The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Bone Forged
1x $0.31
Desert Strike
2x $0.32
Distressed
1x $0.36
Tom Cat
1x $0.37
Teal Graf
3x $0.41
Pipsqueak
1x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.47
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.29
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.81
Fever Dream
10.0% $2.96
Acid Etched
10.0% $1.01
Apocalypto
10.0% $1.00
Max Win
$10.47 (+126.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.62 (+21.6%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+93.2%
Cost
$4.62
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.62
Ask Price EV $5.62 (+21.6%)
Bid Price EV $5.45 (+17.9%)
Ask Profit $1.00 (+21.6%)
Bid Profit $0.83 (+17.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.17 (+3.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.00
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.83
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.47 (+126.6%)
Worst Case $0.95 (-79.5%)
Volatility +93.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$5.24
Avg Loss -$3.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.95 (-79.5%)
Std Dev $4.31
Avg Norm Float 0.1755
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 148h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 01M 48S //TOTAL COST $4.62 //ASK PRICE EV $5.62 //BID PRICE EV $5.45 //ASK PROFIT $1.00 (+21.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.83 (+17.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.47 //VOLATILITY +93.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$10.47
+$5.85
+126.6%
$10.42
+$5.80
+125.5%
$0.05
0.5%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1439346
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.29
+$5.67
+122.7%
$10.28
+$5.66
+122.5%
$0.01
0.1%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.81
+$4.19
+90.7%
$8.23
+$3.61
+78.1%
$0.58
6.6%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.96
-$1.66
-35.9%
$2.81
-$1.81
-39.2%
$0.15
5.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.01
-$3.61
-78.1%
$0.87
-$3.75
-81.2%
$0.14
13.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.00
-$3.62
-78.3%
$0.89
-$3.73
-80.7%
$0.11
11.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.98
-$3.64
-78.8%
$0.85
-$3.77
-81.6%
$0.13
13.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.95
-$3.67
-79.5%
$0.85
-$3.77
-81.6%
$0.10
10.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14920049999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.470500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.46,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:29.982671Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1439346,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.29,
"optimistic_value": 10.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:37.871535Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1316475,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.8115,
"optimistic_value": 8.71,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:57.639819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17553,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:18.459472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17553,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 0.9775,
"optimistic_value": 0.96,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:38.545112Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17553,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.9475,
"optimistic_value": 0.93,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:35.888189Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12638159999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 2.9625,
"optimistic_value": 2.91,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 2.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:28.913817Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17553,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.001,
"optimistic_value": 0.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:46.135619Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d818b5bedf1f48d4f8f74108",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "507361237010235361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:32.438389Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "517494388634339806",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:21.897298Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "506235337026426216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:21.897298Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "525375522202008871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:38.466615Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "491598690698515994",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:30.373782Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "491598638254867202",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:27:17.933433Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:41.698648Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "648097416147785180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:42.184206Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "497228243054638361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:21.679804Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:21.679804Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.81 Fever Dream 10.0% $2.96 Acid Etched 10.0% $2.37 Darkwing 10.0% $2.29 | $10.47 +88.0% | $6.08 +9.1% | 50.0% | +60.1% | $5.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.78 Fever Dream 6.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +75.7% | $7.31 +22.7% | 70.0% | +55.0% | $5.96 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.78 Fever Dream 8.0% $2.96 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +98.3% | $6.46 +22.4% | 60.0% | +68.2% | $5.28 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.78 Fever Dream 12.0% $3.06 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.00 | $10.47 +156.6% | $4.78 +17.1% | 40.0% | +92.6% | $4.08 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.46 Phantom Disruptor  26.7% $8.87 Justice  26.7% $8.21 Disco Tech  26.7% $8.09 | $47.63 +262.2% | $14.82 +12.7% | 20.0% | +100.8% | $13.15 | — |