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The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items
Battle-Scarred +0.2%Factory New +26.7%Field-Tested +25.6%Minimal Wear +19.3%Well-Worn -0.7%
Contract
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
4x $9.44
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
4x $13.69
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
2x $22.90
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
30.0% $286.65
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
30.0% $201.70
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
20.0% $126.64
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
20.0% $70.95
Max Win
$286.65 (+83.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$186.02 (+19.3%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+51.5%
Cost
$155.99
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $155.99
Ask Price EV $186.02 (+19.3%)
Bid Price EV $152.76 (-2.1%)
Ask Profit $30.03 (+19.3%)
Bid Profit $-3.23 (-2.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $33.26 (+21.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$30.03
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.23
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $286.65 (+83.8%)
Worst Case $70.95 (-54.5%)
Volatility +51.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$88.18
Avg Loss -$57.19
Bottom 5% Outcome $70.95 (-54.5%)
Std Dev $80.41
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
$9.44 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
$9.50 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
$10.71 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
$11.78 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$13.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$16.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$18.40 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)
$20.56 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)
$22.90 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)
$23.01 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 03M 48S //TOTAL COST $155.99 //ASK PRICE EV $186.02 //BID PRICE EV $152.76 //ASK PROFIT $30.03 (+19.3%) //BID PROFIT $-3.23 (-2.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $286.65 //VOLATILITY +51.5% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14982,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
      "realistic_value": 286.65,
      "optimistic_value": 280,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
      "conservative_value": 225.69,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.217119Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14982,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
      "realistic_value": 201.6965,
      "optimistic_value": 189.38,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
      "conservative_value": 167.58,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:53.158991Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.14982,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
      "realistic_value": 70.9495,
      "optimistic_value": 69,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
      "conservative_value": 62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:44.327515Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.11985600000000002,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
      "realistic_value": 126.6415,
      "optimistic_value": 125,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
      "conservative_value": 111.91,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:23.801392Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_90cc18c3105dd334f45488f5",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 9.44,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "512990841907712231",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9.5,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "497228137696424345",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10.71,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "508486392210955070",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 11.78,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "523123091065567750",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:49.843250Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.69,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "499479937453177105",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 16,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "500605837398995339",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.4,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "508486392194532230",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 20.56,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "507361289453945533",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:54.374467Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 22.9,
      "skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "listing_id": "501731789730682781",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 23.01,
      "skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "listing_id": "511864888984626993",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
30.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
30.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
20.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
20.0% $191.11
$843.46
+116.2%
$494.48
+26.7%
60.0%+64.6%$390.18—
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
30.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
30.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
20.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
20.0% $46.53
$141.08
+88.8%
$93.84
+25.6%
60.0%+51.8%$74.71—
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
30.0% $96.82
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
30.0% $65.86
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
20.0% $59.48
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
20.0% $39.69
$96.82
+41.3%
$68.64
+0.2%
30.0%+30.1%$68.53—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
35.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
35.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
15.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
15.0% $46.53
$141.08
+81.3%
$101.21
+30.1%
70.0%+47.5%$77.82—
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
25.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
25.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
25.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
25.0% $46.53
$141.08
+101.2%
$86.47
+23.3%
50.0%+55.6%$70.12—
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
30.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
30.0% $46.53
$141.08
+115.8%
$79.10
+21.0%
40.0%+57.9%$65.37—
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
15.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
15.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
35.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
35.0% $46.53
$141.08
+127.0%
$71.74
+15.4%
30.0%+56.7%$62.14—
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
10.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
10.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
40.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
40.0% $191.11
$843.46
+173.1%
$324.78
+5.2%
20.0%+62.4%$308.86—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.85
Emphorosaur-S
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S
4.0% $11.80
$51.27
+209.6%
$22.13
+33.6%
48.0%+80.3%$16.56—
FS

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