The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8

Restricted → Classified BS ST 10 items

Battle-Scarred -3.8%Factory New +28.1%Field-Tested +19.2%Minimal Wear +13.2%Well-Worn -6.3%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred StatTrak™

Inputs

Enforcer

1x $1.19

Darkwing

1x $1.24

Amberline

7x $1.93

Urban Sovereign

1x $2.87

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

26.7% $46.25

Phantom Disruptor

6.7% $21.16

Disco Tech

6.7% $9.98

Kintsugi

26.7% $9.34

Justice

6.7% $9.07

Deathgaze

26.7% $7.86

Max Win

$46.25 (+127.0%)

EV (ROI %)

$19.60 (-3.8%)

Win %

33.3%

Volatility

+80.3%

Cost

$20.38

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $20.38

Ask Price EV $19.60 (-3.8%)

Bid Price EV $18.70 (-8.2%)

Ask Profit $-0.78 (-3.8%)

Bid Profit $-1.68 (-8.2%)

Liquidity Gap $0.90 (+4.4%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.78

Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.68

Risk

Win Probability 33.3%

Loss Probability 66.7%

Best Case $46.25 (+127.0%)

Worst Case $7.86 (-61.4%)

Volatility +80.3%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%

Avg Win +$20.85

Avg Loss -$11.59

Bottom 5% Outcome $7.86 (-61.4%)

Std Dev $16.37

Avg Norm Float 0.4733

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 26m

Oldest Output Price 151h 55m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Safe

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

—

Well-Worn

$1.19 Float: HIDDEN

SG 553 | Darkwing

—

Well-Worn

$1.24 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.93 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.24 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.25 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

—

Field-Tested

$2.87 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 47S //TOTAL COST $20.38 //ASK PRICE EV $19.60 //BID PRICE EV $18.70 //ASK PROFIT $-0.78 (-3.8%) //BID PROFIT $-1.68 (-8.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $46.25 //VOLATILITY +80.3% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.47331,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 46.253,
      "optimistic_value": 46.05,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 43.83,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.770872Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.47331,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 9.34,
      "optimistic_value": 9.34,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 9.31,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.600372Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.47331,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 7.8635,
      "optimistic_value": 7.86,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 7.84,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:33.328914Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.3076515,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-45686ca4a063",
      "realistic_value": 21.155,
      "optimistic_value": 20.7,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor",
      "conservative_value": 19.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:05.380148Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45686ca4a063.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.47331,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f5a050fa5280",
      "realistic_value": 9.980500000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 9.97,
      "output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Disco Tech",
      "conservative_value": 9.89,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:40.314868Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f5a050fa5280.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.47331,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a71a424b6eb1",
      "realistic_value": 9.0685,
      "optimistic_value": 8.89,
      "output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Justice",
      "conservative_value": 7.06,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T12:32:21.364748Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a71a424b6eb1.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_f22afff1142a8d45e750fad9",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
      "listing_id": "499479989896232329",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:48:20.178159Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.24,
      "skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
      "listing_id": "511864941882117705",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:43.780302Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.93,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "494976443342376942",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:40.556871Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.24,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "509613142168009803",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.533217Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.25,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "521998040962768254",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.533217Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.533217Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.87,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "529879340432521992",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.625089Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Disco Tech 6.7% $95.25 Justice 6.7% $72.97 Kintsugi 26.7% $60.46 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $57.67	$290.04 +199.2%	$124.15 +28.1%	26.7%	+103.6%	$96.95	—
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 6.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.23 Justice 6.7% $10.32	$63.86 +188.0%	$26.42 +19.2%	26.7%	+102.4%	$22.17	—
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $30.48 Disco Tech 6.7% $25.96 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.53 Justice 6.7% $19.34	$126.41 +184.3%	$50.34 +13.2%	26.7%	+103.3%	$44.46	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 3.3% $95.25 Justice 3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 3.3% $57.67	$290.04 +189.3%	$130.26 +29.9%	30.0%	+104.6%	$100.26	—
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Disco Tech 10.0% $95.25 Justice 10.0% $72.97 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 10.0% $57.67	$290.04 +206.1%	$118.04 +24.6%	33.3%	+100.8%	$94.74	—
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 13.3% $95.25 Justice 13.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.59 Phantom Disruptor 13.3% $57.67	$290.04 +212.7%	$111.94 +20.7%	33.3%	+96.9%	$92.76	—
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 20.0% $21.16 Disco Tech 20.0% $13.93 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.23 Justice 20.0% $10.32	$63.86 +265.5%	$20.78 +18.9%	33.3%	+99.1%	$17.47	—
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 16.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 16.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.23 Justice 16.7% $10.32	$63.86 +242.0%	$22.19 +18.9%	33.3%	+101.6%	$18.67	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 2.0% $17.96 Galigator 18.0% $14.51	$51.27 +165.5%	$24.89 +28.9%	36.0%	+65.7%	$19.31	—