The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert FT ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
K.O. Factory
6x $6.87
Deathgaze
1x $7.90
Kintsugi
3x $8.44
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
20.0% $141.08
Printstream
30.0% $127.68
Fully Tuned
20.0% $105.54
Bad Trip
30.0% $74.69
Max Win
$141.08 (+64.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$110.03 (+28.0%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+30.0%
Cost
$85.96
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $85.96
Ask Price EV $110.03 (+28.0%)
Bid Price EV $93.94 (+9.3%)
Ask Profit $24.07 (+28.0%)
Bid Profit $7.97 (+9.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $16.10 (+18.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$24.07
Bid Slippage Buffer +$7.97
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $141.08 (+64.1%)
Worst Case $74.69 (-13.1%)
Volatility +30.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$39.22
Avg Loss -$11.27
Bottom 5% Outcome $74.69 (-13.1%)
Std Dev $25.79
Avg Norm Float 0.3789
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 146h 51m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Battle-Scarred
$6.87 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.35 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$8.36 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$9.26 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
—
Field-Tested
$9.89 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.90 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.44 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.55 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$10.04 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 14S //TOTAL COST $85.96 //ASK PRICE EV $110.03 //BID PRICE EV $93.94 //ASK PROFIT $24.07 (+28.0%) //BID PROFIT $7.97 (+9.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $141.08 //VOLATILITY +30.0% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$141.08
+$55.12
+64.1%
$117.53
+$31.57
+36.7%
$23.55
16.7%
—
WIN
30.0%
$127.68
+$41.72
+48.5%
$109.52
+$23.56
+27.4%
$18.16
14.2%
—
WIN
20.0%
$105.54
+$19.58
+22.8%
$94.01
+$8.05
+9.4%
$11.53
10.9%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$74.69
-$11.27
-13.1%
$62.57
-$23.39
-27.2%
$12.12
16.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a39103af835",
"realistic_value": 127.6845,
"optimistic_value": 125,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Printstream",
"conservative_value": 109.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:47.008707Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a39103af835.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f098f9b83e8b",
"realistic_value": 74.688,
"optimistic_value": 74.52,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Bad Trip",
"conservative_value": 62.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:45.553242Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f098f9b83e8b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.37888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 141.0785,
"optimistic_value": 139.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 117.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:08.990391Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.37888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 105.53699999999999,
"optimistic_value": 103.5,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 94.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:36.278490Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b972a0d0cef3926567aff71c",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 6.87,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "519746188258426436",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:03:53.821560Z"
},
{
"price": 8.3,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "512990789045464583",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:09.044002Z"
},
{
"price": 8.35,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "502857689862773764",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:09.044002Z"
},
{
"price": 8.36,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "497228137696882373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:09.044002Z"
},
{
"price": 9.26,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "523123091068260550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:09.044002Z"
},
{
"price": 9.89,
"skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"listing_id": "722406200557349282",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:46:09.044002Z"
},
{
"price": 7.9,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "493850324808793168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:47.045880Z"
},
{
"price": 8.44,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "494976390477262902",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
},
{
"price": 8.55,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "512990736599441303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
},
{
"price": 10.04,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "512990789045613371",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Printstream 30.0% $745.73 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Bad Trip 30.0% $145.99 | $843.46 +84.5% | $533.19 +16.6% | 70.0% | +61.2% | $457.17 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $100.30 Printstream 30.0% $92.26 Bad Trip 30.0% $76.22 Fully Tuned 20.0% $68.52 | $100.30 +24.0% | $84.31 +4.2% | 50.0% | +14.6% | $80.90 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $286.65 Printstream 30.0% $231.75 Fully Tuned 20.0% $201.70 Bad Trip 30.0% $79.72 | $286.65 +52.8% | $191.11 +1.9% | 70.0% | +41.5% | $187.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $141.08 Printstream 35.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 15.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 35.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +66.5% | $107.82 +27.3% | 65.0% | +31.0% | $84.72 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Printstream 5.0% $745.73 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Bad Trip 5.0% $145.99 | $843.46 +65.0% | $642.35 +25.7% | 50.0% | +40.2% | $511.18 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 40.0% $843.46 Printstream 10.0% $745.73 Fully Tuned 40.0% $484.90 Bad Trip 10.0% $145.99 | $843.46 +70.5% | $620.52 +25.4% | 50.0% | +45.8% | $494.76 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $141.08 Printstream 40.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned 10.0% $105.54 Bad Trip 40.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +67.0% | $105.61 +25.0% | 60.0% | +31.4% | $84.47 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline  14.0% $18.87 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  14.0% $13.85 Rising Sun  6.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +223.1% | $21.00 +32.3% | 42.0% | +80.3% | $15.87 | — |