The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Limelight
2x $2.11
Amberline
8x $2.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Desolate Space
6.7% $46.08
Bloodsport
6.7% $16.81
Imperial Dragon
6.7% $15.78
Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
26.7% $11.72
Max Win
$63.86 (+156.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$28.77 (+15.5%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+91.2%
Cost
$24.90
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.90
Ask Price EV $28.77 (+15.5%)
Bid Price EV $26.09 (+4.8%)
Ask Profit $3.87 (+15.5%)
Bid Profit $1.19 (+4.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.68 (+10.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.87
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.19
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+156.5%)
Worst Case $11.72 (-53.0%)
Volatility +91.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$35.40
Avg Loss -$11.89
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.72 (-53.0%)
Std Dev $22.71
Avg Norm Float 0.3780
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 145h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Limelight
—
Well-Worn
$2.11 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Limelight
—
Field-Tested
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 01S //TOTAL COST $24.90 //ASK PRICE EV $28.77 //BID PRICE EV $26.09 //ASK PROFIT $3.87 (+15.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.19 (+4.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +91.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$63.86
+$38.96
+156.5%
$60.32
+$35.42
+142.2%
$3.54
5.5%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$46.08
+$21.18
+85.1%
$37.23
+$12.33
+49.5%
$8.85
19.2%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$16.81
-$8.09
-32.5%
$13.18
-$11.72
-47.1%
$3.63
21.6%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$15.78
-$9.12
-36.6%
$14.62
-$10.28
-41.3%
$1.16
7.4%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$12.65
-$12.25
-49.2%
$9.57
-$15.33
-61.6%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$11.72
-$13.18
-53.0%
$11.68
-$13.22
-53.1%
$0.04
0.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.378,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.378,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.378,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.715,
"optimistic_value": 11.68,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 11.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.553427Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.378,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ca4eb6f53d0e",
"realistic_value": 46.0805,
"optimistic_value": 45.58,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Desolate Space",
"conservative_value": 37.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:20.003622Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4eb6f53d0e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.23814,
"output_skin_id": "skin-76967e1c919f",
"realistic_value": 15.783999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 15.7,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Imperial Dragon",
"conservative_value": 14.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:22.620632Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-76967e1c919f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.1701,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a2cefa49e12",
"realistic_value": 16.8115,
"optimistic_value": 16.5,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Bloodsport",
"conservative_value": 13.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:21:33.526666Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a2cefa49e12.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_e8e748376caaf56915a3939a",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.11,
"skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"listing_id": "524249735517787803",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:14.729453Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"listing_id": "503983423968335131",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:52:52.991647Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "501731789730739121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 6.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.69 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46 | $290.04 +191.0% | $129.78 +30.2% | 33.3% | +101.5% | $99.66 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Desolate Space 6.7% $71.39 Bloodsport 6.7% $53.46 Imperial Dragon 6.7% $28.30 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.08 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.31 | $126.41 +154.9% | $55.76 +12.4% | 40.0% | +90.2% | $49.59 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 3.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 3.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 3.3% $53.46 | $290.04 +187.2% | $134.36 +33.0% | 33.3% | +103.1% | $100.99 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 10.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 10.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 10.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +190.7% | $126.17 +26.5% | 33.3% | +97.4% | $99.76 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Desolate Space 13.3% $180.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 20.0% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 13.3% $58.29 Bloodsport 13.3% $53.46 | $290.04 +190.3% | $122.08 +22.2% | 33.3% | +93.3% | $99.92 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Desolate Space 16.7% $180.75 Kintsugi 16.7% $64.80 Deathgaze 16.7% $58.69 Imperial Dragon 16.7% $58.29 Bloodsport 16.7% $53.46 | $290.04 +184.2% | $117.67 +15.3% | 33.3% | +87.3% | $102.07 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Desolate Space 20.0% $180.75 Kintsugi 13.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 13.3% $60.53 Imperial Dragon 20.0% $58.29 Bloodsport 20.0% $53.46 | $290.04 +182.3% | $113.88 +10.9% | 33.3% | +81.9% | $102.73 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Reboot  2.0% $31.83 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Aristocrat  2.0% $15.36 Limelight 2.0% $14.68 | $51.27 +153.6% | $25.15 +24.4% | 38.0% | +59.1% | $20.22 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Wasteland Rebel  10.0% $191.80 Mecha Industries  10.0% $153.85 Queen's Gambit  40.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  40.0% $105.54 | $191.80 +77.3% | $133.21 +23.2% | 60.0% | +24.8% | $108.15 | — |