The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Cat Fight
1x $1.20
Continuum
3x $1.86
Amberline
5x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
20.0% $63.86
Ice Coaled
13.3% $26.55
Smoking Kills
13.3% $21.84
Mirror Mosaic
13.3% $19.60
Kintsugi
20.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
20.0% $11.60
Max Win
$63.86 (+196.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.69 (+24.0%)
Win %
46.7%
Volatility
+89.5%
Cost
$21.52
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $21.52
Ask Price EV $26.69 (+24.0%)
Bid Price EV $23.60 (+9.7%)
Ask Profit $5.17 (+24.0%)
Bid Profit $2.08 (+9.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.09 (+14.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.17
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.08
Risk
Win Probability 46.7%
Loss Probability 53.3%
Best Case $63.86 (+196.7%)
Worst Case $11.60 (-46.1%)
Volatility +89.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$19.67
Avg Loss -$7.52
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.60 (-46.1%)
Std Dev $19.26
Avg Norm Float 0.3796
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 73h 32m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Cat Fight
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.86 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Continuum
—
Field-Tested
$2.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 01M 12S //TOTAL COST $21.52 //ASK PRICE EV $26.69 //BID PRICE EV $23.60 //ASK PROFIT $5.17 (+24.0%) //BID PROFIT $2.08 (+9.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.7% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +89.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$63.86
+$42.34
+196.7%
$60.32
+$38.80
+180.3%
$3.54
5.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$26.55
+$5.03
+23.4%
$22.10
+$0.58
+2.7%
$4.45
16.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$21.84
+$0.32
+1.5%
$19.06
-$2.46
-11.4%
$2.78
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$19.60
-$1.92
-8.9%
$16.74
-$4.78
-22.2%
$2.86
14.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$12.65
-$8.87
-41.2%
$9.57
-$11.95
-55.5%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$11.60
-$9.92
-46.1%
$9.52
-$12.00
-55.8%
$2.08
17.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.6015,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:48.252870Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 26.55,
"optimistic_value": 26.41,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 22.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T00:26:25.372466Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 19.6025,
"optimistic_value": 19.48,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 16.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:16.515041Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 21.8385,
"optimistic_value": 21.66,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 19.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:02:46.527222Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_aad6114528bc319ab29749f7",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"listing_id": "515242588554318589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:47.475138Z"
},
{
"price": 1.86,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "518620288312908832",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:56.249457Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "506235337025835096",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:56.249457Z"
},
{
"price": 2.24,
"skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"listing_id": "514116523133455638",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:56.249457Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:16.497328Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:16.497328Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:16.497328Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:17.210220Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Ice Coaled 13.3% $115.81 Smoking Kills 13.3% $97.20 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $92.70 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +212.7% | $124.16 +33.9% | 46.7% | +91.6% | $92.76 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Ice Coaled 13.3% $51.44 Smoking Kills 13.3% $41.78 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $37.87 Kintsugi 20.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 20.0% $20.41 | $126.41 +201.0% | $51.37 +22.3% | 33.3% | +92.8% | $42.00 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Ice Coaled 16.7% $115.81 Smoking Kills 16.7% $97.20 Mirror Mosaic 16.7% $92.70 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +215.8% | $120.45 +31.2% | 66.7% | +85.0% | $91.84 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Ice Coaled 20.0% $115.81 Smoking Kills 20.0% $97.01 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $92.70 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +218.7% | $116.71 +28.2% | 73.3% | +77.3% | $91.01 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation  4.0% $11.18 Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Galigator  16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 | $11.18 +191.3% | $5.01 +30.6% | 36.0% | +75.6% | $3.84 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle  5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $961.24 +70.8% | $681.23 +21.1% | 55.0% | +32.4% | $562.73 | — |