The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Urban Sovereign
8x $3.19
Amberline
1x $3.52
Heat
1x $3.56
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
Eco
3.3% $30.82
Djinn
3.3% $25.56
Kintsugi
30.0% $23.11
Deathgaze
30.0% $21.75
Monkey Business
3.3% $18.89
Max Win
$126.41 (+165.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$53.89 (+13.2%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+99.8%
Cost
$47.59
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $47.59
Ask Price EV $53.89 (+13.2%)
Bid Price EV $48.01 (+0.9%)
Ask Profit $6.30 (+13.2%)
Bid Profit $0.42 (+0.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.88 (+12.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$6.30
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.42
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $126.41 (+165.6%)
Worst Case $18.89 (-60.3%)
Volatility +99.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$78.82
Avg Loss -$24.78
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.75 (-54.3%)
Std Dev $47.51
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 143h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Field-Tested
$3.56 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 56S //TOTAL COST $47.59 //ASK PRICE EV $53.89 //BID PRICE EV $48.01 //ASK PROFIT $6.30 (+13.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.42 (+0.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +99.8% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$126.41
+$78.82
+165.6%
$112.39
+$64.80
+136.2%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$30.82
-$16.77
-35.2%
$27.80
-$19.79
-41.6%
$3.02
9.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$25.56
-$22.03
-46.3%
$23.26
-$24.33
-51.1%
$2.30
9.0%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$23.11
-$24.48
-51.4%
$20.66
-$26.93
-56.6%
$2.45
10.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$21.75
-$25.84
-54.3%
$19.38
-$28.21
-59.3%
$2.37
10.9%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$18.89
-$28.70
-60.3%
$17.45
-$30.14
-63.3%
$1.44
7.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.1145,
"optimistic_value": 22.95,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.895772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.753,
"optimistic_value": 21.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:00.741590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4fa9c490db80",
"realistic_value": 25.5565,
"optimistic_value": 23.46,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Djinn",
"conservative_value": 23.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:25:07.497326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4fa9c490db80.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.21985600000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b2a5203033ee",
"realistic_value": 18.894,
"optimistic_value": 18.25,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business",
"conservative_value": 17.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:14.186939Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2a5203033ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.21236500000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5224ccf55371",
"realistic_value": 30.817000000000004,
"optimistic_value": 28.92,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Eco",
"conservative_value": 27.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:48.119588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5224ccf55371.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ee8a12f62246083526b6655e",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550388512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "490472790737683059",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 7.53,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116636505408218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 3.56,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "519745391322986528",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:37:35.440434Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:9+collection-set-community-7:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Eco 3.3% $203.43 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Djinn 3.3% $64.25 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Monkey Business 3.3% $18.89 | $290.04 +185.1% | $134.66 +32.4% | 33.3% | +103.4% | $101.73 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Eco 3.3% $30.82 Djinn 3.3% $18.92 Monkey Business 3.3% $17.62 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.72 | $63.86 +138.8% | $28.71 +7.4% | 33.3% | +87.1% | $26.74 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Eco 6.7% $203.43 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Djinn 6.7% $64.25 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Monkey Business 6.7% $18.89 | $290.04 +185.9% | $130.31 +28.4% | 33.3% | +101.8% | $101.45 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma 2 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Eco 10.0% $203.43 Monkey Business 10.0% $104.94 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Djinn 10.0% $64.25 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +173.7% | $134.57 +27.0% | 33.3% | +89.8% | $105.98 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Chroma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Eco 13.3% $203.43 Monkey Business 13.3% $104.94 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Djinn 13.3% $64.25 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +173.2% | $133.09 +25.4% | 33.3% | +85.6% | $106.15 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Chroma 2 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Eco 16.7% $203.43 Monkey Business 16.7% $104.94 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Djinn 16.7% $64.25 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +162.7% | $131.61 +19.2% | 33.3% | +78.3% | $110.39 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Chroma 2 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Eco 20.0% $203.43 Monkey Business 20.0% $104.94 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Djinn 20.0% $64.25 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +149.9% | $130.13 +12.1% | 33.3% | +70.3% | $116.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Worm God  5.0% $9.87 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Heat 5.0% $3.27 Galigator  16.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.23 | $10.69 +131.5% | $5.12 +10.8% | 37.0% | +59.5% | $4.62 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma 2 Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Neon Rider  15.0% $189.07 Hyper Beast  15.0% $186.83 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $189.07 +60.5% | $142.70 +21.2% | 65.0% | +28.1% | $117.78 | — |