The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert WW ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
2x $4.99
Wild Child
2x $5.35
Deathgaze
4x $7.88
Kintsugi
2x $8.44
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
30.0% $100.30
Fully Tuned
30.0% $68.52
Temukau
20.0% $52.74
Head Shot
20.0% $39.98
Max Win
$100.30 (+44.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$69.19 (-0.7%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+32.6%
Cost
$69.65
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $69.65
Ask Price EV $69.19 (-0.7%)
Bid Price EV $63.96 (-8.2%)
Ask Profit $-0.46 (-0.7%)
Bid Profit $-5.69 (-8.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.23 (+7.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.46
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.69
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $100.30 (+44.0%)
Worst Case $39.98 (-42.6%)
Volatility +32.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$30.65
Avg Loss -$13.79
Bottom 5% Outcome $39.98 (-42.6%)
Std Dev $22.70
Avg Norm Float 0.4449
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 148h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$4.99 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$5.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Field-Tested
$5.35 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Field-Tested
$5.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.88 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.90 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.06 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.07 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.44 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.55 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 03M 48S //TOTAL COST $69.65 //ASK PRICE EV $69.19 //BID PRICE EV $63.96 //ASK PROFIT $-0.46 (-0.7%) //BID PROFIT $-5.69 (-8.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $100.30 //VOLATILITY +32.6% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
30.0%
$100.30
+$30.65
+44.0%
$94.02
+$24.37
+35.0%
$6.28
6.3%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$68.52
-$1.13
-1.6%
$62.86
-$6.79
-9.7%
$5.66
8.3%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$52.74
-$16.91
-24.3%
$47.24
-$22.41
-32.2%
$5.50
10.4%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$39.98
-$29.67
-42.6%
$37.23
-$32.42
-46.5%
$2.75
6.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.44485,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 100.303,
"optimistic_value": 98,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 94.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:06.195080Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.44485,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 68.5225,
"optimistic_value": 67,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 62.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:31.690768Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.44485,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 39.978,
"optimistic_value": 39.46,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 37.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:58.726763Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.35588000000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 52.739,
"optimistic_value": 51.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 47.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:13.288982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_90cc18c3105dd334f45488f5",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.99,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "502857689863237444",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.513960Z"
},
{
"price": 5,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "512990789045347223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.513960Z"
},
{
"price": 5.35,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "510738989041305502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:18.936074Z"
},
{
"price": 5.41,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "496102290328679783",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:18.936074Z"
},
{
"price": 7.88,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "521997988016573250",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.575551Z"
},
{
"price": 7.9,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "493850324808793168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.575551Z"
},
{
"price": 8.06,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "518620122760121320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.575551Z"
},
{
"price": 8.07,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "498354037509773671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.575551Z"
},
{
"price": 8.44,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "494976390477262902",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.188404Z"
},
{
"price": 8.55,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "512990736599441303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:44.188404Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +116.2% | $494.48 +26.7% | 60.0% | +64.6% | $390.18 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 30.0% $105.54 Temukau 20.0% $52.74 Head Shot 20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +88.8% | $93.84 +25.6% | 60.0% | +51.8% | $74.71 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 30.0% $201.70 Temukau 20.0% $126.64 Head Shot 20.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +83.8% | $186.02 +19.3% | 60.0% | +51.5% | $155.99 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $96.82 Fully Tuned 30.0% $65.86 Temukau 20.0% $59.48 Head Shot 20.0% $39.69 | $96.82 +41.3% | $68.64 +0.2% | 30.0% | +30.1% | $68.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54 Temukau 15.0% $52.74 Head Shot 15.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +81.3% | $101.21 +30.1% | 70.0% | +47.5% | $77.82 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 25.0% $105.54 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +101.2% | $86.47 +23.3% | 50.0% | +55.6% | $70.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 20.0% $105.54 Temukau 30.0% $52.74 Head Shot 30.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +115.8% | $79.10 +21.0% | 40.0% | +57.9% | $65.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 15.0% $105.54 Temukau 35.0% $52.74 Head Shot 35.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +127.0% | $71.74 +15.4% | 30.0% | +56.7% | $62.14 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 10.0% $484.90 Temukau 40.0% $288.76 Head Shot 40.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +173.1% | $324.78 +5.2% | 20.0% | +62.4% | $308.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline  16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  16.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S  4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +209.6% | $22.13 +33.6% | 48.0% | +80.3% | $16.56 | — |