The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified BS ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
BI83 Spectrum
1x $3.96
Amberline
9x $1.91
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $46.25
Turbo Peek
3.3% $38.60
Snack Attack
3.3% $26.93
Toybox
3.3% $23.23
Kintsugi
30.0% $9.34
Deathgaze
30.0% $7.94
Max Win
$46.25 (+97.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$22.02 (-6.2%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+73.1%
Cost
$23.46
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $23.46
Ask Price EV $22.02 (-6.2%)
Bid Price EV $21.03 (-10.3%)
Ask Profit $-1.44 (-6.2%)
Bid Profit $-2.43 (-10.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.98 (+4.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.44
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.43
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $46.25 (+97.2%)
Worst Case $7.94 (-66.2%)
Volatility +73.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$20.34
Avg Loss -$14.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.94 (-66.2%)
Std Dev $17.14
Avg Norm Float 0.5672
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 5h 24m
Oldest Output Price 145h 40m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
—
Battle-Scarred
$3.96 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.99 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 40S //TOTAL COST $23.46 //ASK PRICE EV $22.02 //BID PRICE EV $21.03 //ASK PROFIT $-1.44 (-6.2%) //BID PROFIT $-2.43 (-10.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $46.25 //VOLATILITY +73.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$46.25
+$22.79
+97.2%
$43.83
+$20.37
+86.8%
$2.42
5.2%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$38.60
+$15.13
+64.5%
$35.85
+$12.39
+52.8%
$2.74
7.1%
—
SMALL WIN
3.3%
$26.93
+$3.47
+14.8%
$24.81
+$1.35
+5.8%
$2.12
7.9%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$23.23
-$0.23
-1.0%
$21.53
-$1.93
-8.2%
$1.70
7.3%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$9.34
-$14.12
-60.2%
$9.31
-$14.15
-60.3%
$0.03
0.3%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$7.94
-$15.52
-66.2%
$7.84
-$15.62
-66.6%
$0.10
1.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-29|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.56717,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 46.253,
"optimistic_value": 46.05,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 43.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.770872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.56717,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 9.34,
"optimistic_value": 9.34,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.600372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.56717,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 7.9365000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 7.87,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.096617Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.56717,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf4887fb0502",
"realistic_value": 26.925,
"optimistic_value": 25.91,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Snack Attack",
"conservative_value": 24.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:42.187622Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf4887fb0502.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.56717,
"output_skin_id": "skin-87390b8680ce",
"realistic_value": 23.225,
"optimistic_value": 22,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Toybox",
"conservative_value": 21.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T20:41:19.382697Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87390b8680ce.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.34030199999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-32bcc9d7f929",
"realistic_value": 38.595,
"optimistic_value": 37.3,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Turbo Peek",
"conservative_value": 35.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:35.493687Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-32bcc9d7f929.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a916a43d994b27994c389787",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.96,
"skin_id": "skin-fbe7862c26f8",
"listing_id": "496102124625199511",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fbe7862c26f8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:51.430125Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737643639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 1.99,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "529879287551401776",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-29:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Turbo Peek 3.3% $158.91 Snack Attack 3.3% $151.84 Toybox 3.3% $116.34 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $60.53 | $290.04 +177.2% | $138.85 +32.7% | 40.0% | +97.4% | $104.63 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Turbo Peek 3.3% $38.60 Snack Attack 3.3% $27.33 Toybox 3.3% $25.01 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.72 | $63.86 +135.2% | $29.50 +8.7% | 36.7% | +85.4% | $27.15 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Turbo Peek 3.3% $76.43 Snack Attack 3.3% $59.20 Toybox 3.3% $48.52 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.08 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.31 | $126.41 +126.6% | $57.38 +2.9% | 36.7% | +83.8% | $55.79 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Turbo Peek 6.7% $158.91 Snack Attack 6.7% $151.84 Toybox 6.7% $116.34 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +159.0% | $139.49 +24.6% | 46.7% | +85.8% | $111.97 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Turbo Peek 10.0% $158.91 Snack Attack 10.0% $151.84 Toybox 10.0% $116.34 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +146.2% | $139.85 +18.7% | 43.3% | +76.5% | $117.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Spider Lily  2.0% $163.19 ZX Spectron  2.0% $53.62 Mount Fuji  2.0% $51.31 Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Boost Protocol  2.0% $26.94 | $163.19 +592.1% | $29.66 +25.8% | 44.0% | +91.2% | $23.58 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Ocean Drive  5.0% $756.79 Leet Museo  5.0% $581.10 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $843.46 +49.4% | $664.66 +17.8% | 55.0% | +30.5% | $564.44 | — |