The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Small Game
2x $0.63
Aeolian Light
1x $0.27
Creep
3x $0.27
Grip Tape
2x $0.34
The Daily Deagle
2x $0.40
↓
Possible Outputs
Arctic Tri-Tone
6.7% $6.57
Heat Treated
6.7% $6.17
Crimson Foil
6.7% $6.00
Breakthrough
40.0% $5.85
Trace Lock
40.0% $2.31
Max Win
$6.57 (+66.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.51 (+14.2%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+45.8%
Cost
$3.95
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.95
Ask Price EV $4.51 (+14.2%)
Bid Price EV $3.99 (+1.0%)
Ask Profit $0.56 (+14.2%)
Bid Profit $0.04 (+1.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.52 (+13.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.56
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.04
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $6.57 (+66.3%)
Worst Case $2.31 (-41.6%)
Volatility +45.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$2.03
Avg Loss -$1.64
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.31 (-41.6%)
Std Dev $1.81
Avg Norm Float 0.5030
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 151h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Small Game
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Small Game
—
Field-Tested
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 00S //TOTAL COST $3.95 //ASK PRICE EV $4.51 //BID PRICE EV $3.99 //ASK PROFIT $0.56 (+14.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.04 (+1.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $6.57 //VOLATILITY +45.8% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.7%
$6.57
+$2.62
+66.3%
$5.93
+$1.98
+50.1%
$0.64
9.7%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$6.17
+$2.22
+56.3%
$5.72
+$1.77
+44.8%
$0.45
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$6.00
+$2.05
+52.0%
$5.98
+$2.03
+51.4%
$0.02
0.4%
—
WIN
40.0%
$5.85
+$1.90
+48.1%
$4.91
+$0.96
+24.3%
$0.94
16.1%
—
NUKE
40.0%
$2.31
-$1.64
-41.6%
$2.13
-$1.82
-46.1%
$0.18
7.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.3772875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 5.850499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.253669Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.352135,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 2.307,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:05.167496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.50305,
"output_skin_id": "skin-277f6e42830d",
"realistic_value": 6.1745,
"optimistic_value": 6.15,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Heat Treated",
"conservative_value": 5.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T08:07:28.387240Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-277f6e42830d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.30183,
"output_skin_id": "skin-209298d0eb05",
"realistic_value": 6.5675,
"optimistic_value": 6.55,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone",
"conservative_value": 5.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T15:56:47.536334Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-209298d0eb05.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.34207400000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8ea306517618",
"realistic_value": 6.0035,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Crimson Foil",
"conservative_value": 5.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:58:08.505613Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ea306517618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_60e97eb578f4d97a64a8a56a",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"listing_id": "510739041954328090",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Small Game",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:31:27.953790Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"listing_id": "496102343226129311",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Small Game",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:31:27.953790Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "529879287550318068",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:34:48.076882Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "520872141038059176",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:08.247956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "511864888986026637",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:08.247956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "508487242222263242",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:08.247956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "492724643507806221",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:40.943671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "524249840858743887",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:41.438053Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "491598743580234998",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:41.438053Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "507361123687773313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:40.943671Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Arctic Tri-Tone 6.7% $8.65 Crimson Foil 6.7% $8.64 Heat Treated 6.7% $6.06 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.57 | $12.25 +74.7% | $8.28 +18.2% | 53.3% | +49.7% | $7.01 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 40.0% $26.93 Crimson Foil 6.7% $18.99 Arctic Tri-Tone 6.7% $18.82 Trace Lock 40.0% $14.55 Heat Treated 6.7% $12.50 | $26.93 +51.4% | $19.94 +12.2% | 53.3% | +33.3% | $17.78 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Arctic Tri-Tone 6.7% $6.57 Crimson Foil 6.7% $6.00 Heat Treated 6.7% $5.91 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Trace Lock 40.0% $2.31 | $6.57 +57.9% | $4.50 +8.1% | 60.0% | +43.2% | $4.16 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Arctic Tri-Tone 3.3% $8.65 Crimson Foil 3.3% $8.64 Heat Treated 3.3% $6.06 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.93 | $12.25 +75.4% | $8.51 +21.9% | 51.7% | +50.1% | $6.98 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Arctic Tri-Tone 10.0% $8.65 Crimson Foil 10.0% $8.63 Heat Treated 10.0% $6.06 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.93 | $12.25 +68.7% | $8.35 +15.0% | 55.0% | +43.4% | $7.26 | — |
The Sport & Field Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Arctic Tri-Tone 13.3% $8.65 Crimson Foil 13.3% $8.63 Heat Treated 13.3% $6.06 Trace Lock 30.0% $4.93 | $12.25 +64.1% | $8.27 +10.8% | 56.7% | +39.7% | $7.46 | — |