The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Red Wing
2x $0.13
Caged
2x $0.15
Bullfrog
1x $0.17
Pipsqueak
2x $0.34
Wurst Hölle
1x $0.36
Metallic Squeezer
1x $0.38
↓
Possible Outputs
Monster Melt
16.7% $4.28
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $4.05
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $4.04
Liquidation
10.0% $2.49
Cat Fight
10.0% $0.96
Continuum
10.0% $0.93
Max Win
$4.28 (+65.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.67 (+3.4%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+59.2%
Cost
$2.58
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.58
Ask Price EV $2.67 (+3.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.60 (+0.6%)
Ask Profit $0.09 (+3.4%)
Bid Profit $0.02 (+0.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.07 (+2.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.09
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $4.28 (+65.8%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-67.8%)
Volatility +59.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.54
Avg Loss -$1.37
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.83 (-67.8%)
Std Dev $1.53
Avg Norm Float 0.4438
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 146h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Well-Worn
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Well-Worn
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 19S //TOTAL COST $2.58 //ASK PRICE EV $2.67 //BID PRICE EV $2.60 //ASK PROFIT $0.09 (+3.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.02 (+0.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $4.28 //VOLATILITY +59.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.7%
$4.28
+$1.70
+65.8%
$4.27
+$1.69
+65.5%
$0.01
0.2%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$4.05
+$1.47
+57.1%
$4.00
+$1.42
+55.0%
$0.05
1.3%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Field-Tested | ƒ 0.3639488
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$4.04
+$1.46
+56.5%
$4.02
+$1.44
+55.8%
$0.02
0.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.49
-$0.09
-3.4%
$2.20
-$0.38
-14.7%
$0.29
11.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.96
-$1.62
-62.6%
$0.82
-$1.76
-68.2%
$0.14
14.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.93
-$1.65
-63.9%
$0.82
-$1.76
-68.2%
$0.11
11.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.84
-$1.74
-67.4%
$0.83
-$1.75
-67.8%
$0.01
1.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.83
-$1.75
-67.8%
$0.81
-$1.77
-68.6%
$0.02
2.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.377264,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 4.054,
"optimistic_value": 4.04,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:25.014070Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.36394879999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 4.037,
"optimistic_value": 4.03,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 4.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:31.505449Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.33288,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 4.277,
"optimistic_value": 4.27,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 4.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:47:38.811297Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 0.84,
"optimistic_value": 0.84,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 0.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:12.696840Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 2.4935,
"optimistic_value": 2.49,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 2.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:16.804583Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 0.964,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T05:51:56.092922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 0.83,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:12.741102Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.44384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 0.9305,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:07.840943Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f6c1631ecfe458f5c1a25bc3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "500605889841671339",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:43.419924Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "519746188257532268",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:43.419924Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "505109489448765488",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:23.163361Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "526501535294599109",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:23.163361Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "510738989040919942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:33.117215Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "528753387757469169",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:15.724620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "506235389470313256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:15.724620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "528753387757470537",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:48.357121Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "517494388633888114",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:13:20.752974Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "503983589619426907",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:04:03.628136Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Liquidation 10.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 10.0% $1.13 Continuum 10.0% $1.09 | $10.49 +126.6% | $5.74 +24.0% | 50.0% | +78.6% | $4.63 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Liquidation 10.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 10.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 10.0% $2.13 | $10.49 +85.0% | $6.52 +15.1% | 60.0% | +54.7% | $5.67 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.69 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 8.0% $1.13 Continuum 8.0% $1.08 | $10.49 +98.7% | $6.56 +24.2% | 60.0% | +65.8% | $5.28 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.69 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.13 Continuum 6.0% $1.09 | $10.49 +76.6% | $7.37 +24.1% | 70.0% | +53.3% | $5.94 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.69 Liquidation 12.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 12.0% $1.13 Continuum 12.0% $1.09 | $10.49 +155.2% | $4.92 +19.8% | 40.0% | +89.2% | $4.11 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.69 Liquidation 14.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 14.0% $2.26 Angel Eyes 14.0% $2.13 | $10.49 +134.7% | $5.20 +16.4% | 44.0% | +70.7% | $4.47 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.69 Liquidation 16.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 16.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 16.0% $2.13 | $10.49 +168.3% | $4.55 +16.3% | 36.0% | +76.8% | $3.91 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $77.71 Ice Coaled  26.7% $24.72 Smoking Kills  26.7% $18.88 Mirror Mosaic  26.7% $17.05 | $103.76 +254.1% | $34.32 +17.1% | 20.0% | +98.8% | $29.30 | — |