← Results

The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Battle-Scarred +5.8%Factory New +12.8%Field-Tested +19.8%Minimal Wear +14.5%Well-Worn +7.4%
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Slag
Tec-9 | Slag
1x $0.12
Irezumi
XM1014 | Irezumi
1x $0.13
Light Box
MAC-10 | Light Box
1x $0.14
2A2F
FAMAS | 2A2F
5x $0.43
Late Night Transit
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
1x $0.51
Green Line
Glock-18 | Green Line
1x $0.55
↓
Possible Outputs
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
23.3% $7.13
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
23.3% $5.48
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
23.3% $5.26
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
6.0% $0.77
Etch Lord
M4A4 | Etch Lord
6.0% $0.73
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
6.0% $0.71
Max Win
$7.13 (+74.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.38 (+7.4%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+61.5%
Cost
$4.08
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $4.08
Ask Price EV $4.38 (+7.4%)
Bid Price EV $4.00 (-2.0%)
Ask Profit $0.30 (+7.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.08 (-2.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.38 (+9.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.30
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.08
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $7.13 (+74.7%)
Worst Case $0.63 (-84.5%)
Volatility +61.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$1.88
Avg Loss -$3.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.63 (-84.5%)
Std Dev $2.51
Avg Norm Float 0.4140
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 152h 26m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
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Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
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Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Field-Tested
XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested)
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Battle-Scarred
FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Battle-Scarred
FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Battle-Scarred
FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
—
Battle-Scarred
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred)
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Battle-Scarred
FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Green Line
—
Well-Worn
Glock-18 | Green Line (Well-Worn)
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | 2A2F
—
Field-Tested
FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested)
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 46M 35S //TOTAL COST $4.08 //ASK PRICE EV $4.38 //BID PRICE EV $4.00 //ASK PROFIT $0.30 (+7.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.08 (-2.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $7.13 //VOLATILITY +61.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.28981399999999996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9fc289ff7b61",
      "realistic_value": 7.1295,
      "optimistic_value": 7.07,
      "output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment",
      "conservative_value": 6.4,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Derailment (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:40:25.278030Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9fc289ff7b61.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.4491788,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
      "realistic_value": 5.2645,
      "optimistic_value": 5.24,
      "output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
      "conservative_value": 5.08,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:21:59.445154Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.41402,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9446ef74272b",
      "realistic_value": 5.481,
      "optimistic_value": 5.46,
      "output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up",
      "conservative_value": 4.88,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T07:43:53.395739Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9446ef74272b.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06,
      "output_float": 0.41402,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
      "realistic_value": 0.71,
      "optimistic_value": 0.71,
      "output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
      "conservative_value": 0.57,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:17:11.263775Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06,
      "output_float": 0.2781696875,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
      "realistic_value": 0.771,
      "optimistic_value": 0.75,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
      "conservative_value": 0.71,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T22:11:50.072397Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06,
      "output_float": 0.41402,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
      "realistic_value": 0.73,
      "optimistic_value": 0.73,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
      "conservative_value": 0.58,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:02:07.825109Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06,
      "output_float": 0.41402,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
      "realistic_value": 0.66,
      "optimistic_value": 0.66,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
      "conservative_value": 0.57,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Just Smile (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:34:42.881886Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06,
      "output_float": 0.2562204172,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
      "realistic_value": 0.6335,
      "optimistic_value": 0.63,
      "output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
      "conservative_value": 0.6,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:46.185425Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_efffa8a5152366ccdec0fc37",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.12,
      "skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
      "listing_id": "506235442368057084",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:54.878702Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.13,
      "skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
      "listing_id": "512990789045330051",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:24.112947Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.14,
      "skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
      "listing_id": "490472738292849795",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:24.543875Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.43,
      "skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
      "listing_id": "527627540537800400",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:51.935170Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.48,
      "skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
      "listing_id": "506235442367107116",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:51.935170Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.49,
      "skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
      "listing_id": "515242641502083553",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:51.935170Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.51,
      "skin_id": "skin-d5765bdffe44",
      "listing_id": "492724590627207213",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5765bdffe44.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:39.424179Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
      "listing_id": "502857689862614932",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:51.935170Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.55,
      "skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
      "listing_id": "529879340432512884",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:02.197227Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.71,
      "skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
      "listing_id": "529879340432508096",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:59.836593Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-train-2025:7"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
23.3% $9.68
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
23.3% $7.43
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
23.3% $7.13
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
6.0% $0.77
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
6.0% $0.75
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
6.0% $0.72
$9.68
+97.6%
$5.87
+19.8%
70.0%+61.4%$4.90—
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
23.3% $64.86
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
23.3% $41.46
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
23.3% $22.39
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
6.0% $4.18
Analog Input
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
6.0% $2.99
Etch Lord
M4A4 | Etch Lord
6.0% $1.71
$64.86
+141.4%
$30.76
+14.5%
46.7%+79.3%$26.87—
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
23.3% $64.86
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
23.3% $63.69
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
23.3% $41.46
Etch Lord
M4A4 | Etch Lord
6.0% $10.49
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
6.0% $9.45
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
6.0% $8.10
$64.86
+75.1%
$41.78
+12.8%
70.0%+55.7%$37.04—
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
23.3% $7.13
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
23.3% $4.93
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
23.3% $4.06
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
6.0% $0.77
Etch Lord
M4A4 | Etch Lord
6.0% $0.72
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
6.0% $0.66
$7.13
+90.1%
$3.97
+5.8%
70.0%+56.3%$3.75—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
13.3% $9.68
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
13.3% $7.43
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
13.3% $7.13
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
12.0% $0.77
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
12.0% $0.75
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
12.0% $0.71
$9.68
+253.3%
$3.66
+33.6%
40.0%+123.2%$2.74—
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
16.7% $9.68
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
16.7% $7.43
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
16.7% $7.13
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
10.0% $0.77
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
10.0% $0.75
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
10.0% $0.72
$9.68
+189.0%
$4.40
+31.3%
50.0%+100.9%$3.35—
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
20.0% $9.68
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
20.0% $7.43
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
20.0% $7.13
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
8.0% $0.77
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
8.0% $0.75
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
8.0% $0.71
$9.68
+139.0%
$5.13
+26.7%
60.0%+80.4%$4.05—
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
10.0% $9.68
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
10.0% $7.43
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
10.0% $7.13
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
14.0% $0.77
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
14.0% $0.75
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
14.0% $0.71
$9.68
+296.7%
$2.92
+19.8%
30.0%+131.9%$2.44—
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Derailment
MAC-10 | Derailment
6.7% $14.74
Whiteout
Tec-9 | Whiteout
6.7% $9.68
Charged Up
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
6.7% $7.43
Block-18
Glock-18 | Block-18
16.0% $1.41
Analog Input
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
16.0% $1.02
Just Smile
MP7 | Just Smile
16.0% $0.75
$14.74
+475.8%
$2.86
+11.7%
20.0%+153.8%$2.56—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Hellish
M4A4 | Hellish
20.0% $597.10
Latte Rush
MP9 | Latte Rush
20.0% $294.44
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
20.0% $39.47
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
20.0% $26.70
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
20.0% $14.94
$597.10
+283.7%
$194.53
+25.0%
40.0%+145.5%$155.63—
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear
LongDog
AWP | LongDog
20.0% $663.30
Inheritance
AK-47 | Inheritance
40.0% $102.58
Chrome Cannon
AWP | Chrome Cannon
40.0% $60.71
$663.30
+310.9%
$197.98
+22.7%
20.0%+144.6%$161.41—
FS

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Market intelligence and contract tracking for Counter-Strike 2.

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