The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Enforcer
2x $1.19
Amberline
8x $1.93
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $45.29
Phantom Disruptor
6.7% $21.16
Disco Tech
6.7% $9.96
Deathgaze
26.7% $9.96
Justice
6.7% $8.22
Kintsugi
26.7% $8.19
Max Win
$45.29 (+117.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$19.54 (-6.3%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+75.9%
Cost
$20.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.85
Ask Price EV $19.54 (-6.3%)
Bid Price EV $17.92 (-14.0%)
Ask Profit $-1.31 (-6.3%)
Bid Profit $-2.93 (-14.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.61 (+7.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.31
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.93
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+117.2%)
Worst Case $8.19 (-60.7%)
Volatility +75.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$19.61
Avg Loss -$11.78
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.19 (-60.7%)
Std Dev $15.83
Avg Norm Float 0.4488
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 151h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Enforcer
—
Well-Worn
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Enforcer
—
Field-Tested
$1.69 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.25 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.89 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 47S //TOTAL COST $20.85 //ASK PRICE EV $19.54 //BID PRICE EV $17.92 //ASK PROFIT $-1.31 (-6.3%) //BID PROFIT $-2.93 (-14.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +75.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$45.29
+$24.44
+117.2%
$41.72
+$20.87
+100.1%
$3.56
7.9%
—
PAPER WIN
6.7%
$21.16
+$0.31
+1.5%
$19.67
-$1.18
-5.7%
$1.48
7.0%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$9.96
-$10.89
-52.2%
$9.81
-$11.04
-52.9%
$0.15
1.5%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$9.96
-$10.89
-52.3%
$8.44
-$12.41
-59.5%
$1.52
15.2%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$8.22
-$12.63
-60.6%
$8.01
-$12.84
-61.6%
$0.21
2.5%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$8.19
-$12.66
-60.7%
$7.68
-$13.17
-63.2%
$0.51
6.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.44877,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.44877,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 8.1855,
"optimistic_value": 7.86,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.44877,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 9.9555,
"optimistic_value": 9.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:34.243637Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.29170050000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45686ca4a063",
"realistic_value": 21.155,
"optimistic_value": 20.7,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor",
"conservative_value": 19.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:05.380148Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45686ca4a063.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.44877,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f5a050fa5280",
"realistic_value": 9.963500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 9.96,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Disco Tech",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:30.878552Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f5a050fa5280.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.44877,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a71a424b6eb1",
"realistic_value": 8.2155,
"optimistic_value": 8.1,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Justice",
"conservative_value": 8.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:25.173918Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a71a424b6eb1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f22afff1142a8d45e750fad9",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"listing_id": "499479989896232329",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Well-Worn)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:48:20.178159Z"
},
{
"price": 1.69,
"skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"listing_id": "521997822480327990",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:54.266840Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "494976443342376942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "509613142168009803",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.533217Z"
},
{
"price": 2.25,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "521998040962768254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.533217Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.533217Z"
},
{
"price": 2.89,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724590627303729",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:18.553887Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Disco Tech 6.7% $95.25 Justice 6.7% $72.97 Kintsugi 26.7% $60.46 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $57.67 | $290.04 +199.2% | $124.15 +28.1% | 26.7% | +103.6% | $96.95 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 6.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.23 Justice 6.7% $10.32 | $63.86 +188.0% | $26.42 +19.2% | 26.7% | +102.4% | $22.17 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $30.48 Disco Tech 6.7% $25.96 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.53 Justice 6.7% $19.34 | $126.41 +184.3% | $50.34 +13.2% | 26.7% | +103.3% | $44.46 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 3.3% $95.25 Justice 3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +189.3% | $130.26 +29.9% | 30.0% | +104.6% | $100.26 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Disco Tech 10.0% $95.25 Justice 10.0% $72.97 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 10.0% $57.67 | $290.04 +206.1% | $118.04 +24.6% | 33.3% | +100.8% | $94.74 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 13.3% $95.25 Justice 13.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 13.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +212.7% | $111.94 +20.7% | 33.3% | +96.9% | $92.76 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 20.0% $21.16 Disco Tech 20.0% $13.93 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.23 Justice 20.0% $10.32 | $63.86 +265.5% | $20.78 +18.9% | 33.3% | +99.1% | $17.47 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 16.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 16.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.23 Justice 16.7% $10.32 | $63.86 +242.0% | $22.19 +18.9% | 33.3% | +101.6% | $18.67 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream  2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched  2.0% $17.96 Galigator  18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +165.5% | $24.89 +28.9% | 36.0% | +65.7% | $19.31 | — |