The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Black Sand
3x $0.62
Aeolian Light
4x $0.26
Creep
1x $0.28
The Daily Deagle
2x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Gila
6.0% $6.64
Stinger
6.0% $6.03
Breakthrough
35.0% $5.85
Cyrex
6.0% $5.77
Royal Consorts
6.0% $5.66
Flashback
6.0% $5.63
Max Win
$6.64 (+33.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.59 (-7.9%)
Win %
65.0%
Volatility
+36.0%
Cost
$4.98
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.98
Ask Price EV $4.59 (-7.9%)
Bid Price EV $4.10 (-17.6%)
Ask Profit $-0.39 (-7.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.88 (-17.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+9.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.39
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.88
Risk
Win Probability 65.0%
Loss Probability 35.0%
Best Case $6.64 (+33.2%)
Worst Case $2.16 (-56.7%)
Volatility +36.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 35.0%
Avg Win +$0.91
Avg Loss -$2.82
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.16 (-56.7%)
Std Dev $1.79
Avg Norm Float 0.4449
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.62 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.84 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Well-Worn
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 54S //TOTAL COST $4.98 //ASK PRICE EV $4.59 //BID PRICE EV $4.10 //ASK PROFIT $-0.39 (-7.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.88 (-17.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 65.0% //BEST CASE $6.64 //VOLATILITY +36.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
6.0%
$6.64
+$1.65
+33.2%
$5.49
+$0.51
+10.2%
$1.14
17.3%
—
WIN
6.0%
$6.03
+$1.05
+21.1%
$5.52
+$0.54
+10.8%
$0.51
8.5%
—
PAPER WIN
35.0%
$5.85
+$0.87
+17.5%
$4.91
-$0.07
-1.4%
$0.94
16.1%
—
WIN
6.0%
$5.77
+$0.79
+16.0%
$5.49
+$0.51
+10.2%
$0.28
4.9%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$5.66
+$0.68
+13.6%
$5.38
+$0.40
+8.0%
$0.28
4.9%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$5.63
+$0.65
+13.1%
$5.41
+$0.43
+8.6%
$0.22
3.9%
—
NUKE
35.0%
$2.16
-$2.82
-56.7%
$2.13
-$2.85
-57.2%
$0.03
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.3336825,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 5.850499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.253669Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.311437,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 2.1575,
"optimistic_value": 2.14,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:03.693392Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.44491,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 5.6575,
"optimistic_value": 5.64,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 5.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:38.659817Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.311437,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 6.0315,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 5.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:01.233754Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.44491,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 5.631,
"optimistic_value": 5.61,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:57.750837Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.133473,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 6.635,
"optimistic_value": 6.6,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T14:42:19.172082Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.24470050000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 5.7745,
"optimistic_value": 5.75,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:06.763905Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5f9eea943fe03affb010ba8a",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.62,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "526501587738414977",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:49.226875Z"
},
{
"price": 0.84,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "658230515416664366",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:49.226875Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "505109437005826256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:49.226875Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "511864941881349645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:39.140761Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "529879287550318068",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:39.140761Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "514116688950863706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:05.951951Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "493850543432071156",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:40.087635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "517494441497486806",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:10.579725Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "494976224705666562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:10.579725Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "491598638256081662",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:40.087635Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 6.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Stinger 6.0% $8.24 Cyrex 6.0% $6.88 Royal Consorts 6.0% $6.01 Flashback 6.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +130.1% | $8.46 +10.2% | 47.0% | +43.3% | $7.68 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 2.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Stinger 2.0% $8.24 Cyrex 2.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 2.0% $6.01 Flashback 2.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +152.1% | $8.30 +18.5% | 49.0% | +42.8% | $7.01 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 4.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Stinger 4.0% $8.24 Cyrex 4.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 4.0% $6.08 Flashback 4.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +139.8% | $8.40 +14.0% | 48.0% | +42.8% | $7.37 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $7.04 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.01 Flashback 8.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +116.6% | $8.52 +4.4% | 46.0% | +42.7% | $8.16 | — |