The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
BI83 Spectrum
1x $4.14
Amberline
9x $1.99
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $45.29
Turbo Peek
3.3% $38.60
Snack Attack
3.3% $25.73
Toybox
3.3% $22.57
Deathgaze
30.0% $9.08
Kintsugi
30.0% $8.48
Max Win
$45.29 (+83.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$21.75 (-11.7%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+67.6%
Cost
$24.64
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.64
Ask Price EV $21.75 (-11.7%)
Bid Price EV $20.03 (-18.7%)
Ask Profit $-2.89 (-11.7%)
Bid Profit $-4.61 (-18.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.72 (+7.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.89
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.61
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $45.29 (+83.8%)
Worst Case $8.48 (-65.6%)
Volatility +67.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$18.26
Avg Loss -$15.14
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.48 (-65.6%)
Std Dev $16.65
Avg Norm Float 0.4351
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h 41m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
—
Field-Tested
$4.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.99 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 41S //TOTAL COST $24.64 //ASK PRICE EV $21.75 //BID PRICE EV $20.03 //ASK PROFIT $-2.89 (-11.7%) //BID PROFIT $-4.61 (-18.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +67.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$45.29
+$20.64
+83.8%
$41.72
+$17.08
+69.3%
$3.56
7.9%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$38.60
+$13.95
+56.6%
$35.85
+$11.21
+45.5%
$2.74
7.1%
—
SMALL WIN
3.3%
$25.73
+$1.09
+4.4%
$24.92
+$0.28
+1.1%
$0.81
3.2%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$22.57
-$2.07
-8.4%
$21.02
-$3.62
-14.7%
$1.55
6.9%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$9.08
-$15.56
-63.2%
$8.25
-$16.39
-66.5%
$0.83
9.1%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$8.48
-$16.16
-65.6%
$7.70
-$16.94
-68.8%
$0.78
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-29|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.4351,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.4351,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 8.4785,
"optimistic_value": 8.44,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.767827Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.4351,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 9.0785,
"optimistic_value": 8.48,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.660588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.4351,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf4887fb0502",
"realistic_value": 25.7335,
"optimistic_value": 25.66,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Snack Attack",
"conservative_value": 24.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:53.371633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf4887fb0502.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.4351,
"output_skin_id": "skin-87390b8680ce",
"realistic_value": 22.57,
"optimistic_value": 22.5,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Toybox",
"conservative_value": 21.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:11.243127Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87390b8680ce.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.26105999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-32bcc9d7f929",
"realistic_value": 38.595,
"optimistic_value": 37.3,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Turbo Peek",
"conservative_value": 35.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:35.493687Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-32bcc9d7f929.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a916a43d994b27994c389787",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.14,
"skin_id": "skin-fbe7862c26f8",
"listing_id": "511864888984754253",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fbe7862c26f8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:53:17.177958Z"
},
{
"price": 1.99,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "529879287551401776",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "501731789730739121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-29:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Turbo Peek 3.3% $158.91 Snack Attack 3.3% $151.84 Toybox 3.3% $116.34 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $60.53 | $290.04 +177.2% | $138.85 +32.7% | 40.0% | +97.4% | $104.63 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Turbo Peek 3.3% $38.60 Snack Attack 3.3% $27.33 Toybox 3.3% $25.01 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.72 | $63.86 +135.2% | $29.50 +8.7% | 36.7% | +85.4% | $27.15 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Turbo Peek 3.3% $76.43 Snack Attack 3.3% $59.20 Toybox 3.3% $48.52 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.08 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.31 | $126.41 +126.6% | $57.38 +2.9% | 36.7% | +83.8% | $55.79 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Turbo Peek 6.7% $158.91 Snack Attack 6.7% $151.84 Toybox 6.7% $116.34 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +159.0% | $139.49 +24.6% | 46.7% | +85.8% | $111.97 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Turbo Peek 10.0% $158.91 Snack Attack 10.0% $151.84 Toybox 10.0% $116.34 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +146.2% | $139.85 +18.7% | 43.3% | +76.5% | $117.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Spider Lily  2.0% $163.19 ZX Spectron  2.0% $53.62 Mount Fuji  2.0% $51.31 Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Boost Protocol  2.0% $26.94 | $163.19 +592.1% | $29.66 +25.8% | 44.0% | +91.2% | $23.58 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Ocean Drive  5.0% $756.79 Leet Museo  5.0% $581.10 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $843.46 +49.4% | $664.66 +17.8% | 55.0% | +30.5% | $564.44 | — |