The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Black Sand
3x $0.60
Aeolian Light
4x $0.26
Creep
2x $0.28
Grip Tape
1x $0.40
↓
Possible Outputs
Gila
6.0% $6.64
Stinger
6.0% $6.03
Breakthrough
35.0% $5.85
Cyrex
6.0% $5.77
Royal Consorts
6.0% $4.95
Flashback
6.0% $4.87
Max Win
$6.64 (+52.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.51 (+3.9%)
Win %
65.0%
Volatility
+40.2%
Cost
$4.34
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $4.34
Ask Price EV $4.51 (+3.9%)
Bid Price EV $4.01 (-7.5%)
Ask Profit $0.17 (+3.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.33 (-7.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+11.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.17
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.33
Risk
Win Probability 65.0%
Loss Probability 35.0%
Best Case $6.64 (+52.9%)
Worst Case $2.18 (-49.7%)
Volatility +40.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 35.0%
Avg Win +$1.42
Avg Loss -$2.16
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.18 (-49.7%)
Std Dev $1.75
Avg Norm Float 0.4921
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 148h 15m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.62 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.84 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 56S //TOTAL COST $4.34 //ASK PRICE EV $4.51 //BID PRICE EV $4.01 //ASK PROFIT $0.17 (+3.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.33 (-7.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 65.0% //BEST CASE $6.64 //VOLATILITY +40.2% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$6.64
+$2.30
+52.9%
$5.49
+$1.15
+26.5%
$1.14
17.3%
—
WIN
6.0%
$6.03
+$1.69
+39.0%
$5.52
+$1.18
+27.2%
$0.51
8.5%
—
WIN
35.0%
$5.85
+$1.51
+34.8%
$4.91
+$0.57
+13.1%
$0.94
16.1%
—
WIN
6.0%
$5.77
+$1.43
+33.1%
$5.49
+$1.15
+26.5%
$0.28
4.9%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$4.95
+$0.61
+14.0%
$4.60
+$0.26
+6.0%
$0.35
7.0%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$4.87
+$0.53
+12.1%
$4.72
+$0.38
+8.8%
$0.15
3.0%
—
NUKE
35.0%
$2.18
-$2.16
-49.7%
$2.13
-$2.21
-50.9%
$0.05
2.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.369105,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 5.850499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.253669Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.34449799999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 2.1835,
"optimistic_value": 2.18,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:09.455078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.49214,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 4.9479999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 4.92,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 4.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:41.533674Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.34449799999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 6.0315,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 5.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:01.233754Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.49214,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 4.8665,
"optimistic_value": 4.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 4.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:02.536792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.147642,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 6.635,
"optimistic_value": 6.6,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T14:42:19.172082Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.27067700000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 5.7745,
"optimistic_value": 5.75,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:06.763905Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5f9eea943fe03affb010ba8a",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "526501587738157577",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:56.887271Z"
},
{
"price": 0.62,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "526501587738414977",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:56.887271Z"
},
{
"price": 0.84,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "658230515416664366",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:56.887271Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "511864941881349645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:08.105730Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "529879287550318068",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:08.105730Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "514116688950863706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:11.895241Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "508487136896542430",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:11.895241Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "502857742726353196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:05.592451Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "528753440604655317",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:05.592451Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "506235442367072628",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:33.099832Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 6.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Stinger 6.0% $8.24 Cyrex 6.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 6.0% $6.08 Flashback 6.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +123.7% | $8.46 +7.1% | 47.0% | +42.0% | $7.90 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Gila 6.0% $6.64 Stinger 6.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 35.0% $5.85 Cyrex 6.0% $5.77 Flashback 6.0% $5.64 Royal Consorts 6.0% $5.55 | $6.64 +46.1% | $4.59 +1.1% | 65.0% | +23.5% | $4.54 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Gila 2.0% $6.64 Stinger 2.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 45.0% $5.85 Cyrex 2.0% $5.77 Flashback 2.0% $4.94 Royal Consorts 2.0% $4.93 | $6.64 +88.0% | $4.18 +18.5% | 55.0% | +34.8% | $3.53 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 4.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Stinger 4.0% $8.24 Cyrex 4.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 4.0% $6.08 Flashback 4.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +132.6% | $8.39 +10.4% | 48.0% | +41.5% | $7.60 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.08 Flashback 8.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +121.2% | $8.54 +6.8% | 46.0% | +43.6% | $7.99 | — |