The Glove Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Black Sand
1x $0.62
Sky Mandala
2x $0.34
Fraise Crane
2x $0.35
Warm Blooded
5x $0.48
↓
Possible Outputs
Exothermic
45.0% $7.31
Gila
2.0% $6.29
Stinger
2.0% $6.04
Cyrex
2.0% $5.91
Royal Consorts
2.0% $4.95
Flashback
2.0% $4.81
Max Win
$7.31 (+59.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.97 (+8.0%)
Win %
55.0%
Volatility
+50.2%
Cost
$4.60
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.60
Ask Price EV $4.97 (+8.0%)
Bid Price EV $4.70 (+2.1%)
Ask Profit $0.37 (+8.0%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+2.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+5.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.37
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 55.0%
Loss Probability 45.0%
Best Case $7.31 (+59.0%)
Worst Case $2.48 (-46.1%)
Volatility +50.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 45.0%
Avg Win +$2.40
Avg Loss -$2.12
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.48 (-46.1%)
Std Dev $2.31
Avg Norm Float 0.5427
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 142h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.62 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 01S //TOTAL COST $4.60 //ASK PRICE EV $4.97 //BID PRICE EV $4.70 //ASK PROFIT $0.37 (+8.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+2.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 55.0% //BEST CASE $7.31 //VOLATILITY +50.2% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
45.0%
$7.31
+$2.71
+59.0%
$7.05
+$2.45
+53.3%
$0.26
3.6%
—
WIN
2.0%
$6.29
+$1.69
+36.7%
$5.03
+$0.43
+9.3%
$1.26
20.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$6.04
+$1.44
+31.2%
$5.49
+$0.89
+19.3%
$0.54
9.0%
—
WIN
2.0%
$5.91
+$1.31
+28.6%
$5.88
+$1.28
+27.8%
$0.03
0.6%
—
SMALL WIN
2.0%
$4.95
+$0.35
+7.6%
$4.60
+$0.00
+0.0%
$0.35
7.0%
—
SMALL WIN
2.0%
$4.81
+$0.21
+4.6%
$4.69
+$0.09
+2.0%
$0.12
2.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
45.0%
$2.48
-$2.12
-46.1%
$2.25
-$2.35
-51.1%
$0.23
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.379876,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d384f428d432",
"realistic_value": 7.3135,
"optimistic_value": 7.24,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Exothermic",
"conservative_value": 7.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:07:21.447988Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d384f428d432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.379876,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a060f0657eb4",
"realistic_value": 2.4785,
"optimistic_value": 2.44,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:06.051967Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a060f0657eb4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.54268,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 4.9479999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 4.92,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 4.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T02:02:43.600794Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.379876,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 6.035,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:02.273374Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.54268,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 4.8105,
"optimistic_value": 4.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 4.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:14.871766Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.162804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 6.2885,
"optimistic_value": 6.04,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 5.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:11.351198Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.2984740000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 5.9135,
"optimistic_value": 5.91,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 5.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T13:52:00.118193Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d58c4e3e77ad6369624409f5",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.62,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "507361289453329069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:01.681389Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "503983589619270235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:58.100466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "492724590626378025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:18:57.911257Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "501731789729082221",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:18:57.911257Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "508487189339587610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:58.100466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "518620288314051868",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:42.370524Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "490472790737290515",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:42.370524Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "500605889841164747",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:42.370524Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "503983589619183691",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:42.370524Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "497228137697395481",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:42.370524Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Exothermic 40.0% $9.85 Stinger 4.0% $6.77 Gila 4.0% $6.29 Cyrex 4.0% $5.91 Royal Consorts 4.0% $4.95 Flashback 4.0% $4.81 | $9.85 +107.4% | $5.95 +25.2% | 60.0% | +52.5% | $4.75 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Exothermic 35.0% $9.85 Stinger 6.0% $6.77 Gila 6.0% $6.29 Cyrex 6.0% $5.91 Royal Consorts 6.0% $4.95 Flashback 6.0% $4.92 | $9.85 +95.4% | $5.93 +17.6% | 53.0% | +46.8% | $5.04 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.92 Exothermic 30.0% $13.75 Sleeping Potion 30.0% $11.82 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $7.04 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.23 | $17.92 +76.2% | $11.29 +11.0% | 68.0% | +30.6% | $10.17 | — |
The Glove Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 10.0% $17.92 Exothermic 25.0% $13.75 Sleeping Potion 25.0% $11.82 Stinger 10.0% $8.24 Cyrex 10.0% $7.04 Royal Consorts 10.0% $6.04 | $17.92 +73.0% | $10.90 +5.2% | 60.0% | +33.1% | $10.36 | — |