The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6

Restricted → Classified BS ST 10 items

Battle-Scarred -6.2%Factory New +34.4%Field-Tested +23.1%Minimal Wear +22.8%Well-Worn -2.8%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred StatTrak™

Inputs

Cat Fight

2x $1.17

Continuum

2x $1.86

Amberline

6x $2.08

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

20.0% $46.25

Ice Coaled

13.3% $17.02

Smoking Kills

13.3% $12.12

Mirror Mosaic

13.3% $11.88

Kintsugi

20.0% $9.34

Deathgaze

20.0% $7.94

Max Win

$46.25 (+138.8%)

EV (ROI %)

$18.18 (-6.2%)

Win %

20.0%

Volatility

+73.8%

Cost

$19.37

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $19.37

Ask Price EV $18.18 (-6.2%)

Bid Price EV $17.45 (-9.9%)

Ask Profit $-1.19 (-6.2%)

Bid Profit $-1.92 (-9.9%)

Liquidity Gap $0.72 (+3.7%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.19

Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.92

Risk

Win Probability 20.0%

Loss Probability 80.0%

Best Case $46.25 (+138.8%)

Worst Case $7.94 (-59.0%)

Volatility +73.8%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%

Avg Win +$26.88

Avg Loss -$8.21

Bottom 5% Outcome $7.94 (-59.0%)

Std Dev $14.30

Avg Norm Float 0.4513

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 18m

Oldest Output Price 141h 37m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Tight

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.17 Float: HIDDEN

MAC-10 | Cat Fight

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.20 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Field-Tested

$1.86 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Continuum

—

Field-Tested

$1.88 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 55M 39S //TOTAL COST $19.37 //ASK PRICE EV $18.18 //BID PRICE EV $17.45 //ASK PROFIT $-1.19 (-6.2%) //BID PROFIT $-1.92 (-9.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $46.25 //VOLATILITY +73.8% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.45131,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 46.253,
      "optimistic_value": 46.05,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 43.83,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.770872Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.45131,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 9.34,
      "optimistic_value": 9.34,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 9.31,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.600372Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.45131,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 7.9365000000000006,
      "optimistic_value": 7.87,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 7.84,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:02.282190Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.45131,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
      "realistic_value": 17.0175,
      "optimistic_value": 16.86,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
      "conservative_value": 15.96,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:57.673472Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.45131,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
      "realistic_value": 11.884500000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 11.65,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
      "conservative_value": 11.45,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:29.464864Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.45131,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
      "realistic_value": 12.122,
      "optimistic_value": 12.08,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
      "conservative_value": 12.02,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:06.324425Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_aad6114528bc319ab29749f7",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
      "listing_id": "512990736599957219",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:45.944148Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.2,
      "skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
      "listing_id": "515242588554318589",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:45.944148Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.86,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "518620288312908832",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:53:52.107981Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.88,
      "skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "listing_id": "506235337025835096",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:53:52.107981Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Ice Coaled 13.3% $115.81 Smoking Kills 13.3% $97.01 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $92.70 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47	$290.04 +214.1%	$124.14 +34.4%	60.0%	+92.0%	$92.35	—
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled 13.3% $26.55 Smoking Kills 13.3% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $19.60 Kintsugi 20.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 20.0% $10.67	$63.86 +196.7%	$26.50 +23.1%	46.7%	+90.2%	$21.52	—
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Ice Coaled 13.3% $51.44 Smoking Kills 13.3% $42.08 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $37.87 Kintsugi 20.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 20.0% $21.23	$126.41 +200.9%	$51.57 +22.8%	46.7%	+92.5%	$42.01	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Ice Coaled 16.7% $115.81 Smoking Kills 16.7% $97.01 Mirror Mosaic 16.7% $92.70 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47	$290.04 +215.5%	$120.42 +31.0%	66.7%	+85.0%	$91.92	—
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Ice Coaled 20.0% $115.81 Smoking Kills 20.0% $97.01 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $92.70 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47	$290.04 +218.6%	$116.71 +28.2%	73.3%	+77.3%	$91.05	—
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled 23.3% $26.55 Smoking Kills 23.3% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic 23.3% $19.60 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91	$63.86 +221.4%	$24.71 +24.3%	56.7%	+69.9%	$19.87	—
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Ice Coaled 30.0% $51.44 Smoking Kills 30.0% $42.08 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $38.05 Kintsugi 3.3% $23.12 Deathgaze 3.3% $21.23	$126.41 +222.4%	$45.16 +15.2%	63.3%	+43.1%	$39.21	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Liquidation 6.0% $11.18 Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Galigator 14.0% $3.26 Amberline 14.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.19	$11.18 +203.1%	$4.87 +32.1%	34.0%	+79.0%	$3.69	—
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST	The Oligarch 5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle 5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90	$961.24 +70.8%	$681.23 +21.1%	55.0%	+32.4%	$562.73	—