The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Darkwing
1x $3.91
Enforcer
1x $11.75
Urban Sovereign
5x $5.17
Amberline
2x $6.18
Galigator
1x $7.79
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Disco Tech
6.7% $95.25
Justice
6.7% $72.97
Kintsugi
26.7% $61.06
Deathgaze
26.7% $59.23
Phantom Disruptor
6.7% $57.67
Max Win
$290.04 (+198.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$124.48 (+28.2%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+103.2%
Cost
$97.13
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $97.13
Ask Price EV $124.48 (+28.2%)
Bid Price EV $99.38 (+2.3%)
Ask Profit $27.35 (+28.2%)
Bid Profit $2.25 (+2.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $25.10 (+25.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$27.35
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.25
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $290.04 (+198.6%)
Worst Case $57.67 (-40.6%)
Volatility +103.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$192.91
Avg Loss -$32.85
Bottom 5% Outcome $57.67 (-40.6%)
Std Dev $100.24
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 149h 49m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Darkwing
—
Minimal Wear
$3.91 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Enforcer
—
Factory New
$11.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.79 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$8.90 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.86 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 20S //TOTAL COST $97.13 //ASK PRICE EV $124.48 //BID PRICE EV $99.38 //ASK PROFIT $27.35 (+28.2%) //BID PROFIT $2.25 (+2.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +103.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$290.04
+$192.91
+198.6%
$229.11
+$131.98
+135.9%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$95.25
-$1.88
-1.9%
$70.04
-$27.09
-27.9%
$25.21
26.5%
—
LOSS THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$72.97
-$24.16
-24.9%
$47.38
-$49.75
-51.2%
$25.59
35.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$61.06
-$36.07
-37.1%
$53.43
-$43.70
-45.0%
$7.63
12.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$59.23
-$37.90
-39.0%
$48.81
-$48.32
-49.7%
$10.42
17.6%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$57.67
-$39.46
-40.6%
$47.93
-$49.20
-50.7%
$9.74
16.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 61.0605,
"optimistic_value": 60.98,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 53.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:02:57.737752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 59.2345,
"optimistic_value": 56.9,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 48.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:09:53.834985Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.045344,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45686ca4a063",
"realistic_value": 57.6665,
"optimistic_value": 56.41,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor",
"conservative_value": 47.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T10:45:26.242229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45686ca4a063.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f5a050fa5280",
"realistic_value": 95.25275,
"optimistic_value": 92.99,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Disco Tech",
"conservative_value": 70.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:13.917563Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f5a050fa5280.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a71a424b6eb1",
"realistic_value": 72.968,
"optimistic_value": 70,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Justice",
"conservative_value": 47.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:38.005044Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a71a424b6eb1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f22afff1142a8d45e750fad9",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.91,
"skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"listing_id": "501731789731031441",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:33.859801Z"
},
{
"price": 11.75,
"skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"listing_id": "519746188259261852",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.293772Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044601843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:26.791667Z"
},
{
"price": 6.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "517494441497784202",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:25.969858Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753387757823085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:25.969858Z"
},
{
"price": 7.79,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883502647",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:30.831099Z"
},
{
"price": 8.9,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "526501640650634369",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:26.791667Z"
},
{
"price": 13.86,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "523123940968660786",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.883102Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.883102Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.883102Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $30.48 Disco Tech 6.7% $25.96 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.09 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.10 Justice 6.7% $19.34 | $126.41 +184.1% | $50.28 +13.0% | 26.7% | +103.3% | $44.50 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 6.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.09 Justice 6.7% $11.02 | $63.86 +151.2% | $26.43 +4.0% | 26.7% | +89.3% | $25.42 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 3.3% $95.25 Justice 3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 30.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +190.5% | $130.63 +30.8% | 30.0% | +104.7% | $99.86 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Disco Tech 10.0% $95.25 Justice 10.0% $72.97 Kintsugi 23.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 23.3% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 10.0% $57.67 | $290.04 +207.2% | $118.33 +25.3% | 33.3% | +101.0% | $94.42 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 13.3% $95.25 Justice 13.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 20.0% $61.35 Deathgaze 20.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 13.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +216.7% | $112.24 +22.5% | 33.3% | +97.9% | $91.59 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 20.0% $21.16 Disco Tech 20.0% $13.93 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.09 Justice 20.0% $11.02 | $63.86 +271.1% | $20.90 +21.4% | 33.3% | +100.2% | $17.21 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 16.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 16.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.09 Justice 16.7% $11.03 | $63.86 +241.5% | $22.29 +19.2% | 33.3% | +101.1% | $18.70 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream  2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched  2.0% $17.96 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +169.2% | $24.89 +30.7% | 36.0% | +66.6% | $19.05 | — |