The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert BS ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
4x $4.97
Deathgaze
5x $7.86
Kintsugi
1x $8.31
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
30.0% $96.82
Fully Tuned
30.0% $65.86
Temukau
20.0% $59.48
Head Shot
20.0% $39.69
Max Win
$96.82 (+40.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$68.64 (-0.3%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+30.0%
Cost
$68.82
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $68.82
Ask Price EV $68.64 (-0.3%)
Bid Price EV $63.42 (-7.9%)
Ask Profit $-0.18 (-0.3%)
Bid Profit $-5.41 (-7.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.22 (+7.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.18
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.41
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $96.82 (+40.7%)
Worst Case $39.69 (-42.3%)
Volatility +30.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$28.00
Avg Loss -$12.26
Bottom 5% Outcome $39.69 (-42.3%)
Std Dev $20.61
Avg Norm Float 0.5297
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 149h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$4.97 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$5.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$5.32 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.86 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.87 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.90 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.06 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.07 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.31 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 00M 58S //TOTAL COST $68.82 //ASK PRICE EV $68.64 //BID PRICE EV $63.42 //ASK PROFIT $-0.18 (-0.3%) //BID PROFIT $-5.41 (-7.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $96.82 //VOLATILITY +30.0% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
30.0%
$96.82
+$28.00
+40.7%
$91.56
+$22.74
+33.0%
$5.26
5.4%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$65.86
-$2.96
-4.3%
$65.03
-$3.79
-5.5%
$0.83
1.3%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$59.48
-$9.34
-13.6%
$45.08
-$23.74
-34.5%
$14.40
24.2%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$39.69
-$29.13
-42.3%
$37.11
-$31.71
-46.1%
$2.58
6.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.5297,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 96.8155,
"optimistic_value": 95.37,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 91.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:13:50.046701Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.5297,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 65.8625,
"optimistic_value": 65.25,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 65.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:38.910736Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.5297,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 39.691,
"optimistic_value": 39.6,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 37.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:10.111827Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.42375999999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 59.480000000000004,
"optimistic_value": 57.45,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 45.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:33.741198Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_90cc18c3105dd334f45488f5",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.97,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "514116688950136398",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:11.638492Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "523123888072097686",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:11.638492Z"
},
{
"price": 5.29,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368488724808134",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:11.638492Z"
},
{
"price": 5.32,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "512990736599671199",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:11.638492Z"
},
{
"price": 7.86,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "528753440604561753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 7.87,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "500605942755443159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 7.9,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "493850324808793168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 8.06,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "518620122760121320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 8.07,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "498354037509773671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:47.409487Z"
},
{
"price": 8.31,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "500605942755391175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:48.369946Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +118.8% | $494.48 +28.3% | 60.0% | +65.3% | $385.44 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 30.0% $105.54 Temukau 20.0% $52.74 Head Shot 20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +92.6% | $93.84 +28.1% | 60.0% | +52.8% | $73.26 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 30.0% $201.70 Temukau 20.0% $126.64 Head Shot 20.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +76.5% | $186.02 +14.5% | 60.0% | +49.5% | $162.43 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 35.0% $484.90 Temukau 15.0% $288.76 Head Shot 15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +104.4% | $536.91 +30.1% | 70.0% | +59.8% | $412.75 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Temukau 5.0% $288.76 Head Shot 5.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +73.6% | $621.76 +28.0% | 45.0% | +43.8% | $485.79 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 25.0% $105.54 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +107.2% | $86.47 +27.0% | 50.0% | +57.2% | $68.10 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Temukau 30.0% $288.76 Head Shot 30.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +157.5% | $409.63 +25.1% | 40.0% | +73.2% | $327.54 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 15.0% $484.90 Temukau 35.0% $288.76 Head Shot 35.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +170.4% | $367.21 +17.7% | 30.0% | +71.0% | $311.90 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 10.0% $105.54 Temukau 40.0% $52.74 Head Shot 40.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +140.7% | $64.37 +9.8% | 20.0% | +52.3% | $58.61 | — |