The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick

4x $9.44
Deathgaze

4x $13.69
Kintsugi

2x $22.90
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit

30.0% $286.65
Fully Tuned

30.0% $201.70
Temukau

20.0% $126.64
Head Shot

20.0% $70.95
Max Win
$286.65 (+83.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$186.02 (+19.3%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+51.5%
Cost
$155.99
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $155.99
Ask Price EV $186.02 (+19.3%)
Bid Price EV $152.76 (-2.1%)
Ask Profit $30.03 (+19.3%)
Bid Profit $-3.23 (-2.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $33.26 (+21.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$30.03
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.23
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $286.65 (+83.8%)
Worst Case $70.95 (-54.5%)
Volatility +51.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$88.18
Avg Loss -$57.19
Bottom 5% Outcome $70.95 (-54.5%)
Std Dev $80.41
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear

$9.44 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear

$9.50 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear

$10.71 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear

$11.78 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested

$13.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested

$16.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested

$18.40 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear

$20.56 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear

$22.90 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear

$23.01 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 03M 48S //TOTAL COST $155.99 //ASK PRICE EV $186.02 //BID PRICE EV $152.76 //ASK PROFIT $30.03 (+19.3%) //BID PROFIT $-3.23 (-2.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $286.65 //VOLATILITY +51.5% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$286.65
+$130.66
+83.8%
$225.69
+$69.70
+44.7%
$60.96
21.3%
—

WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$201.70
+$45.71
+29.3%
$167.58
+$11.59
+7.4%
$34.12
16.9%
—

LOSS
20.0%
$126.64
-$29.35
-18.8%
$111.91
-$44.08
-28.3%
$14.73
11.6%
—

NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$70.95
-$85.04
-54.5%
$62.00
-$93.99
-60.3%
$8.95
12.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 286.65,
"optimistic_value": 280,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 225.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.217119Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 201.6965,
"optimistic_value": 189.38,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 167.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:53.158991Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 70.9495,
"optimistic_value": 69,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:44.327515Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.11985600000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 126.6415,
"optimistic_value": 125,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 111.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:23.801392Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_90cc18c3105dd334f45488f5",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 9.44,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "512990841907712231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
},
{
"price": 9.5,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "497228137696424345",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
},
{
"price": 10.71,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "508486392210955070",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
},
{
"price": 11.78,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "523123091065567750",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
},
{
"price": 13.69,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "499479937453177105",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
},
{
"price": 16,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "500605837398995339",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
},
{
"price": 18.4,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "508486392194532230",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
},
{
"price": 20.56,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "507361289453945533",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:54.374467Z"
},
{
"price": 22.9,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "501731789730682781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
},
{
"price": 23.01,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "511864888984626993",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned ![]() 30.0% $484.90 Temukau ![]() 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot ![]() 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +116.2% | $494.48 +26.7% | 60.0% | +64.6% | $390.18 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned ![]() 30.0% $105.54 Temukau ![]() 20.0% $52.74 Head Shot ![]() 20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +88.8% | $93.84 +25.6% | 60.0% | +51.8% | $74.71 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 30.0% $96.82 Fully Tuned ![]() 30.0% $65.86 Temukau ![]() 20.0% $59.48 Head Shot ![]() 20.0% $39.69 | $96.82 +41.3% | $68.64 +0.2% | 30.0% | +30.1% | $68.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned ![]() 35.0% $105.54 Temukau ![]() 15.0% $52.74 Head Shot ![]() 15.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +81.3% | $101.21 +30.1% | 70.0% | +47.5% | $77.82 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned ![]() 25.0% $105.54 Temukau ![]() 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot ![]() 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +101.2% | $86.47 +23.3% | 50.0% | +55.6% | $70.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 20.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned ![]() 20.0% $105.54 Temukau ![]() 30.0% $52.74 Head Shot ![]() 30.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +115.8% | $79.10 +21.0% | 40.0% | +57.9% | $65.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 15.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned ![]() 15.0% $105.54 Temukau ![]() 35.0% $52.74 Head Shot ![]() 35.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +127.0% | $71.74 +15.4% | 30.0% | +56.7% | $62.14 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 10.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned ![]() 10.0% $484.90 Temukau ![]() 40.0% $288.76 Head Shot ![]() 40.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +173.1% | $324.78 +5.2% | 20.0% | +62.4% | $308.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum ![]() 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing ![]() 16.0% $31.66 Amberline ![]() 16.0% $18.87 Galigator ![]() 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign ![]() 16.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S ![]() 4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +209.6% | $22.13 +33.6% | 48.0% | +80.3% | $16.56 | — |





