The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9

Restricted Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
BI83 Spectrum
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
1x $7.01
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
3x $2.91
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
4x $3.64
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
2x $5.67
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
Turbo Peek
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
3.3% $76.43
Snack Attack
Glock-18 | Snack Attack
3.3% $59.20
Toybox
MAC-10 | Toybox
3.3% $48.52
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $23.08
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $21.31
Max Win
$126.41 (+126.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$57.38 (+2.9%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+83.8%
Cost
$55.79
Age
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $55.79
Ask Price EV $57.38 (+2.9%)
Bid Price EV $50.64 (-9.2%)
Ask Profit $1.59 (+2.9%)
Bid Profit $-5.15 (-9.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.74 (+12.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.59
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.15
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+126.6%)
Worst Case $21.31 (-61.8%)
Volatility +83.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$59.97
Avg Loss -$32.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.31 (-61.8%)
Std Dev $46.77
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear)
$7.01 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)
$5.67 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 40S //TOTAL COST $55.79 //ASK PRICE EV $57.38 //BID PRICE EV $50.64 //ASK PROFIT $1.59 (+2.9%) //BID PROFIT $-5.15 (-9.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +83.8% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-29|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 1,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-29"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 9,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14941,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 124,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 112.39,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14941,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 23.082,
      "optimistic_value": 22.9,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 20.66,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:52.783024Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14941,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 21.3125,
      "optimistic_value": 20.56,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 19.38,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:57.136134Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.14941,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-cf4887fb0502",
      "realistic_value": 59.1995,
      "optimistic_value": 58.93,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Snack Attack",
      "conservative_value": 46.62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:54:51.145966Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf4887fb0502.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.14941,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-87390b8680ce",
      "realistic_value": 48.5215,
      "optimistic_value": 48.49,
      "output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Toybox",
      "conservative_value": 33.83,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:13:23.068319Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87390b8680ce.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.08964599999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-32bcc9d7f929",
      "realistic_value": 76.43050000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 74.95,
      "output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Turbo Peek",
      "conservative_value": 66.9,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Operation Riptide Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:26.605289Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-32bcc9d7f929.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_a916a43d994b27994c389787",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 7.01,
      "skin_id": "skin-fbe7862c26f8",
      "listing_id": "506235337025657688",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-29",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fbe7862c26f8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:13.925576Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.91,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "501731789730739121",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "497228024527485521",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.64,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "498354037510570279",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:51.873215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.72,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "501731789730735413",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.729750Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.38,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "500605837398261191",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.729750Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.67,
      "skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "listing_id": "519746188259369996",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.782586Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "528753387757823085",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:13.519522Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 7.53,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "514116636505408218",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.729750Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9,
      "skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "listing_id": "496102237883506139",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.782586Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-29:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Turbo Peek
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
3.3% $158.91
Snack Attack
Glock-18 | Snack Attack
3.3% $151.84
Toybox
MAC-10 | Toybox
3.3% $116.34
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $64.80
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $60.53
$290.04
+177.2%
$138.85
+32.7%
40.0%+97.4%$104.63
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
Turbo Peek
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
3.3% $38.60
Snack Attack
Glock-18 | Snack Attack
3.3% $27.33
Toybox
MAC-10 | Toybox
3.3% $25.01
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $11.72
$63.86
+135.2%
$29.50
+8.7%
36.7%+85.4%$27.15
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Operation Riptide Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Turbo Peek
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
6.7% $158.91
Snack Attack
Glock-18 | Snack Attack
6.7% $151.84
Toybox
MAC-10 | Toybox
6.7% $116.34
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $64.80
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $61.47
$290.04
+159.0%
$139.49
+24.6%
46.7%+85.8%$111.97
The Operation Riptide Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
Turbo Peek
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek
10.0% $158.91
Snack Attack
Glock-18 | Snack Attack
10.0% $151.84
Toybox
MAC-10 | Toybox
10.0% $116.34
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $64.80
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $61.47
$290.04
+146.2%
$139.85
+18.7%
43.3%+76.5%$117.80
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Factory New ST
Spider Lily
M4A4 | Spider Lily
2.0% $163.19
ZX Spectron
FAMAS | ZX Spectron
2.0% $53.62
Mount Fuji
MP9 | Mount Fuji
2.0% $51.31
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
18.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
18.0% $31.66
Boost Protocol
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol
2.0% $26.94
$163.19
+592.1%
$29.66
+25.8%
44.0%+91.2%$23.58
The Operation Riptide Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Classified Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $843.46
Ocean Drive
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive
5.0% $756.79
Leet Museo
AK-47 | Leet Museo
5.0% $581.10
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $484.90
$843.46
+49.4%
$664.66
+17.8%
55.0%+30.5%$564.44
FS

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