The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
BI83 Spectrum
1x $4.15
Amberline
8x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
Turbo Peek
3.3% $38.60
Snack Attack
3.3% $27.33
Toybox
3.3% $25.01
Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
30.0% $11.72
Max Win
$63.86 (+135.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$29.50 (+8.7%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+85.4%
Cost
$27.15
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $27.15
Ask Price EV $29.50 (+8.7%)
Bid Price EV $26.56 (-2.2%)
Ask Profit $2.35 (+8.7%)
Bid Profit $-0.59 (-2.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.94 (+10.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.35
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.59
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $63.86 (+135.2%)
Worst Case $11.72 (-56.9%)
Volatility +85.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$31.09
Avg Loss -$14.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.72 (-56.9%)
Std Dev $23.19
Avg Norm Float 0.3789
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
—
Field-Tested
$4.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 41S //TOTAL COST $27.15 //ASK PRICE EV $29.50 //BID PRICE EV $26.56 //ASK PROFIT $2.35 (+8.7%) //BID PROFIT $-0.59 (-2.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +85.4% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$63.86
+$36.71
+135.2%
$60.32
+$33.17
+122.2%
$3.54
5.5%
—
WIN
3.3%
$38.60
+$11.45
+42.2%
$35.85
+$8.70
+32.0%
$2.74
7.1%
—
PAPER WIN
3.3%
$27.33
+$0.18
+0.7%
$24.88
-$2.27
-8.4%
$2.45
9.0%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$25.01
-$2.14
-7.9%
$21.36
-$5.79
-21.3%
$3.65
14.6%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$12.65
-$14.50
-53.4%
$9.57
-$17.58
-64.8%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$11.72
-$15.43
-56.9%
$9.52
-$17.63
-64.9%
$2.20
18.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-29|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37885,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37885,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37885,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.715,
"optimistic_value": 11.68,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.553427Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37885,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf4887fb0502",
"realistic_value": 27.333000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 26.92,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Snack Attack",
"conservative_value": 24.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T09:12:56.429523Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf4887fb0502.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37885,
"output_skin_id": "skin-87390b8680ce",
"realistic_value": 25.008,
"optimistic_value": 24.77,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Toybox",
"conservative_value": 21.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:30.851755Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87390b8680ce.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.22731,
"output_skin_id": "skin-32bcc9d7f929",
"realistic_value": 38.595,
"optimistic_value": 37.3,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Turbo Peek",
"conservative_value": 35.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:35.493687Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-32bcc9d7f929.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a916a43d994b27994c389787",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.15,
"skin_id": "skin-fbe7862c26f8",
"listing_id": "529879235107890504",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fbe7862c26f8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:53:17.177958Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "501731789730739121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
},
{
"price": 3.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "528753335312272197",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:51.873215Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-29:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Turbo Peek 3.3% $158.91 Snack Attack 3.3% $151.84 Toybox 3.3% $116.34 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $60.53 | $290.04 +177.2% | $138.85 +32.7% | 40.0% | +97.4% | $104.63 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Turbo Peek 3.3% $76.43 Snack Attack 3.3% $59.20 Toybox 3.3% $48.52 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.08 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.31 | $126.41 +126.6% | $57.38 +2.9% | 36.7% | +83.8% | $55.79 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Turbo Peek 6.7% $158.91 Snack Attack 6.7% $151.84 Toybox 6.7% $116.34 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +159.0% | $139.49 +24.6% | 46.7% | +85.8% | $111.97 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Turbo Peek 10.0% $158.91 Snack Attack 10.0% $151.84 Toybox 10.0% $116.34 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +146.2% | $139.85 +18.7% | 43.3% | +76.5% | $117.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Spider Lily  2.0% $163.19 ZX Spectron  2.0% $53.62 Mount Fuji  2.0% $51.31 Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Boost Protocol  2.0% $26.94 | $163.19 +592.1% | $29.66 +25.8% | 44.0% | +91.2% | $23.58 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Ocean Drive  5.0% $756.79 Leet Museo  5.0% $581.10 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $843.46 +49.4% | $664.66 +17.8% | 55.0% | +30.5% | $564.44 | — |