The Genesis Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Caged
1x $0.20
MAGnitude
1x $0.36
Broken Record
1x $0.39
Bullfrog
1x $0.40
Rose Hex
3x $0.34
Shredded
2x $0.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
20.0% $15.94
Glitched Paint
20.0% $7.11
Bleeding Edge
20.0% $5.58
Liquidation
8.0% $4.01
Ocular
8.0% $1.19
Cat Fight
8.0% $1.13
Max Win
$15.94 (+232.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.41 (+33.5%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+109.9%
Cost
$4.80
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.80
Ask Price EV $6.41 (+33.5%)
Bid Price EV $5.79 (+20.6%)
Ask Profit $1.61 (+33.5%)
Bid Profit $0.99 (+20.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.62 (+12.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.61
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.99
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+232.1%)
Worst Case $1.07 (-77.6%)
Volatility +109.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$4.74
Avg Loss -$3.10
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.07 (-77.6%)
Std Dev $5.27
Avg Norm Float 0.1999
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 140h 3m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Broken Record
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.76 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 48S //TOTAL COST $4.80 //ASK PRICE EV $6.41 //BID PRICE EV $5.79 //ASK PROFIT $1.61 (+33.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.99 (+20.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +109.9% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$15.94
+$11.14
+232.1%
$14.54
+$9.74
+202.9%
$1.40
8.8%
—
WIN
20.0%
$7.11
+$2.31
+48.2%
$6.21
+$1.41
+29.4%
$0.90
12.7%
—
WIN
20.0%
$5.58
+$0.78
+16.3%
$5.14
+$0.34
+7.1%
$0.44
7.9%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$4.01
-$0.79
-16.4%
$3.61
-$1.19
-24.8%
$0.40
10.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.19
-$3.61
-75.2%
$1.01
-$3.79
-79.0%
$0.18
15.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.13
-$3.67
-76.4%
$1.04
-$3.76
-78.3%
$0.09
8.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.08
-$3.72
-77.5%
$0.96
-$3.84
-80.0%
$0.12
11.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.07
-$3.73
-77.6%
$1.00
-$3.80
-79.2%
$0.07
6.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1339464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 7.1125,
"optimistic_value": 7.06,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:11.303890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.11995199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.581,
"optimistic_value": 5.49,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:15:45.829558Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 1.0745,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:04.255397Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 4.0145,
"optimistic_value": 3.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 3.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:12.174520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 1.1305,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T20:16:13.485553Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:44.627795Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.08,
"optimistic_value": 1.08,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 0.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:04:57.175240Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b2fd99d16a1c5e99d493dac7",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "492724538183351061",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:08.102712Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "506235389469351588",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:09.510334Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
"listing_id": "641341944860654767",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:21.812089Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "525375635592641599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:18:33.394368Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "516368488725524570",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:06:12.103306Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:06:12.103306Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "520872088105717584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:09:28.290970Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293744649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:07.181569Z"
},
{
"price": 0.76,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "519746188258477016",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:41.525652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "506235389469553368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:21.075600Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 20.0% $33.42 Glitched Paint 20.0% $17.45 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $16.98 Liquidation 8.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 8.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 8.0% $2.14 | $33.42 +159.7% | $14.86 +15.5% | 60.0% | +78.0% | $12.87 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $7.05 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.50 Liquidation 10.0% $4.01 Ocular 10.0% $1.19 Cat Fight 10.0% $1.13 | $15.94 +280.5% | $5.60 +33.6% | 50.0% | +112.9% | $4.19 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 13.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 13.3% $7.05 Bleeding Edge 13.3% $5.50 Liquidation 12.0% $4.01 Ocular 12.0% $1.19 Cat Fight 12.0% $1.13 | $15.94 +333.2% | $4.82 +30.9% | 52.0% | +123.1% | $3.68 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 23.3% $6.95 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.50 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Ocular 6.0% $1.19 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.13 | $15.94 +190.4% | $7.13 +30.0% | 70.0% | +88.5% | $5.49 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.95 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.50 Liquidation 4.0% $4.01 Ocular 4.0% $1.19 Cat Fight 4.0% $1.13 | $15.94 +156.7% | $7.91 +27.4% | 53.3% | +77.6% | $6.21 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.11 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.58 Liquidation 2.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 2.0% $1.13 Ocular 2.0% $1.11 | $15.94 +127.7% | $8.76 +25.1% | 60.0% | +67.2% | $7.00 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Radiant Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 10.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 10.0% $6.95 Bleeding Edge 10.0% $5.50 Liquidation 14.0% $4.01 Ocular 14.0% $1.19 Cat Fight 14.0% $1.13 | $15.94 +395.1% | $4.03 +25.1% | 44.0% | +130.2% | $3.22 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 3.3% $15.94 Liquidation 18.0% $7.67 Glitched Paint 3.3% $7.11 Bleeding Edge 3.3% $5.58 Cat Fight 18.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 18.0% $2.14 | $15.94 +332.0% | $3.86 +4.6% | 28.0% | +80.9% | $3.69 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Nouveau Rouge  10.0% $52.14 Ice Coaled  30.0% $24.72 Smoking Kills  30.0% $19.40 Mirror Mosaic  30.0% $17.23 | $52.14 +148.4% | $23.62 +12.5% | 40.0% | +47.5% | $20.99 | — |