The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Ocular
2x $6.13
Angel Eyes
2x $9.60
Urban Sovereign
4x $4.65
Amberline
1x $6.64
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Ice Coaled
13.3% $115.81
Smoking Kills
13.3% $100.62
Mirror Mosaic
13.3% $92.70
Kintsugi
20.0% $65.51
Deathgaze
20.0% $61.53
Max Win
$290.04 (+213.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$124.63 (+34.5%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+91.5%
Cost
$92.64
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $92.64
Ask Price EV $124.63 (+34.5%)
Bid Price EV $102.07 (+10.2%)
Ask Profit $31.99 (+34.5%)
Bid Profit $9.43 (+10.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $22.56 (+24.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$31.99
Bid Slippage Buffer +$9.43
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $290.04 (+213.1%)
Worst Case $61.53 (-33.6%)
Volatility +91.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$72.74
Avg Loss -$29.12
Bottom 5% Outcome $61.53 (-33.6%)
Std Dev $84.80
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 56h 26m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Ocular
—
Minimal Wear
$6.13 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Factory New
$9.60 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
—
Factory New
$10.38 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Ocular
—
Factory New
$11.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 03M 09S //TOTAL COST $92.64 //ASK PRICE EV $124.63 //BID PRICE EV $102.07 //ASK PROFIT $31.99 (+34.5%) //BID PROFIT $9.43 (+10.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +91.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$290.04
+$197.40
+213.1%
$229.11
+$136.47
+147.3%
$60.93
21.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$115.81
+$23.17
+25.0%
$92.66
+$0.02
+0.0%
$23.15
20.0%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$100.62
+$7.98
+8.6%
$92.04
-$0.60
-0.6%
$8.58
8.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$92.70
+$0.06
+0.1%
$71.45
-$21.19
-22.9%
$21.25
22.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$65.51
-$27.13
-29.3%
$55.11
-$37.53
-40.5%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$61.53
-$31.11
-33.6%
$55.38
-$37.26
-40.2%
$6.15
10.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.723158Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.528999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:28.082311Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5be0877a3d7",
"realistic_value": 115.80799999999999,
"optimistic_value": 112.63,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 92.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T16:30:38.430089Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5be0877a3d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a59908982432",
"realistic_value": 92.699,
"optimistic_value": 87.47,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic",
"conservative_value": 71.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:31.648638Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a59908982432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-270e56729de6",
"realistic_value": 100.618,
"optimistic_value": 100.1,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Smoking Kills",
"conservative_value": 92.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:19:31.200132Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-270e56729de6.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_aad6114528bc319ab29749f7",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 6.13,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "490471993850515119",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:42:37.135040Z"
},
{
"price": 9.6,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "529879287550044144",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:53.053243Z"
},
{
"price": 10.38,
"skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"listing_id": "523123091076232354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:53.053243Z"
},
{
"price": 11.75,
"skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"listing_id": "520871922574410732",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Ocular",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:45.012593Z"
},
{
"price": 4.65,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "509613089304042939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:30.419249Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.555448Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled 13.3% $26.55 Smoking Kills 13.3% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $19.60 Kintsugi 20.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 20.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +197.2% | $26.75 +24.5% | 46.7% | +89.4% | $21.49 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Ice Coaled 13.3% $51.44 Smoking Kills 13.3% $41.78 Mirror Mosaic 13.3% $37.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $23.12 Deathgaze 20.0% $20.83 | $126.41 +193.4% | $51.54 +19.6% | 33.3% | +90.2% | $43.08 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Ice Coaled 16.7% $115.81 Smoking Kills 16.7% $97.20 Mirror Mosaic 16.7% $92.70 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +217.2% | $120.45 +31.7% | 66.7% | +85.4% | $91.43 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Ice Coaled 20.0% $115.81 Smoking Kills 20.0% $97.20 Mirror Mosaic 20.0% $92.70 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +219.4% | $116.74 +28.5% | 73.3% | +77.5% | $90.82 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Ice Coaled 30.0% $51.44 Smoking Kills 30.0% $41.78 Mirror Mosaic 30.0% $37.87 Kintsugi 3.3% $22.62 Deathgaze 3.3% $20.41 | $126.41 +226.5% | $44.98 +16.2% | 63.3% | +43.9% | $38.72 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle  5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $961.24 +70.8% | $681.23 +21.1% | 55.0% | +32.4% | $562.73 | — |