The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Bone Forged
1x $0.31
Distressed
2x $0.32
Desert Strike
1x $0.34
Tom Cat
1x $0.37
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
Teal Graf
2x $0.70
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.47
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.29
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.78
Fever Dream
10.0% $3.06
Acid Etched
10.0% $2.38
Darkwing
10.0% $2.29
Max Win
$10.47 (+87.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.08 (+8.9%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+68.4%
Cost
$5.58
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.58
Ask Price EV $6.08 (+8.9%)
Bid Price EV $5.89 (+5.5%)
Ask Profit $0.50 (+8.9%)
Bid Profit $0.31 (+5.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.19 (+3.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.50
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.47 (+87.6%)
Worst Case $1.90 (-66.0%)
Volatility +68.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$4.27
Avg Loss -$3.27
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.90 (-66.0%)
Std Dev $3.82
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 51h 18m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 58M 46S //TOTAL COST $5.58 //ASK PRICE EV $6.08 //BID PRICE EV $5.89 //ASK PROFIT $0.50 (+8.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.31 (+5.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.47 //VOLATILITY +68.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.47
+$4.89
+87.6%
$10.42
+$4.84
+86.7%
$0.05
0.5%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1229426
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.29
+$4.71
+84.4%
$10.28
+$4.70
+84.2%
$0.01
0.1%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.78
+$3.20
+57.3%
$8.23
+$2.65
+47.5%
$0.55
6.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.06
-$2.52
-45.2%
$2.80
-$2.78
-49.8%
$0.26
8.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.38
-$3.20
-57.4%
$2.25
-$3.33
-59.7%
$0.13
5.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.29
-$3.29
-58.9%
$2.02
-$3.56
-63.8%
$0.27
11.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.93
-$3.65
-65.4%
$1.88
-$3.70
-66.3%
$0.05
2.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.90
-$3.68
-66.0%
$1.72
-$3.86
-69.2%
$0.18
9.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1274405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.470500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.46,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:10.904560Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1229426,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.29,
"optimistic_value": 10.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:48:15.496809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1124475,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.7765,
"optimistic_value": 8.71,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.387027Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 2.3770000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 2.37,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:24.759928Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.8969999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.89,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 1.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:34.664992Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 2.291,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 2.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T07:19:18.742363Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1079496,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 3.06,
"optimistic_value": 3.06,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 2.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:57.500670Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.931,
"optimistic_value": 1.91,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 1.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:55.297544Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d818b5bedf1f48d4f8f74108",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "507361237010235361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:35.524876Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123888073092582",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:01.002259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "506235337026426216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:05.803459Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "525375522202008871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:01.002259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "491598690698515994",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:48.538183Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:22.351099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "497228243054638361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:18.214008Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "518619491421941344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:22.351099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:18.214008Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "596305411430770513",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:17.044678Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.78 Fever Dream 10.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +127.1% | $5.62 +21.9% | 50.0% | +81.5% | $4.61 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.78 Fever Dream 8.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +99.4% | $6.47 +23.1% | 60.0% | +68.4% | $5.25 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.13 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.51 Fever Dream 6.0% $3.03 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.00 | $10.29 +70.4% | $7.17 +18.6% | 70.0% | +53.2% | $6.04 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.17 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.78 Fever Dream 12.0% $3.05 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.00 | $10.29 +154.1% | $4.73 +16.9% | 40.0% | +92.1% | $4.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.28 Phantom Disruptor  26.7% $8.87 Justice  26.7% $8.21 Disco Tech  26.7% $8.10 | $47.63 +257.3% | $14.81 +11.1% | 20.0% | +99.2% | $13.33 | — |