The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert WW ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
K.O. Factory
6x $6.81
Deathgaze
1x $7.90
Kintsugi
3x $8.31
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
20.0% $100.30
Printstream
30.0% $92.26
Bad Trip
30.0% $76.22
Fully Tuned
20.0% $68.52
Max Win
$100.30 (+25.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$84.31 (+5.3%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+14.8%
Cost
$80.09
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $80.09
Ask Price EV $84.31 (+5.3%)
Bid Price EV $74.78 (-6.6%)
Ask Profit $4.22 (+5.3%)
Bid Profit $-5.31 (-6.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $9.53 (+11.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.22
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.31
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $100.30 (+25.2%)
Worst Case $68.52 (-14.4%)
Volatility +14.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$15.39
Avg Loss -$6.95
Bottom 5% Outcome $68.52 (-14.4%)
Std Dev $11.82
Avg Norm Float 0.4414
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 148h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Ask-Side Flip · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$6.81 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$6.87 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.23 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.35 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.36 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.90 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.31 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.44 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.52 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 55S //TOTAL COST $80.09 //ASK PRICE EV $84.31 //BID PRICE EV $74.78 //ASK PROFIT $4.22 (+5.3%) //BID PROFIT $-5.31 (-6.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $100.30 //VOLATILITY +14.8% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
20.0%
$100.30
+$20.21
+25.2%
$94.02
+$13.93
+17.4%
$6.28
6.3%
—
WIN
30.0%
$92.26
+$12.17
+15.2%
$82.68
+$2.59
+3.2%
$9.58
10.4%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$76.22
-$3.87
-4.8%
$62.00
-$18.09
-22.6%
$14.22
18.7%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$68.52
-$11.57
-14.4%
$62.86
-$17.23
-21.5%
$5.66
8.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.4414,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a39103af835",
"realistic_value": 92.25999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 91,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Printstream",
"conservative_value": 82.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:40.137018Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a39103af835.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.4414,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f098f9b83e8b",
"realistic_value": 76.22,
"optimistic_value": 74.33,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Bad Trip",
"conservative_value": 62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:06.309289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f098f9b83e8b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.4414,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 100.303,
"optimistic_value": 98,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 94.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:06.195080Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.4414,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 68.5225,
"optimistic_value": 67,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 62.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:31.690768Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b972a0d0cef3926567aff71c",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 6.81,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "506235442367131560",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:23.406528Z"
},
{
"price": 6.87,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "519746188258426436",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:23.406528Z"
},
{
"price": 8.23,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "492723793447734069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:23.406528Z"
},
{
"price": 8.3,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "512990789045464583",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:39.529904Z"
},
{
"price": 8.35,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "502857689862773764",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:39.529904Z"
},
{
"price": 8.36,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "497228137696882373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:39.529904Z"
},
{
"price": 7.9,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "493850324808793168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.575551Z"
},
{
"price": 8.31,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "500605942755391175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.188404Z"
},
{
"price": 8.44,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "494976390477262902",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.188404Z"
},
{
"price": 8.52,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "526501587736298069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.188404Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $141.08 Printstream 30.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 20.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 30.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +67.5% | $110.03 +30.6% | 70.0% | +30.6% | $84.23 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Printstream 30.0% $745.73 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Bad Trip 30.0% $145.99 | $843.46 +86.5% | $533.19 +17.9% | 70.0% | +61.8% | $452.37 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $96.82 Printstream 30.0% $88.49 Bad Trip 30.0% $77.97 Fully Tuned 20.0% $65.86 | $96.82 +23.3% | $82.47 +5.0% | 50.0% | +13.6% | $78.51 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $141.08 Printstream 35.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 15.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 35.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +67.0% | $107.82 +27.6% | 65.0% | +31.1% | $84.47 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Printstream 5.0% $745.73 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Bad Trip 5.0% $145.99 | $843.46 +65.7% | $642.35 +26.2% | 50.0% | +40.4% | $508.96 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $141.08 Printstream 40.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 10.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 40.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +67.4% | $105.61 +25.3% | 60.0% | +31.5% | $84.26 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline  16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  16.0% $13.85 Rising Sun  4.0% $12.48 | $51.27 +204.5% | $22.69 +34.7% | 48.0% | +78.2% | $16.84 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Shinobu  3.3% $85.17 Searing Rage  3.3% $65.16 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.35 Deathgaze 30.0% $56.41 K.O. Factory 3.3% $49.28 | $290.04 +197.8% | $128.99 +32.4% | 30.0% | +108.4% | $97.39 | — |