The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Tom Cat
1x $0.26
Bone Forged
2x $0.27
Distressed
1x $0.32
Desert Strike
1x $0.34
Wurst Hölle
2x $0.31
Pipsqueak
3x $0.32
↓
Possible Outputs
Monster Melt
16.7% $4.08
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $4.07
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $4.05
Fever Dream
10.0% $1.28
Apocalypto
10.0% $0.83
Darkwing
10.0% $0.81
Max Win
$4.08 (+28.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.48 (-21.9%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+49.9%
Cost
$3.18
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.18
Ask Price EV $2.48 (-21.9%)
Bid Price EV $2.39 (-24.9%)
Ask Profit $-0.70 (-21.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.79 (-24.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.10 (+3.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.70
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.79
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $4.08 (+28.3%)
Worst Case $0.79 (-75.3%)
Volatility +49.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$0.89
Avg Loss -$2.28
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.79 (-75.3%)
Std Dev $1.59
Avg Norm Float 0.4415
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 149h 25m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 58M 46S //TOTAL COST $3.18 //ASK PRICE EV $2.48 //BID PRICE EV $2.39 //ASK PROFIT $-0.70 (-21.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.79 (-24.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $4.08 //VOLATILITY +49.9% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
16.7%
$4.08
+$0.90
+28.3%
$3.94
+$0.76
+23.9%
$0.14
3.5%
—
WIN
16.7%
$4.07
+$0.89
+27.9%
$4.00
+$0.82
+25.8%
$0.07
1.6%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Field-Tested | ƒ 0.361989
The Overpass 2024 Collection
WIN
16.7%
$4.05
+$0.87
+27.3%
$4.00
+$0.82
+25.8%
$0.05
1.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.28
-$1.90
-59.6%
$1.18
-$2.00
-62.9%
$0.10
8.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.83
-$2.35
-73.9%
$0.69
-$2.49
-78.3%
$0.14
16.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.81
-$2.37
-74.4%
$0.74
-$2.44
-76.7%
$0.07
9.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.81
-$2.37
-74.6%
$0.72
-$2.46
-77.4%
$0.09
10.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.79
-$2.39
-75.3%
$0.66
-$2.52
-79.2%
$0.13
16.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3752325,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 4.067,
"optimistic_value": 4.06,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:58.565509Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.361989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 4.047,
"optimistic_value": 4.04,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:57.991121Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3310875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 4.0815,
"optimistic_value": 3.98,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 3.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:42.913505Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44145,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 0.787,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:55.835982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44145,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 0.807,
"optimistic_value": 0.8,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:11.518201Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44145,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.8135,
"optimistic_value": 0.81,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T06:50:42.656562Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.317844,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 1.284,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 1.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:15.583125Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44145,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 0.8305,
"optimistic_value": 0.82,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:06.390088Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d818b5bedf1f48d4f8f74108",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "501731842661076917",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:11.177031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "493850324805149428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:35.524876Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "507361237010235361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:35.524876Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123888073092582",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:01.002259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "506235337026426216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:05.803459Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "502857742726386100",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:12.389849Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "516368541588438938",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.637237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "528753387757469169",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.637237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "506235389470313256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.637237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "528753387757470537",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:12.389849Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.78 Fever Dream 10.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +127.1% | $5.62 +21.9% | 50.0% | +81.5% | $4.61 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.78 Fever Dream 10.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 10.0% $2.38 Darkwing 10.0% $2.29 | $10.47 +87.6% | $6.08 +8.9% | 50.0% | +59.7% | $5.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.78 Fever Dream 8.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +99.4% | $6.47 +23.1% | 60.0% | +68.4% | $5.25 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.13 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.51 Fever Dream 6.0% $3.03 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.00 | $10.29 +70.4% | $7.17 +18.6% | 70.0% | +53.2% | $6.04 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.17 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.78 Fever Dream 12.0% $3.05 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.00 | $10.29 +154.1% | $4.73 +16.9% | 40.0% | +92.1% | $4.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.28 Phantom Disruptor  26.7% $8.87 Justice  26.7% $8.21 Disco Tech  26.7% $8.10 | $47.63 +257.3% | $14.81 +11.1% | 20.0% | +99.2% | $13.33 | — |