The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
BI83 Spectrum

1x $7.01
Amberline

3x $2.91
Urban Sovereign

4x $3.64
Galigator

2x $5.67
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight

30.0% $126.41
Turbo Peek

3.3% $76.43
Snack Attack

3.3% $59.20
Toybox

3.3% $48.52
Kintsugi

30.0% $23.08
Deathgaze

30.0% $21.31
Max Win
$126.41 (+126.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$57.38 (+2.9%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+83.8%
Cost
$55.79
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $55.79
Ask Price EV $57.38 (+2.9%)
Bid Price EV $50.64 (-9.2%)
Ask Profit $1.59 (+2.9%)
Bid Profit $-5.15 (-9.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.74 (+12.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.59
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.15
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+126.6%)
Worst Case $21.31 (-61.8%)
Volatility +83.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$59.97
Avg Loss -$32.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.31 (-61.8%)
Std Dev $46.77
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
—
Minimal Wear

$7.01 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested

$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested

$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested

$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear

$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear

$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear

$5.67 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear

$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear

$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear

$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 40S //TOTAL COST $55.79 //ASK PRICE EV $57.38 //BID PRICE EV $50.64 //ASK PROFIT $1.59 (+2.9%) //BID PROFIT $-5.15 (-9.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +83.8% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$126.41
+$70.62
+126.6%
$112.39
+$56.60
+101.5%
$14.02
11.1%
—

WIN
3.3%
$76.43
+$20.64
+37.0%
$66.90
+$11.11
+19.9%
$9.53
12.5%
—

PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$59.20
+$3.41
+6.1%
$46.62
-$9.17
-16.4%
$12.58
21.2%
—

LOSS THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$48.52
-$7.27
-13.0%
$33.83
-$21.96
-39.4%
$14.69
30.3%
—

NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$23.08
-$32.71
-58.6%
$20.66
-$35.13
-63.0%
$2.42
10.5%
—

NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$21.31
-$34.48
-61.8%
$19.38
-$36.41
-65.3%
$1.93
9.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-29|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.082,
"optimistic_value": 22.9,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:52.783024Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.3125,
"optimistic_value": 20.56,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:57.136134Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cf4887fb0502",
"realistic_value": 59.1995,
"optimistic_value": 58.93,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Snack Attack",
"conservative_value": 46.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:54:51.145966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf4887fb0502.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-87390b8680ce",
"realistic_value": 48.5215,
"optimistic_value": 48.49,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Toybox",
"conservative_value": 33.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:13:23.068319Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87390b8680ce.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.08964599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-32bcc9d7f929",
"realistic_value": 76.43050000000001,
"optimistic_value": 74.95,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Turbo Peek",
"conservative_value": 66.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:26.605289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-32bcc9d7f929.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a916a43d994b27994c389787",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 7.01,
"skin_id": "skin-fbe7862c26f8",
"listing_id": "506235337025657688",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fbe7862c26f8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:13.925576Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "501731789730739121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:51.873215Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "501731789730735413",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.729750Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.729750Z"
},
{
"price": 5.67,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "519746188259369996",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.782586Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753387757823085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:13.519522Z"
},
{
"price": 7.53,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116636505408218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.729750Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.782586Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-29:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 30.0% $290.04 Turbo Peek ![]() 3.3% $158.91 Snack Attack ![]() 3.3% $151.84 Toybox ![]() 3.3% $116.34 Kintsugi ![]() 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze ![]() 30.0% $60.53 | $290.04 +177.2% | $138.85 +32.7% | 40.0% | +97.4% | $104.63 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 30.0% $63.86 Turbo Peek ![]() 3.3% $38.60 Snack Attack ![]() 3.3% $27.33 Toybox ![]() 3.3% $25.01 Kintsugi ![]() 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 30.0% $11.72 | $63.86 +135.2% | $29.50 +8.7% | 36.7% | +85.4% | $27.15 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 26.7% $290.04 Turbo Peek ![]() 6.7% $158.91 Snack Attack ![]() 6.7% $151.84 Toybox ![]() 6.7% $116.34 Kintsugi ![]() 26.7% $64.80 Deathgaze ![]() 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +159.0% | $139.49 +24.6% | 46.7% | +85.8% | $111.97 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 23.3% $290.04 Turbo Peek ![]() 10.0% $158.91 Snack Attack ![]() 10.0% $151.84 Toybox ![]() 10.0% $116.34 Kintsugi ![]() 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze ![]() 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +146.2% | $139.85 +18.7% | 43.3% | +76.5% | $117.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Spider Lily ![]() 2.0% $163.19 ZX Spectron ![]() 2.0% $53.62 Mount Fuji ![]() 2.0% $51.31 Electrum ![]() 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing ![]() 18.0% $31.66 Boost Protocol ![]() 2.0% $26.94 | $163.19 +592.1% | $29.66 +25.8% | 44.0% | +91.2% | $23.58 | — |
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 45.0% $843.46 Ocean Drive ![]() 5.0% $756.79 Leet Museo ![]() 5.0% $581.10 Fully Tuned ![]() 45.0% $484.90 | $843.46 +49.4% | $664.66 +17.8% | 55.0% | +30.5% | $564.44 | — |









