The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Caged
1x $0.20
MAGnitude
1x $0.36
Focus
1x $0.37
Broken Record
1x $0.39
Red Wing
1x $0.43
Teal Graf
3x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.69
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.39
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.69
Liquidation
10.0% $4.01
Cat Fight
10.0% $1.13
Continuum
10.0% $1.09
Max Win
$10.69 (+131.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.79 (+25.6%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+92.4%
Cost
$4.61
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.61
Ask Price EV $5.79 (+25.6%)
Bid Price EV $5.60 (+21.5%)
Ask Profit $1.18 (+25.6%)
Bid Profit $0.99 (+21.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.19 (+4.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.18
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.99
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+131.9%)
Worst Case $1.02 (-77.8%)
Volatility +92.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$5.31
Avg Loss -$2.95
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.02 (-77.8%)
Std Dev $4.26
Avg Norm Float 0.1763
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 145h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Focus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Broken Record
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 17S //TOTAL COST $4.61 //ASK PRICE EV $5.79 //BID PRICE EV $5.60 //ASK PROFIT $1.18 (+25.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.99 (+21.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +92.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$10.69
+$6.08
+131.9%
$10.49
+$5.88
+127.5%
$0.20
1.9%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1445496
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.39
+$5.78
+125.4%
$10.31
+$5.70
+123.6%
$0.08
0.8%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.69
+$4.08
+88.5%
$8.23
+$3.62
+78.5%
$0.46
5.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$4.01
-$0.60
-12.9%
$3.61
-$1.00
-21.7%
$0.40
10.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.13
-$3.48
-75.5%
$1.04
-$3.57
-77.4%
$0.09
8.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.09
-$3.52
-76.4%
$0.96
-$3.65
-79.2%
$0.13
11.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.04
-$3.57
-77.4%
$1.01
-$3.60
-78.1%
$0.03
3.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.02
-$3.59
-77.8%
$1.01
-$3.60
-78.1%
$0.01
1.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.149838,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.692,
"optimistic_value": 10.65,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:25.114951Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14454959999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.392,
"optimistic_value": 10.35,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:25.750345Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.13221,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.687999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.52,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:12.922774Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17628,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 1.024,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:01.580482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17628,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 4.0145,
"optimistic_value": 3.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 3.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:12.174520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17628,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 1.1305,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T20:16:13.485553Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17628,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 1.044,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:16:30.738680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17628,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.087,
"optimistic_value": 1.08,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 0.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:13:57.887366Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_f6c1631ecfe458f5c1a25bc3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "518620235869812748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:07:05.962632Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "506235389469351588",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:17:12.811578Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-e051c197f5af",
"listing_id": "528753387757995057",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Focus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Focus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e051c197f5af.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:00.308676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb7ae83c1e81",
"listing_id": "641341944860654767",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Broken Record",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb7ae83c1e81.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:17:14.357756Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "521997988015948902",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:11.162153Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "491598638254867202",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:17:32.718615Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:44.681290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:44.681290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "498354089953419979",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:06.172759Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:06.172759Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-36:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.39 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Liquidation 10.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 10.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 10.0% $2.14 | $10.69 +90.2% | $6.58 +17.0% | 60.0% | +56.1% | $5.62 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $4.33 Monster Melt 16.7% $4.28 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $4.05 Liquidation 10.0% $2.49 Cat Fight 10.0% $0.96 Continuum 10.0% $0.93 | $4.33 +68.6% | $2.72 +5.7% | 50.0% | +51.8% | $2.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.39 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.69 Liquidation 6.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 6.0% $1.13 Continuum 6.0% $1.09 | $10.69 +82.1% | $7.44 +26.8% | 70.0% | +54.9% | $5.87 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.69 Liquidation 8.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 8.0% $1.13 Continuum 8.0% $1.09 | $10.49 +98.7% | $6.56 +24.2% | 60.0% | +65.8% | $5.28 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.39 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.69 Liquidation 12.0% $4.01 Cat Fight 12.0% $1.13 Continuum 12.0% $1.09 | $10.69 +160.1% | $4.97 +20.8% | 40.0% | +90.5% | $4.11 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.69 Liquidation 14.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 14.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 14.0% $2.13 | $10.49 +139.0% | $5.20 +18.5% | 44.0% | +71.9% | $4.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.39 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.69 Liquidation 16.0% $7.67 Cat Fight 16.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 16.0% $2.14 | $10.69 +173.5% | $4.57 +16.8% | 36.0% | +77.6% | $3.91 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  15.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  15.0% $77.69 Ice Coaled  23.3% $24.72 Smoking Kills  23.3% $18.88 Mirror Mosaic  23.3% $17.05 | $103.76 +189.6% | $41.37 +15.5% | 30.0% | +92.7% | $35.83 | — |