The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert FT ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
2x $5.00
Wild Child
2x $5.41
Deathgaze
2x $7.87
Kintsugi
4x $8.44
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
30.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
30.0% $105.54
Temukau
20.0% $52.74
Head Shot
20.0% $46.53
Max Win
$141.08 (+95.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$93.84 (+30.2%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+53.7%
Cost
$72.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $72.08
Ask Price EV $93.84 (+30.2%)
Bid Price EV $81.23 (+12.7%)
Ask Profit $21.76 (+30.2%)
Bid Profit $9.15 (+12.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $12.61 (+17.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$21.76
Bid Slippage Buffer +$9.15
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $141.08 (+95.7%)
Worst Case $46.53 (-35.4%)
Volatility +53.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$51.23
Avg Loss -$22.44
Bottom 5% Outcome $46.53 (-35.4%)
Std Dev $38.68
Avg Norm Float 0.3791
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 146h 53m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$5.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Field-Tested
$5.41 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Field-Tested
$5.88 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.87 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.06 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.44 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.45 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.52 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.55 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 58M 55S //TOTAL COST $72.08 //ASK PRICE EV $93.84 //BID PRICE EV $81.23 //ASK PROFIT $21.76 (+30.2%) //BID PROFIT $9.15 (+12.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $141.08 //VOLATILITY +53.7% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$141.08
+$69.00
+95.7%
$117.53
+$45.45
+63.1%
$23.55
16.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$105.54
+$33.46
+46.4%
$94.01
+$21.93
+30.4%
$11.53
10.9%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$52.74
-$19.34
-26.8%
$47.24
-$24.84
-34.5%
$5.50
10.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$46.53
-$25.55
-35.4%
$41.60
-$30.48
-42.3%
$4.93
10.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37909,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 141.0785,
"optimistic_value": 139.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 117.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:08.990391Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37909,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 105.53699999999999,
"optimistic_value": 103.5,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 94.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:36.278490Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.37909,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 46.532000000000004,
"optimistic_value": 46,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 41.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:14:03.547301Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.303272,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 52.739,
"optimistic_value": 51.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 47.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:13.288982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_90cc18c3105dd334f45488f5",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "512990789045347223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:41.398941Z"
},
{
"price": 5.41,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "496102290328679783",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:51.791478Z"
},
{
"price": 5.88,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "509613036859174251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:51.791478Z"
},
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368488724978234",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:41.398941Z"
},
{
"price": 7.87,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "496102290329508179",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:47.045880Z"
},
{
"price": 8.06,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "518620122760121320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:47.045880Z"
},
{
"price": 8.44,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "515242588555348189",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
},
{
"price": 8.45,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "510738989041111966",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
},
{
"price": 8.52,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "526501587736298069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
},
{
"price": 8.55,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "512990736599441303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:43.984850Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +113.7% | $494.48 +25.3% | 60.0% | +63.8% | $394.75 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 30.0% $201.70 Temukau 20.0% $126.64 Head Shot 20.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +76.9% | $186.02 +14.8% | 60.0% | +49.6% | $162.00 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 35.0% $484.90 Temukau 15.0% $288.76 Head Shot 15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +103.6% | $536.91 +29.6% | 70.0% | +59.6% | $414.24 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 25.0% $105.54 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +107.2% | $86.47 +27.0% | 50.0% | +57.3% | $68.08 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 20.0% $105.54 Temukau 30.0% $52.74 Head Shot 30.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +122.0% | $79.10 +24.5% | 40.0% | +59.6% | $63.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 15.0% $105.54 Temukau 35.0% $52.74 Head Shot 35.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +130.0% | $71.74 +17.0% | 30.0% | +57.4% | $61.33 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 10.0% $105.54 Temukau 40.0% $52.74 Head Shot 40.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +143.7% | $64.37 +11.2% | 20.0% | +53.0% | $57.88 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  12.0% $31.66 Amberline  12.0% $18.87 Galigator  12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  12.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S  8.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +272.1% | $18.26 +32.5% | 60.0% | +91.7% | $13.78 | — |