The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert BS ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
K.O. Factory
6x $6.50
Deathgaze
4x $7.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
20.0% $96.82
Printstream
30.0% $88.49
Bad Trip
30.0% $77.97
Fully Tuned
20.0% $65.86
Max Win
$96.82 (+23.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$82.47 (+5.5%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+13.6%
Cost
$78.19
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $78.19
Ask Price EV $82.47 (+5.5%)
Bid Price EV $75.63 (-3.3%)
Ask Profit $4.28 (+5.5%)
Bid Profit $-2.57 (-3.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.85 (+8.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.28
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.57
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $96.82 (+23.8%)
Worst Case $65.86 (-15.8%)
Volatility +13.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$13.63
Avg Loss -$5.07
Bottom 5% Outcome $65.86 (-15.8%)
Std Dev $10.64
Avg Norm Float 0.5446
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 149h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Ask-Side Flip · Speculative Upside · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$6.50 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$6.87 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.23 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.25 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.35 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.86 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.87 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.90 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.06 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 52S //TOTAL COST $78.19 //ASK PRICE EV $82.47 //BID PRICE EV $75.63 //ASK PROFIT $4.28 (+5.5%) //BID PROFIT $-2.57 (-3.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $96.82 //VOLATILITY +13.6% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
20.0%
$96.82
+$18.63
+23.8%
$91.56
+$13.37
+17.1%
$5.26
5.4%
—
SMALL WIN
30.0%
$88.49
+$10.30
+13.2%
$85.69
+$7.50
+9.6%
$2.80
3.2%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$77.97
-$0.22
-0.3%
$62.00
-$16.19
-20.7%
$15.97
20.5%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$65.86
-$12.33
-15.8%
$65.03
-$13.16
-16.8%
$0.83
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.54456,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a39103af835",
"realistic_value": 88.48750000000001,
"optimistic_value": 86.65,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Printstream",
"conservative_value": 85.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:55.801511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a39103af835.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.54456,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f098f9b83e8b",
"realistic_value": 77.96600000000001,
"optimistic_value": 73.29,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Bad Trip",
"conservative_value": 62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:00.339655Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f098f9b83e8b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.54456,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 96.8155,
"optimistic_value": 95.37,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 91.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:13:50.046701Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.54456,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 65.8625,
"optimistic_value": 65.25,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 65.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:38.910736Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b972a0d0cef3926567aff71c",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 6.5,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "514116741796984290",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:23.366311Z"
},
{
"price": 6.87,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "519746188258426436",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:23.366311Z"
},
{
"price": 8.23,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "492723793447734069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:23.366311Z"
},
{
"price": 8.25,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "492723793447733961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:23.366311Z"
},
{
"price": 8.3,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "512990789045464583",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:10.359658Z"
},
{
"price": 8.35,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "502857689862773764",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:10.359658Z"
},
{
"price": 7.86,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "528753440604561753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 7.87,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "500605942755443159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 7.9,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "493850324808793168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 8.06,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "518620122760121320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $141.08 Printstream 30.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 20.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 30.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +67.5% | $110.03 +30.6% | 70.0% | +30.6% | $84.23 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Printstream 30.0% $745.73 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Bad Trip 30.0% $145.99 | $843.46 +81.5% | $533.19 +14.8% | 70.0% | +60.2% | $464.59 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $100.30 Printstream 30.0% $92.26 Bad Trip 30.0% $76.22 Fully Tuned 20.0% $68.52 | $100.30 +25.8% | $84.31 +5.7% | 50.0% | +14.8% | $79.73 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $286.65 Printstream 30.0% $231.75 Fully Tuned 20.0% $201.70 Bad Trip 30.0% $79.72 | $286.65 +55.1% | $191.11 +3.4% | 70.0% | +42.2% | $184.76 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $141.08 Printstream 35.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 15.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 35.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +70.4% | $107.82 +30.2% | 65.0% | +31.7% | $82.80 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $141.08 Printstream 40.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 10.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 40.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +68.2% | $105.61 +25.9% | 60.0% | +31.6% | $83.89 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline  16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  16.0% $13.72 Rising Sun  4.0% $12.48 | $51.27 +204.5% | $22.67 +34.6% | 48.0% | +78.3% | $16.84 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  26.7% $290.04 Shinobu  6.7% $85.17 Searing Rage  6.7% $65.16 Kintsugi  26.7% $61.35 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.19 K.O. Factory 6.7% $49.28 | $290.04 +214.7% | $122.53 +32.9% | 26.7% | +109.9% | $92.17 | — |