The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert FN ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Child
3x $34.07
Wicked Sick
1x $47.00
Deathgaze
2x $20.56
Kintsugi
4x $22.90
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
30.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
30.0% $484.90
Temukau
20.0% $288.76
Head Shot
20.0% $191.11
Max Win
$843.46 (+116.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$494.48 (+26.7%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+64.6%
Cost
$390.18
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $390.18
Ask Price EV $494.48 (+26.7%)
Bid Price EV $426.77 (+9.4%)
Ask Profit $104.30 (+26.7%)
Bid Profit $36.59 (+9.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $67.72 (+17.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$104.30
Bid Slippage Buffer +$36.59
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $843.46 (+116.2%)
Worst Case $191.11 (-51.0%)
Volatility +64.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$274.00
Avg Loss -$150.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $191.11 (-51.0%)
Std Dev $251.86
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 147h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$34.07 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$40.02 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Factory New
$47.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$52.99 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
$20.56 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$22.90 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$23.01 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$31.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Factory New
$57.42 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Factory New
$61.21 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 03M 12S //TOTAL COST $390.18 //ASK PRICE EV $494.48 //BID PRICE EV $426.77 //ASK PROFIT $104.30 (+26.7%) //BID PROFIT $36.59 (+9.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $843.46 //VOLATILITY +64.6% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$843.46
+$453.28
+116.2%
$729.18
+$339.00
+86.9%
$114.28
13.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$484.90
+$94.72
+24.3%
$425.17
+$34.99
+9.0%
$59.73
12.3%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$288.76
-$101.42
-26.0%
$256.42
-$133.76
-34.3%
$32.34
11.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$191.11
-$199.07
-51.0%
$145.89
-$244.29
-62.6%
$45.22
23.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 843.46,
"optimistic_value": 820.92,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 729.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.446556Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 484.902,
"optimistic_value": 450,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 425.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:30.625100Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 191.11450000000002,
"optimistic_value": 186.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 145.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:08.692079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.055928000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 288.75649999999996,
"optimistic_value": 270.28,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 256.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:32.925345Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_90cc18c3105dd334f45488f5",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 34.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "506234592349966728",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:52:19.581294Z"
},
{
"price": 40.02,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "628955776951798832",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:52:19.581294Z"
},
{
"price": 47,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368322941506682",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:52:17.137644Z"
},
{
"price": 52.99,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "498353293083594931",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:52:19.581294Z"
},
{
"price": 20.56,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "507361289453945533",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:54.374467Z"
},
{
"price": 22.9,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "501731789730682781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
},
{
"price": 23.01,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "511864888984626993",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
},
{
"price": 31,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "511864888984349901",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z"
},
{
"price": 57.42,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "512990789045568191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:41.352318Z"
},
{
"price": 61.21,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "508487189340825794",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:39.587140Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 30.0% $105.54 Temukau 20.0% $52.74 Head Shot 20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +88.8% | $93.84 +25.6% | 60.0% | +51.8% | $74.71 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 30.0% $201.70 Temukau 20.0% $126.64 Head Shot 20.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +83.8% | $186.02 +19.3% | 60.0% | +51.5% | $155.99 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $96.82 Fully Tuned 30.0% $65.86 Temukau 20.0% $59.48 Head Shot 20.0% $39.69 | $96.82 +41.3% | $68.64 +0.2% | 30.0% | +30.1% | $68.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54 Temukau 15.0% $52.74 Head Shot 15.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +81.3% | $101.21 +30.1% | 70.0% | +47.5% | $77.82 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 25.0% $105.54 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +101.2% | $86.47 +23.3% | 50.0% | +55.6% | $70.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 20.0% $105.54 Temukau 30.0% $52.74 Head Shot 30.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +115.8% | $79.10 +21.0% | 40.0% | +57.9% | $65.37 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 15.0% $105.54 Temukau 35.0% $52.74 Head Shot 35.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +127.0% | $71.74 +15.4% | 30.0% | +56.7% | $62.14 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 10.0% $484.90 Temukau 40.0% $288.76 Head Shot 40.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +173.1% | $324.78 +5.2% | 20.0% | +62.4% | $308.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline  16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  16.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S  4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +209.6% | $22.13 +33.6% | 48.0% | +80.3% | $16.56 | — |