The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Black Sand
1x $0.93
Sonar
1x $0.98
Polymer
1x $1.09
Aeolian Light
4x $0.34
The Daily Deagle
1x $0.41
Grip Tape
2x $0.73
↓
Possible Outputs
Gila
6.0% $17.68
Breakthrough
35.0% $12.25
Stinger
6.0% $8.24
Cyrex
6.0% $6.88
Royal Consorts
6.0% $6.01
Flashback
6.0% $5.80
Max Win
$17.68 (+130.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.46 (+10.2%)
Win %
47.0%
Volatility
+53.9%
Cost
$7.68
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.68
Ask Price EV $8.46 (+10.2%)
Bid Price EV $8.05 (+4.8%)
Ask Profit $0.78 (+10.2%)
Bid Profit $0.37 (+4.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.42 (+5.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.78
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.37
Risk
Win Probability 47.0%
Loss Probability 53.0%
Best Case $17.68 (+130.1%)
Worst Case $4.29 (-44.1%)
Volatility +53.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 35.0%
Avg Win +$4.75
Avg Loss -$2.73
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.29 (-44.1%)
Std Dev $4.14
Avg Norm Float 0.1992
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.93 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sonar
—
Minimal Wear
$0.98 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Polymer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.09 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 55S //TOTAL COST $7.68 //ASK PRICE EV $8.46 //BID PRICE EV $8.05 //ASK PROFIT $0.78 (+10.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.37 (+4.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 47.0% //BEST CASE $17.68 //VOLATILITY +53.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$17.68
+$10.00
+130.1%
$17.55
+$9.87
+128.5%
$0.13
0.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$12.25
+$4.57
+59.4%
$11.36
+$3.68
+47.9%
$0.89
7.2%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$8.24
+$0.56
+7.3%
$8.14
+$0.46
+6.0%
$0.10
1.2%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$6.88
-$0.80
-10.4%
$6.70
-$0.98
-12.8%
$0.18
2.6%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$6.01
-$1.67
-21.8%
$5.61
-$2.07
-27.0%
$0.40
6.6%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$5.80
-$1.88
-24.5%
$5.61
-$2.07
-27.0%
$0.19
3.3%
—
NUKE
35.0%
$4.29
-$3.39
-44.1%
$4.16
-$3.52
-45.8%
$0.13
3.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.149385,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.139426,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.292,
"optimistic_value": 4.25,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:49.525526Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 6.007,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 5.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:47:16.792185Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.139426,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 8.241999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.2,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 8.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:48.500467Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 5.8015,
"optimistic_value": 5.77,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:36.819784Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.059753999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.6755,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:52.347839Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10954900000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 6.878,
"optimistic_value": 6.78,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:54.186283Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5f9eea943fe03affb010ba8a",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.93,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "509613142167430671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:55.226584Z"
},
{
"price": 0.98,
"skin_id": "skin-cc6ec471ea94",
"listing_id": "529878490356302436",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sonar (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sonar",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cc6ec471ea94.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:53.898901Z"
},
{
"price": 1.09,
"skin_id": "skin-6f20b68a8c63",
"listing_id": "526500790835855165",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f20b68a8c63.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:44.329680Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "493850543432071156",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:40.087635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "517494441497486806",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:10.579725Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "524249840858848503",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.788341Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "524249840858999523",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:31.431412Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "500605889842133939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.788341Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "521998040962328694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:31.431412Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "518620288313427412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.788341Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 2.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Stinger 2.0% $8.24 Cyrex 2.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 2.0% $6.01 Flashback 2.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +152.1% | $8.30 +18.5% | 49.0% | +42.8% | $7.01 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 4.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Stinger 4.0% $8.24 Cyrex 4.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 4.0% $6.08 Flashback 4.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +139.8% | $8.40 +14.0% | 48.0% | +42.8% | $7.37 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $7.04 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.01 Flashback 8.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +116.6% | $8.52 +4.4% | 46.0% | +42.7% | $8.16 | — |