% | +75.9% | $5.37 | — |
The Chroma 2 Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 25.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 25.0% $4.29 Worm God 12.5% $4.27 Pole Position 12.5% $3.11 Grand Prix 12.5% $2.20 Heat 12.5% $2.14 | $12.25 +143.4% | $5.60 +11.3% | 25.0% | +78.0% | $5.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Achroma Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco  30.0% $224.09 Djinn  30.0% $166.29 The End  10.0% $159.10 Monkey Business  30.0% $118.12 | $224.09 +40.3% | $168.46 +5.5% | 60.0% | +25.8% | $159.70 | — |