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The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items
Battle-Scarred +5.0%Factory New +17.9%Field-Tested +30.6%Minimal Wear -0.6%Well-Worn +5.3%
Contract
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
K.O. Factory
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
3x $9.89
Searing Rage
AK-47 | Searing Rage
3x $27.45
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
4x $13.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $286.65
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
30.0% $231.75
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $201.70
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
30.0% $79.72
Max Win
$286.65 (+49.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$191.11 (-0.6%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+40.5%
Cost
$192.26
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $192.26
Ask Price EV $191.11 (-0.6%)
Bid Price EV $159.89 (-16.8%)
Ask Profit $-1.15 (-0.6%)
Bid Profit $-32.37 (-16.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $31.22 (+16.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.15
Bid Slippage Buffer -$32.37
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $286.65 (+49.1%)
Worst Case $79.72 (-58.5%)
Volatility +40.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$46.59
Avg Loss -$112.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $79.72 (-58.5%)
Std Dev $77.88
Avg Norm Float 0.1500
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 148h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)
$9.89 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
$14.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
$14.03 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | Searing Rage
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)
$27.45 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | Searing Rage
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)
$27.53 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | Searing Rage
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)
$28.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$13.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$16.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)
$20.56 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)
$21.11 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 54S //TOTAL COST $192.26 //ASK PRICE EV $191.11 //BID PRICE EV $159.89 //ASK PROFIT $-1.15 (-0.6%) //BID PROFIT $-32.37 (-16.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $286.65 //VOLATILITY +40.5% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5a39103af835",
      "realistic_value": 231.751,
      "optimistic_value": 222,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Printstream",
      "conservative_value": 194.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:43.870937Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a39103af835.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f098f9b83e8b",
      "realistic_value": 79.721,
      "optimistic_value": 79.49,
      "output_full_name": "FAMAS | Bad Trip",
      "conservative_value": 76.39,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:18.043323Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f098f9b83e8b.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.14999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
      "realistic_value": 286.65,
      "optimistic_value": 280,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
      "conservative_value": 225.69,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.217119Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.14999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
      "realistic_value": 201.6965,
      "optimistic_value": 189.38,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
      "conservative_value": 167.58,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:53.158991Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_b972a0d0cef3926567aff71c",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 9.89,
      "skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
      "listing_id": "722406200557349282",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:39.529904Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 14,
      "skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
      "listing_id": "502857689862776392",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:27.914899Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 14.03,
      "skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
      "listing_id": "516368488725604490",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:27.914899Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 27.45,
      "skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
      "listing_id": "528753335312360109",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:33.218965Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 27.53,
      "skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
      "listing_id": "509612292220650339",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:33.218965Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 28,
      "skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
      "listing_id": "516367691475467666",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:33.218965Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.69,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "499479937453177105",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 16,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "500605837398995339",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 20.56,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "507361289453945533",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:54.374467Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 21.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "490472790737882031",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:54.374467Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $141.08
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
30.0% $127.68
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $105.54
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
30.0% $74.69
$141.08
+67.5%
$110.03
+30.6%
70.0%+30.6%$84.23—
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $843.46
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
30.0% $745.73
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $484.90
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
30.0% $145.99
$843.46
+86.5%
$533.19
+17.9%
70.0%+61.8%$452.37—
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $100.30
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
30.0% $92.26
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
30.0% $76.22
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $68.52
$100.30
+25.2%
$84.31
+5.3%
50.0%+14.8%$80.09—
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $96.82
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
30.0% $88.49
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
30.0% $77.97
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $65.86
$96.82
+23.3%
$82.47
+5.0%
50.0%+13.6%$78.51—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
15.0% $141.08
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
35.0% $127.68
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
15.0% $105.54
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
35.0% $74.69
$141.08
+67.0%
$107.82
+27.6%
65.0%+31.1%$84.47—
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $843.46
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
5.0% $745.73
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $484.90
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
5.0% $145.99
$843.46
+65.7%
$642.35
+26.2%
50.0%+40.4%$508.96—
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
10.0% $141.08
Printstream
AWP | Printstream
40.0% $127.68
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
10.0% $105.54
Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip
40.0% $74.69
$141.08
+67.4%
$105.61
+25.3%
60.0%+31.5%$84.26—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.85
Rising Sun
Nova | Rising Sun
4.0% $12.48
$51.27
+204.5%
$22.69
+34.7%
48.0%+78.2%$16.84—
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Shinobu
Glock-18 | Shinobu
3.3% $85.17
Searing Rage
AK-47 | Searing Rage
3.3% $65.16
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $56.41
K.O. Factory
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
3.3% $49.28
$290.04
+197.8%
$128.99
+32.4%
30.0%+108.4%$97.39—
FS

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