The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items

Battle-Scarred -1.7%Factory New +30.2%Field-Tested +15.5%Minimal Wear +12.4%Well-Worn -3.4%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™

Inputs

Limelight

2x $2.11

Amberline

8x $1.99

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

26.7% $45.29

Desolate Space

6.7% $37.07

Bloodsport

6.7% $16.81

Imperial Dragon

6.7% $15.78

Deathgaze

26.7% $10.08

Kintsugi

26.7% $7.96

Max Win

$45.29 (+103.2%)

EV (ROI %)

$21.53 (-3.4%)

Win %

33.3%

Volatility

+71.5%

Cost

$22.29

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $22.29

Ask Price EV $21.53 (-3.4%)

Bid Price EV $19.54 (-12.4%)

Ask Profit $-0.76 (-3.4%)

Bid Profit $-2.75 (-12.4%)

Liquidity Gap $1.99 (+8.9%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.76

Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.75

Risk

Win Probability 33.3%

Loss Probability 66.7%

Best Case $45.29 (+103.2%)

Worst Case $7.96 (-64.3%)

Volatility +71.5%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%

Avg Win +$21.35

Avg Loss -$11.81

Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-64.3%)

Std Dev $15.95

Avg Norm Float 0.4500

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 17m

Oldest Output Price 145h 39m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

Sawed-Off | Limelight

—

Well-Worn

$2.11 Float: HIDDEN

Sawed-Off | Limelight

—

Field-Tested

$2.59 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$1.99 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 00S //TOTAL COST $22.29 //ASK PRICE EV $21.53 //BID PRICE EV $19.54 //ASK PROFIT $-0.76 (-3.4%) //BID PROFIT $-2.75 (-12.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +71.5% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.767827Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 10.0805,
      "optimistic_value": 10,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.660588Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.44998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ca4eb6f53d0e",
      "realistic_value": 37.066,
      "optimistic_value": 36.45,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Desolate Space",
      "conservative_value": 34.69,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:39.191571Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4eb6f53d0e.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.2834874,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-76967e1c919f",
      "realistic_value": 15.783999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 15.7,
      "output_full_name": "P2000 | Imperial Dragon",
      "conservative_value": 14.62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:22.620632Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-76967e1c919f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.202491,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9a2cefa49e12",
      "realistic_value": 16.8115,
      "optimistic_value": 16.5,
      "output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Bloodsport",
      "conservative_value": 13.18,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:21:33.526666Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a2cefa49e12.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_e8e748376caaf56915a3939a",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 2.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
      "listing_id": "524249735517787803",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:14.729453Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.59,
      "skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
      "listing_id": "494976390475710870",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:52:52.991647Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.99,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "529879287551401776",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 6.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.69 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46	$290.04 +191.0%	$129.78 +30.2%	33.3%	+101.5%	$99.66	—
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Desolate Space 6.7% $46.08 Bloodsport 6.7% $16.81 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $15.78 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.72	$63.86 +156.5%	$28.77 +15.5%	33.3%	+91.2%	$24.90	—
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Desolate Space 6.7% $71.39 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $28.30 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.08 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.31	$126.41 +154.9%	$55.76 +12.4%	40.0%	+90.2%	$49.59	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 3.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 3.3% $53.46	$290.04 +187.2%	$134.36 +33.0%	33.3%	+103.1%	$100.99	—
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 10.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 10.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 10.0% $53.46	$290.04 +190.7%	$126.17 +26.5%	33.3%	+97.4%	$99.76	—
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 13.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 20.0% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 13.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 13.3% $53.46	$290.04 +190.3%	$122.08 +22.2%	33.3%	+93.3%	$99.92	—
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 16.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 16.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 16.7% $58.69 Imperial Dragon 16.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 16.7% $53.46	$290.04 +184.2%	$117.67 +15.3%	33.3%	+87.3%	$102.07	—
The Gamma Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 20.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 13.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 13.3% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 20.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 20.0% $53.46	$290.04 +182.3%	$113.88 +10.9%	33.3%	+81.9%	$102.73	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Reboot 2.0% $31.83 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Aristocrat 2.0% $15.36 Limelight 2.0% $14.68	$51.27 +153.6%	$25.15 +24.4%	38.0%	+59.1%	$20.22	—
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Wasteland Rebel 10.0% $191.80 Mecha Industries 10.0% $153.85 Queen's Gambit 40.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 40.0% $105.54	$191.80 +77.3%	$133.21 +23.2%	60.0%	+24.8%	$108.15	—