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The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Battle-Scarred +10.9%Factory New -11.2%Field-Tested +19.5%Minimal Wear +12.2%Well-Worn +3.6%
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Small Game
P250 | Small Game
2x $0.63
Aeolian Light
P90 | Aeolian Light
3x $0.27
Creep
AUG | Creep
2x $0.28
Grip Tape
P2000 | Grip Tape
1x $0.35
The Daily Deagle
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
2x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
6.7% $6.57
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
6.7% $6.17
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
6.7% $5.90
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
40.0% $5.85
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
40.0% $2.23
Max Win
$6.57 (+52.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.47 (+3.6%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+42.6%
Cost
$4.32
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $4.32
Ask Price EV $4.47 (+3.6%)
Bid Price EV $4.01 (-7.2%)
Ask Profit $0.15 (+3.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.31 (-7.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.47 (+10.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.15
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $6.57 (+52.0%)
Worst Case $2.23 (-48.4%)
Volatility +42.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.65
Avg Loss -$2.09
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.23 (-48.4%)
Std Dev $1.84
Avg Norm Float 0.4490
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 152h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Small Game
—
Field-Tested
P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Small Game
—
Field-Tested
P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 57S //TOTAL COST $4.32 //ASK PRICE EV $4.47 //BID PRICE EV $4.01 //ASK PROFIT $0.15 (+3.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.31 (-7.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $6.57 //VOLATILITY +42.6% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.4,
      "output_float": 0.33672749999999996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
      "realistic_value": 5.850499999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 5.77,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
      "conservative_value": 4.91,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.253669Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.4,
      "output_float": 0.314279,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
      "realistic_value": 2.229,
      "optimistic_value": 2.18,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
      "conservative_value": 2.13,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:36.738814Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.44897,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-277f6e42830d",
      "realistic_value": 5.9005,
      "optimistic_value": 5.89,
      "output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Heat Treated",
      "conservative_value": 5.84,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:34.859466Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-277f6e42830d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.26938199999999995,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-209298d0eb05",
      "realistic_value": 6.5675,
      "optimistic_value": 6.55,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone",
      "conservative_value": 5.93,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T15:56:47.536334Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-209298d0eb05.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.3052996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8ea306517618",
      "realistic_value": 6.165,
      "optimistic_value": 6.13,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Crimson Foil",
      "conservative_value": 6.12,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:25.573085Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ea306517618.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_60e97eb578f4d97a64a8a56a",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.63,
      "skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
      "listing_id": "510739041954328090",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P250 | Small Game",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:23:44.799916Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.64,
      "skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
      "listing_id": "507361342334522113",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P250 | Small Game",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:23:44.799916Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.27,
      "skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
      "listing_id": "529879287550318068",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:28:08.178813Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.28,
      "skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
      "listing_id": "511864888986026637",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "AUG | Creep",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:52.084860Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.29,
      "skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
      "listing_id": "508487242222263242",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "AUG | Creep",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:52.084860Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.35,
      "skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
      "listing_id": "503983642533382579",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:21.338948Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.36,
      "skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
      "listing_id": "506235442368153528",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:53.352914Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.39,
      "skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
      "listing_id": "492724643507979597",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:48.585340Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.5,
      "skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
      "listing_id": "494976224705666562",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:48.585340Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.61,
      "skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
      "listing_id": "491598638256081662",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:53.352914Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
40.0% $12.25
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
6.7% $8.63
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
6.7% $8.59
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
6.7% $6.07
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
40.0% $4.91
$12.25
+73.9%
$8.41
+19.5%
53.3%+47.5%$7.04—
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
40.0% $26.93
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
6.7% $18.99
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
6.7% $18.82
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
40.0% $14.39
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
6.7% $12.50
$26.93
+52.0%
$19.88
+12.2%
53.3%+33.7%$17.72—
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
6.7% $6.57
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
6.7% $6.17
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
6.7% $6.17
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
40.0% $5.85
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
40.0% $2.23
$6.57
+62.2%
$4.49
+10.9%
60.0%+45.9%$4.05—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Sport & Field Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
45.0% $12.25
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
3.3% $8.65
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
3.3% $8.64
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
3.3% $6.06
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
45.0% $4.93
$12.25
+75.4%
$8.51
+21.9%
51.7%+50.1%$6.98—
The Sport & Field Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
35.0% $12.25
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
10.0% $8.65
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
10.0% $8.63
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
10.0% $6.06
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
35.0% $4.93
$12.25
+68.7%
$8.35
+15.0%
55.0%+43.4%$7.26—
The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Breakthrough
AK-47 | Breakthrough
30.0% $12.25
Arctic Tri-Tone
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone
13.3% $8.65
Crimson Foil
UMP-45 | Crimson Foil
13.3% $8.63
Heat Treated
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
13.3% $6.06
Trace Lock
Glock-18 | Trace Lock
30.0% $4.93
$12.25
+64.1%
$8.27
+10.8%
56.7%+39.7%$7.46—
FS

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