The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Amberline
7x $1.93
Urban Sovereign
2x $3.19
Heat
1x $2.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
Eco
3.3% $30.82
Djinn
3.3% $18.92
Monkey Business
3.3% $17.62
Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
30.0% $11.72
Max Win
$63.86 (+138.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$28.71 (+7.4%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+87.1%
Cost
$26.74
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $26.74
Ask Price EV $28.71 (+7.4%)
Bid Price EV $25.78 (-3.6%)
Ask Profit $1.97 (+7.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.96 (-3.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.93 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.97
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.96
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+138.8%)
Worst Case $11.72 (-56.2%)
Volatility +87.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$33.82
Avg Loss -$13.95
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.72 (-56.2%)
Std Dev $23.28
Avg Norm Float 0.3536
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 143h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 25S //TOTAL COST $26.74 //ASK PRICE EV $28.71 //BID PRICE EV $25.78 //ASK PROFIT $1.97 (+7.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.96 (-3.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +87.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$63.86
+$37.12
+138.8%
$60.32
+$33.58
+125.6%
$3.54
5.5%
—
WIN
3.3%
$30.82
+$4.08
+15.2%
$27.80
+$1.06
+4.0%
$3.02
9.8%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$18.92
-$7.82
-29.3%
$15.20
-$11.54
-43.2%
$3.72
19.6%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$17.62
-$9.12
-34.1%
$15.73
-$11.01
-41.2%
$1.89
10.7%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$12.65
-$14.09
-52.7%
$9.57
-$17.17
-64.2%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$11.72
-$15.02
-56.2%
$9.52
-$17.22
-64.4%
$2.20
18.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.35359,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.35359,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.35359,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.715,
"optimistic_value": 11.68,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:54.230736Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.35359,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4fa9c490db80",
"realistic_value": 18.916999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 18.49,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Djinn",
"conservative_value": 15.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:59.000288Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4fa9c490db80.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.382872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b2a5203033ee",
"realistic_value": 17.6215,
"optimistic_value": 16.61,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business",
"conservative_value": 15.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:24:39.767357Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2a5203033ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.36519250000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5224ccf55371",
"realistic_value": 30.817000000000004,
"optimistic_value": 28.92,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Eco",
"conservative_value": 27.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:48.119588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5224ccf55371.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ee8a12f62246083526b6655e",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "490472625092202135",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:05.935837Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:9+collection-set-community-7:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Eco 3.3% $203.43 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Djinn 3.3% $64.25 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Monkey Business 3.3% $18.89 | $290.04 +185.1% | $134.66 +32.4% | 33.3% | +103.4% | $101.73 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Eco 3.3% $30.82 Djinn 3.3% $25.56 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.11 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.75 Monkey Business 3.3% $18.89 | $126.41 +165.6% | $53.89 +13.2% | 30.0% | +99.8% | $47.59 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Eco 6.7% $203.43 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Djinn 6.7% $64.25 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Monkey Business 6.7% $18.89 | $290.04 +185.9% | $130.31 +28.4% | 33.3% | +101.8% | $101.45 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma 2 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Eco 10.0% $203.43 Monkey Business 10.0% $104.94 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Djinn 10.0% $64.25 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +173.7% | $134.57 +27.0% | 33.3% | +89.8% | $105.98 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Chroma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Eco 13.3% $203.43 Monkey Business 13.3% $104.94 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Djinn 13.3% $64.25 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +173.2% | $133.09 +25.4% | 33.3% | +85.6% | $106.15 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Chroma 2 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Eco 16.7% $203.43 Monkey Business 16.7% $104.94 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Djinn 16.7% $64.25 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +162.7% | $131.61 +19.2% | 33.3% | +78.3% | $110.39 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Chroma 2 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Eco 20.0% $203.43 Monkey Business 20.0% $104.94 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Djinn 20.0% $64.25 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +149.9% | $130.13 +12.1% | 33.3% | +70.3% | $116.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Worm God  5.0% $9.87 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Heat 5.0% $3.27 Galigator  16.0% $3.26 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.23 | $10.69 +131.5% | $5.12 +10.8% | 37.0% | +59.5% | $4.62 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma 2 Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Neon Rider  15.0% $189.07 Hyper Beast  15.0% $186.83 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $189.07 +60.5% | $142.70 +21.2% | 65.0% | +28.1% | $117.78 | — |