The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items

Factory New -4.2%Field-Tested +24.0%Minimal Wear +15.1%Well-Worn +3.4%

Contract

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear

Inputs

Broken Record

4x $0.35

Red Wing

1x $0.43

Metallic Squeezer

2x $0.52

Pipsqueak

1x $0.60

Teal Graf

2x $0.74

↓

Possible Outputs

Eye of Zapems

16.7% $10.49

Sweet Little Angels

16.7% $10.29

Monster Melt

16.7% $8.69

Liquidation

10.0% $7.67

Cat Fight

10.0% $2.28

Angel Eyes

10.0% $2.13

Max Win

$10.49 (+85.0%)

EV (ROI %)

$6.52 (+15.1%)

Win %

60.0%

Volatility

+65.2%

Cost

$5.67

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $5.67

Ask Price EV $6.52 (+15.1%)

Bid Price EV $6.31 (+11.3%)

Ask Profit $0.85 (+15.1%)

Bid Profit $0.64 (+11.3%)

Liquidity Gap $0.21 (+3.8%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.85

Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.64

Risk

Win Probability 60.0%

Loss Probability 40.0%

Best Case $10.49 (+85.0%)

Worst Case $2.01 (-64.5%)

Volatility +65.2%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%

Avg Win +$3.79

Avg Loss -$3.55

Bottom 5% Outcome $2.01 (-64.5%)

Std Dev $3.70

Avg Norm Float 0.1497

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 20m

Oldest Output Price 146h 2m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MP9 | Broken Record

—

Minimal Wear

$0.35 Float: HIDDEN

MP9 | Broken Record

—

Minimal Wear

$0.36 Float: HIDDEN

MP9 | Broken Record

—

Minimal Wear

$0.38 Float: HIDDEN

MP9 | Broken Record

—

Minimal Wear

$0.39 Float: HIDDEN

P2000 | Red Wing

—

Minimal Wear

$0.43 Float: HIDDEN

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

—

Field-Tested

$0.52 Float: HIDDEN

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

—

Field-Tested

$0.60 Float: HIDDEN

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

—

Minimal Wear

$0.74 Float: HIDDEN

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

—

Minimal Wear

$0.87 Float: HIDDEN

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

—

Minimal Wear

$1.03 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 19S //TOTAL COST $5.67 //ASK PRICE EV $6.52 //BID PRICE EV $6.31 //ASK PROFIT $0.85 (+15.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.64 (+11.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.49 //VOLATILITY +65.2% //

Possible Outputs · 8

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.127211,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
      "realistic_value": 10.49,
      "optimistic_value": 10.49,
      "output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
      "conservative_value": 10.47,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:31.392744Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.12272119999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
      "realistic_value": 10.29,
      "optimistic_value": 10.29,
      "output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
      "conservative_value": 10.28,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:32.082286Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.11224499999999998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
      "realistic_value": 8.687999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 8.52,
      "output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
      "conservative_value": 8.24,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:40.327928Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.14966,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "realistic_value": 2.1270000000000002,
      "optimistic_value": 2.12,
      "output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "conservative_value": 2.03,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:16.419685Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.14966,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
      "realistic_value": 7.667,
      "optimistic_value": 7.66,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
      "conservative_value": 6.71,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:53.771865Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.14966,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
      "realistic_value": 2.2775,
      "optimistic_value": 2.26,
      "output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
      "conservative_value": 2.04,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:03.165683Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.14966,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
      "realistic_value": 2.0505,
      "optimistic_value": 2.04,
      "output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
      "conservative_value": 2.03,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:49.264501Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.14966,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "realistic_value": 2.0105,
      "optimistic_value": 2,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "conservative_value": 1.99,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:24.688594Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_f6c1631ecfe458f5c1a25bc3",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.35,
      "skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
      "listing_id": "501731789730730085",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:33.422068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.36,
      "skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
      "listing_id": "508487189340680966",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:33.422068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.38,
      "skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
      "listing_id": "512990736599427227",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:33.422068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.39,
      "skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
      "listing_id": "641341944860654767",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:33.422068Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.43,
      "skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
      "listing_id": "521997988015948902",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:55.529209Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
      "listing_id": "648097416147785180",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:13:20.752974Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.6,
      "skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
      "listing_id": "509613089303435079",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:23:01.941193Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.74,
      "skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
      "listing_id": "523123835627757262",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:49.517986Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.87,
      "skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
      "listing_id": "516368488726379318",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:49.517986Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.03,
      "skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
      "listing_id": "596305411430770513",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:32.608125Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested	Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Liquidation 10.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 10.0% $1.13 Continuum 10.0% $1.09	$10.49 +126.6%	$5.74 +24.0%	50.0%	+78.6%	$4.63	—
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn	Monster Melt 16.7% $4.28 Eye of Zapems 16.7% $4.05 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $4.04 Liquidation 10.0% $2.49 Cat Fight 10.0% $0.96 Continuum 10.0% $0.93	$4.28 +65.8%	$2.67 +3.4%	50.0%	+49.9%	$2.58	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested	Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.69 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 8.0% $1.13 Continuum 8.0% $1.08	$10.49 +98.7%	$6.56 +24.2%	60.0%	+65.8%	$5.28	—
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested	Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.69 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.13 Continuum 6.0% $1.09	$10.49 +76.6%	$7.37 +24.1%	70.0%	+53.3%	$5.94	—
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested	Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.69 Liquidation 12.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 12.0% $1.13 Continuum 12.0% $1.09	$10.49 +155.2%	$4.92 +19.8%	40.0%	+89.2%	$4.11	—
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear	Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.69 Liquidation 14.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 14.0% $2.26 Angel Eyes 14.0% $2.13	$10.49 +134.7%	$5.20 +16.4%	44.0%	+70.7%	$4.47	—
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear	Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.69 Liquidation 16.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 16.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 16.0% $2.13	$10.49 +168.3%	$4.55 +16.3%	36.0%	+76.8%	$3.91	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear	Crakow! 10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore 10.0% $77.71 Ice Coaled 26.7% $24.72 Smoking Kills 26.7% $18.88 Mirror Mosaic 26.7% $17.05	$103.76 +254.1%	$34.32 +17.1%	20.0%	+98.8%	$29.30	—