The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
BI83 Spectrum
1x $9.47
Urban Sovereign
7x $4.72
Amberline
2x $6.40
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Turbo Peek
3.3% $158.91
Snack Attack
3.3% $151.84
Toybox
3.3% $116.34
Kintsugi
30.0% $64.80
Deathgaze
30.0% $61.47
Max Win
$290.04 (+175.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$139.13 (+32.1%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+96.5%
Cost
$105.36
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $105.36
Ask Price EV $139.13 (+32.1%)
Bid Price EV $113.37 (+7.6%)
Ask Profit $33.77 (+32.1%)
Bid Profit $8.01 (+7.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $25.76 (+24.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$33.77
Bid Slippage Buffer +$8.01
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $290.04 (+175.3%)
Worst Case $61.47 (-41.7%)
Volatility +96.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$147.76
Avg Loss -$42.23
Bottom 5% Outcome $61.47 (-41.7%)
Std Dev $101.66
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 144h 40m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
—
Minimal Wear
$9.47 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$16.99 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 04M 18S //TOTAL COST $105.36 //ASK PRICE EV $139.13 //BID PRICE EV $113.37 //ASK PROFIT $33.77 (+32.1%) //BID PROFIT $8.01 (+7.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +96.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$290.04
+$184.68
+175.3%
$229.11
+$123.75
+117.5%
$60.93
21.0%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$158.91
+$53.55
+50.8%
$123.76
+$18.40
+17.5%
$35.15
22.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$151.84
+$46.48
+44.1%
$127.77
+$22.41
+21.3%
$24.07
15.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$116.34
+$10.98
+10.4%
$93.07
-$12.29
-11.7%
$23.27
20.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$64.80
-$40.56
-38.5%
$55.11
-$50.25
-47.7%
$9.69
15.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$61.47
-$43.89
-41.7%
$55.38
-$49.98
-47.4%
$6.09
9.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-29|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 64.802,
"optimistic_value": 64.2,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:25.824993Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:36:18.187367Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf4887fb0502",
"realistic_value": 151.836,
"optimistic_value": 141.07,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Snack Attack",
"conservative_value": 127.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:44.919687Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf4887fb0502.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-87390b8680ce",
"realistic_value": 116.33749999999999,
"optimistic_value": 117.04,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Toybox",
"conservative_value": 93.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:31.872525Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87390b8680ce.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.041988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-32bcc9d7f929",
"realistic_value": 158.9115,
"optimistic_value": 139,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Turbo Peek",
"conservative_value": 123.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:22.297541Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-32bcc9d7f929.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a916a43d994b27994c389787",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 9.47,
"skin_id": "skin-fbe7862c26f8",
"listing_id": "610942109785831711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fbe7862c26f8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:56.950201Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "501731789730735413",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
},
{
"price": 6.4,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "519746188259003948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:25.725422Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753387757823085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:39:25.725422Z"
},
{
"price": 7.53,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116636505408218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:32.394071Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.432665Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.432665Z"
},
{
"price": 16.99,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "523123091079375442",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.432665Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.432665Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-29:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Turbo Peek 3.3% $38.60 Snack Attack 3.3% $27.33 Toybox 3.3% $25.01 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.72 | $63.86 +124.1% | $29.50 +3.5% | 33.3% | +81.4% | $28.50 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Turbo Peek 3.3% $76.43 Snack Attack 3.3% $59.20 Toybox 3.3% $48.52 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.08 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.75 | $126.41 +123.7% | $57.51 +1.8% | 36.7% | +82.6% | $56.52 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Turbo Peek 6.7% $158.91 Snack Attack 6.7% $151.84 Toybox 6.7% $116.34 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +161.7% | $139.68 +26.0% | 46.7% | +86.5% | $110.84 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Turbo Peek 10.0% $158.91 Snack Attack 10.0% $151.84 Toybox 10.0% $116.34 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +147.3% | $139.85 +19.2% | 43.3% | +76.8% | $117.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Spider Lily  2.0% $163.19 ZX Spectron  2.0% $53.62 Mount Fuji  2.0% $51.31 Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Boost Protocol  2.0% $26.94 | $163.19 +580.5% | $29.66 +23.7% | 44.0% | +89.7% | $23.98 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Ocean Drive  5.0% $756.79 Leet Museo  5.0% $581.10 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $843.46 +48.3% | $664.66 +16.9% | 55.0% | +30.3% | $568.70 | — |