The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items

Battle-Scarred -16.0%Factory New +32.4%Field-Tested +7.4%Minimal Wear +13.2%Well-Worn -16.5%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™

Inputs

Amberline

8x $1.91

Urban Sovereign

1x $3.19

Heat

1x $2.00

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

30.0% $45.29

Eco

3.3% $23.04

Monkey Business

3.3% $17.62

Djinn

3.3% $16.05

Deathgaze

30.0% $10.08

Kintsugi

30.0% $7.96

Max Win

$45.29 (+81.1%)

EV (ROI %)

$20.89 (-16.5%)

Win %

30.0%

Volatility

+65.1%

Cost

$25.01

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $25.01

Ask Price EV $20.89 (-16.5%)

Bid Price EV $19.03 (-23.9%)

Ask Profit $-4.12 (-16.5%)

Bid Profit $-5.98 (-23.9%)

Liquidity Gap $1.86 (+7.4%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$4.12

Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.98

Risk

Win Probability 30.0%

Loss Probability 70.0%

Best Case $45.29 (+81.1%)

Worst Case $7.96 (-68.2%)

Volatility +65.1%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%

Avg Win +$20.27

Avg Loss -$14.58

Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-68.2%)

Std Dev $16.28

Avg Norm Float 0.4250

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 9m

Oldest Output Price 143h 33m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Safe

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.91 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.93 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Field-Tested

$3.18 Float: HIDDEN

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

—

Field-Tested

$3.19 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Field-Tested

$3.52 Float: HIDDEN

MAG-7 | Heat

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.00 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 56S //TOTAL COST $25.01 //ASK PRICE EV $20.89 //BID PRICE EV $19.03 //ASK PROFIT $-4.12 (-16.5%) //BID PROFIT $-5.98 (-23.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +65.1% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 9,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 1,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.425,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.425,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:58.021612Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.425,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 10.0805,
      "optimistic_value": 10,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:13.822000Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.425,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4fa9c490db80",
      "realistic_value": 16.053,
      "optimistic_value": 15.99,
      "output_full_name": "FAMAS | Djinn",
      "conservative_value": 14.81,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:24.061505Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4fa9c490db80.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.44000000000000006,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-b2a5203033ee",
      "realistic_value": 17.6215,
      "optimistic_value": 16.61,
      "output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business",
      "conservative_value": 15.73,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:24:39.767357Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2a5203033ee.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.41874999999999996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5224ccf55371",
      "realistic_value": 23.042,
      "optimistic_value": 23,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Eco",
      "conservative_value": 21.68,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:34.101941Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5224ccf55371.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_ee8a12f62246083526b6655e",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.91,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472790737643639",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.93,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "515242588554990853",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "502857689861474128",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "492724590626648601",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "497228024527485521",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2,
      "skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
      "listing_id": "490472625092202135",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:05.935837Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:9+collection-set-community-7:1"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Eco 3.3% $203.43 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Djinn 3.3% $64.25 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Monkey Business 3.3% $18.89	$290.04 +185.1%	$134.66 +32.4%	33.3%	+103.4%	$101.73	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Eco 3.3% $30.82 Djinn 3.3% $25.56 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.11 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.75 Monkey Business 3.3% $18.89	$126.41 +165.6%	$53.89 +13.2%	30.0%	+99.8%	$47.59	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Eco 3.3% $30.82 Djinn 3.3% $18.92 Monkey Business 3.3% $17.62 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.72	$63.86 +138.8%	$28.71 +7.4%	33.3%	+87.1%	$26.74	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Eco 6.7% $203.43 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Djinn 6.7% $64.25 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Monkey Business 6.7% $18.89	$290.04 +185.9%	$130.31 +28.4%	33.3%	+101.8%	$101.45	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma 2 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Eco 10.0% $203.43 Monkey Business 10.0% $104.94 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Djinn 10.0% $64.25 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47	$290.04 +173.7%	$134.57 +27.0%	33.3%	+89.8%	$105.98	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Chroma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Eco 13.3% $203.43 Monkey Business 13.3% $104.94 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Djinn 13.3% $64.25 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47	$290.04 +173.2%	$133.09 +25.4%	33.3%	+85.6%	$106.15	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Chroma 2 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Eco 16.7% $203.43 Monkey Business 16.7% $104.94 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Djinn 16.7% $64.25 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47	$290.04 +162.7%	$131.61 +19.2%	33.3%	+78.3%	$110.39	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Chroma 2 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Eco 20.0% $203.43 Monkey Business 20.0% $104.94 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Djinn 20.0% $64.25 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47	$290.04 +149.9%	$130.13 +12.1%	33.3%	+70.3%	$116.07	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Worm God 5.0% $9.87 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Heat 5.0% $3.27 Galigator 16.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.23	$10.69 +131.5%	$5.12 +10.8%	37.0%	+59.5%	$4.62	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma 2 Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Neon Rider 15.0% $189.07 Hyper Beast 15.0% $186.83 Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54	$189.07 +60.5%	$142.70 +21.2%	65.0%	+28.1%	$117.78	—