The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Enforcer
2x $3.24
Urban Sovereign
5x $2.88
Galigator
2x $4.06
Amberline
1x $6.18
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Phantom Disruptor
6.7% $30.48
Disco Tech
6.7% $25.96
Kintsugi
26.7% $22.09
Deathgaze
26.7% $20.93
Justice
6.7% $19.34
Max Win
$126.41 (+185.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$50.23 (+13.6%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+104.0%
Cost
$44.22
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $44.22
Ask Price EV $50.23 (+13.6%)
Bid Price EV $45.21 (+2.2%)
Ask Profit $6.01 (+13.6%)
Bid Profit $0.99 (+2.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.03 (+11.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$6.01
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.99
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+185.9%)
Worst Case $19.34 (-56.3%)
Volatility +104.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$82.19
Avg Loss -$21.69
Bottom 5% Outcome $19.34 (-56.3%)
Std Dev $46.01
Avg Norm Float 0.1489
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 151h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Enforcer
—
Minimal Wear
$3.24 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Enforcer
—
Minimal Wear
$3.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$2.88 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Field-Tested
$4.06 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.95 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.02 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$5.82 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 17M 45S //TOTAL COST $44.22 //ASK PRICE EV $50.23 //BID PRICE EV $45.21 //ASK PROFIT $6.01 (+13.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.99 (+2.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +104.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$126.41
+$82.19
+185.9%
$112.39
+$68.17
+154.2%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$30.48
-$13.74
-31.1%
$27.06
-$17.16
-38.8%
$3.42
11.2%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$25.96
-$18.26
-41.3%
$23.84
-$20.38
-46.1%
$2.12
8.2%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$22.09
-$22.13
-50.1%
$20.66
-$23.56
-53.3%
$1.43
6.5%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$20.93
-$23.29
-52.7%
$19.40
-$24.82
-56.1%
$1.53
7.3%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$19.34
-$24.88
-56.3%
$17.41
-$26.81
-60.6%
$1.93
10.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.0875,
"optimistic_value": 21.65,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:07.886004Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 20.9345,
"optimistic_value": 20.42,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:50.374702Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.0968175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45686ca4a063",
"realistic_value": 30.4835,
"optimistic_value": 29.99,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor",
"conservative_value": 27.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.869764Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45686ca4a063.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f5a050fa5280",
"realistic_value": 25.9605,
"optimistic_value": 25.67,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Disco Tech",
"conservative_value": 23.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:38:23.150653Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f5a050fa5280.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a71a424b6eb1",
"realistic_value": 19.343,
"optimistic_value": 19,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Justice",
"conservative_value": 17.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:55:12.461327Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a71a424b6eb1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f22afff1142a8d45e750fad9",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.24,
"skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"listing_id": "498354142900113547",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:14:23.233983Z"
},
{
"price": 3.26,
"skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"listing_id": "511864888985793249",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:14:23.233983Z"
},
{
"price": 2.88,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "525375740885690251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:46.386411Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:46.386411Z"
},
{
"price": 4.06,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "503983642533101311",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:21:59.237045Z"
},
{
"price": 4.95,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044606127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
},
{
"price": 5.02,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "528753387757645605",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044601843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
},
{
"price": 5.82,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "509613142167958107",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:39.238465Z"
},
{
"price": 6.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "517494441497784202",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:06.775624Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Disco Tech 6.7% $95.25 Justice 6.7% $72.97 Kintsugi 26.7% $61.06 Deathgaze 26.7% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $57.67 | $290.04 +199.2% | $124.48 +28.4% | 26.7% | +103.4% | $96.95 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 6.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.23 Justice 6.7% $11.02 | $63.86 +183.6% | $26.47 +17.5% | 26.7% | +100.7% | $22.52 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 3.3% $95.25 Justice 3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 30.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +187.5% | $130.63 +29.5% | 30.0% | +103.7% | $100.87 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Disco Tech 10.0% $95.25 Justice 10.0% $72.97 Kintsugi 23.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 23.3% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 10.0% $57.67 | $290.04 +206.1% | $118.33 +24.9% | 33.3% | +100.6% | $94.74 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 16.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 16.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.23 Justice 16.7% $11.02 | $63.86 +247.4% | $22.31 +21.4% | 33.3% | +102.8% | $18.38 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 20.0% $21.16 Disco Tech 20.0% $13.93 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.23 Justice 20.0% $11.02 | $63.86 +270.4% | $20.92 +21.3% | 33.3% | +99.9% | $17.24 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 13.3% $95.25 Justice 13.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 20.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 20.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 13.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +212.6% | $112.19 +20.9% | 33.3% | +96.7% | $92.78 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream  2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched  2.0% $17.96 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +165.5% | $24.89 +28.9% | 36.0% | +65.7% | $19.31 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Player Two  5.0% $351.22 Bullet Queen  5.0% $208.09 | $843.46 +60.5% | $625.73 +19.0% | 45.0% | +39.3% | $525.64 | — |