The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Darkwing
2x $1.24
Amberline
6x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
2x $2.88
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Phantom Disruptor
6.7% $21.16
Disco Tech
6.7% $13.93
Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
26.7% $11.23
Justice
6.7% $11.02
Max Win
$63.86 (+183.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.47 (+17.5%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+100.7%
Cost
$22.52
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $22.52
Ask Price EV $26.47 (+17.5%)
Bid Price EV $23.84 (+5.8%)
Ask Profit $3.95 (+17.5%)
Bid Profit $1.32 (+5.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.63 (+11.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.95
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.32
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $63.86 (+183.6%)
Worst Case $11.02 (-51.1%)
Volatility +100.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$41.34
Avg Loss -$9.65
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.02 (-51.1%)
Std Dev $22.67
Avg Norm Float 0.3780
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 151h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Darkwing
—
Well-Worn
$1.24 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Darkwing
—
Field-Tested
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.25 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$2.88 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 17M 46S //TOTAL COST $22.52 //ASK PRICE EV $26.47 //BID PRICE EV $23.84 //ASK PROFIT $3.95 (+17.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.32 (+5.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +100.7% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$63.86
+$41.34
+183.6%
$60.32
+$37.80
+167.9%
$3.54
5.5%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$21.16
-$1.37
-6.1%
$19.67
-$2.85
-12.7%
$1.48
7.0%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$13.93
-$8.59
-38.2%
$11.66
-$10.86
-48.2%
$2.27
16.3%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$12.65
-$9.87
-43.8%
$9.57
-$12.95
-57.5%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$11.23
-$11.29
-50.1%
$9.52
-$13.00
-57.7%
$1.71
15.2%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$11.02
-$11.51
-51.1%
$8.58
-$13.94
-61.9%
$2.44
22.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37798,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37798,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37798,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.227,
"optimistic_value": 10.94,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:15.243640Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.245687,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45686ca4a063",
"realistic_value": 21.155,
"optimistic_value": 20.7,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor",
"conservative_value": 19.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:05.380148Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45686ca4a063.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37798,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f5a050fa5280",
"realistic_value": 13.9285,
"optimistic_value": 13.89,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Disco Tech",
"conservative_value": 11.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T02:28:37.200193Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f5a050fa5280.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37798,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a71a424b6eb1",
"realistic_value": 11.015,
"optimistic_value": 10.84,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Justice",
"conservative_value": 8.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:37:10.009110Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a71a424b6eb1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f22afff1142a8d45e750fad9",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.24,
"skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"listing_id": "511864941882117705",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn)",
"name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:47.617602Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"listing_id": "523123940969246578",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:25.293495Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:44.488640Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:44.488640Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:44.488640Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "511864941882152265",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:00.831706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.25,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "521998040962768254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:00.831706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:00.831706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.88,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "525375740885690251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:46.386411Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:46.386411Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Disco Tech 6.7% $95.25 Justice 6.7% $72.97 Kintsugi 26.7% $61.06 Deathgaze 26.7% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $57.67 | $290.04 +199.2% | $124.48 +28.4% | 26.7% | +103.4% | $96.95 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Phantom Disruptor 6.7% $30.48 Disco Tech 6.7% $25.96 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.09 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.93 Justice 6.7% $19.34 | $126.41 +185.9% | $50.23 +13.6% | 26.7% | +104.0% | $44.22 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 3.3% $95.25 Justice 3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 30.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +187.5% | $130.63 +29.5% | 30.0% | +103.7% | $100.87 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Disco Tech 10.0% $95.25 Justice 10.0% $72.97 Kintsugi 23.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 23.3% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 10.0% $57.67 | $290.04 +206.1% | $118.33 +24.9% | 33.3% | +100.6% | $94.74 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 16.7% $21.16 Disco Tech 16.7% $13.93 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.23 Justice 16.7% $11.02 | $63.86 +247.4% | $22.31 +21.4% | 33.3% | +102.8% | $18.38 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Phantom Disruptor 20.0% $21.16 Disco Tech 20.0% $13.93 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.23 Justice 20.0% $11.02 | $63.86 +270.4% | $20.92 +21.3% | 33.3% | +99.9% | $17.24 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Disco Tech 13.3% $95.25 Justice 13.3% $72.97 Kintsugi 20.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 20.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor 13.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +212.6% | $112.19 +20.9% | 33.3% | +96.7% | $92.78 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream  2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched  2.0% $17.96 Galigator  18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +165.5% | $24.89 +28.9% | 36.0% | +65.7% | $19.31 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Player Two  5.0% $351.22 Bullet Queen  5.0% $208.09 | $843.46 +60.5% | $625.73 +19.0% | 45.0% | +39.3% | $525.64 | — |