The Gamma Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Exo
1x $0.59
Grip Tape
4x $0.34
Aeolian Light
4x $0.38
Creep
1x $0.89
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
45.0% $12.25
Trace Lock
45.0% $4.59
Phobos
2.0% $3.71
Aristocrat
2.0% $3.25
Chopper
2.0% $2.36
Limelight
2.0% $1.95
Max Win
$12.25 (+94.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.84 (+24.2%)
Win %
45.0%
Volatility
+63.9%
Cost
$6.31
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.31
Ask Price EV $7.84 (+24.2%)
Bid Price EV $7.22 (+14.4%)
Ask Profit $1.53 (+24.2%)
Bid Profit $0.91 (+14.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.62 (+9.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.53
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.91
Risk
Win Probability 45.0%
Loss Probability 55.0%
Best Case $12.25 (+94.1%)
Worst Case $1.89 (-70.0%)
Volatility +63.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 55.0%
Avg Win +$5.94
Avg Loss -$2.08
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.36 (-62.6%)
Std Dev $4.03
Avg Norm Float 0.1999
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 139h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Exo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 49S //TOTAL COST $6.31 //ASK PRICE EV $7.84 //BID PRICE EV $7.22 //ASK PROFIT $1.53 (+24.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.91 (+14.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 45.0% //BEST CASE $12.25 //VOLATILITY +63.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
45.0%
$12.25
+$5.94
+94.1%
$11.36
+$5.05
+80.0%
$0.89
7.2%
—
LOSS
45.0%
$4.59
-$1.72
-27.3%
$4.15
-$2.16
-34.2%
$0.44
9.5%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$3.71
-$2.60
-41.2%
$3.52
-$2.79
-44.2%
$0.19
5.2%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$3.25
-$3.06
-48.5%
$2.73
-$3.58
-56.7%
$0.52
15.9%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$2.36
-$3.95
-62.6%
$2.27
-$4.04
-64.0%
$0.09
3.8%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.95
-$4.36
-69.1%
$1.79
-$4.52
-71.6%
$0.16
8.3%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.89
-$4.42
-70.0%
$1.74
-$4.57
-72.4%
$0.15
8.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.1499175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.139923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.587,
"optimistic_value": 4.51,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:07.603854Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.13192740000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d88fbf7ef8e1",
"realistic_value": 3.248,
"optimistic_value": 3.22,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Aristocrat",
"conservative_value": 2.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:33.198902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d88fbf7ef8e1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.07995600000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-78882aeeb9a7",
"realistic_value": 3.7125,
"optimistic_value": 3.59,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Phobos",
"conservative_value": 3.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:46.777368Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78882aeeb9a7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.119934,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31a18fdabe59",
"realistic_value": 2.36,
"optimistic_value": 2.36,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Chopper",
"conservative_value": 2.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T18:03:43.555073Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31a18fdabe59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.19989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1b8d8987488f",
"realistic_value": 1.894,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Reboot",
"conservative_value": 1.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:37.844151Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1b8d8987488f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.19989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:07.823725Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_dd08c9cb40ba53323b50d1fd",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-aa93f10a9c96",
"listing_id": "510738936595957618",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Exo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa93f10a9c96.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:32.726206Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "518620288313700148",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:43:09.170293Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "497228190141529805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:27.519353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "491598690698922002",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:43:09.170293Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "525375635594525443",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:27.519353Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "490472790737062311",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:42:55.983347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "512990789044548059",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:42:55.983347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "518620288313651836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:47.900006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "506235337025136948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:32:47.900006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "496102290329051987",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.825084Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-13:1+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 45.0% $26.93 Aristocrat 2.0% $26.69 Trace Lock 45.0% $15.24 Phobos 2.0% $9.76 Chopper 2.0% $9.03 Reboot 2.0% $4.11 | $26.93 +52.6% | $20.04 +13.6% | 47.0% | +36.8% | $17.64 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.59 Phobos 4.0% $3.71 Aristocrat 4.0% $3.25 Chopper 4.0% $2.36 Limelight 4.0% $1.95 | $12.25 +101.1% | $7.26 +19.2% | 40.0% | +65.7% | $6.09 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Trace Lock 35.0% $4.59 Phobos 6.0% $3.71 Aristocrat 6.0% $3.25 Chopper 6.0% $2.36 Limelight 6.0% $1.95 | $12.25 +106.5% | $6.68 +12.7% | 35.0% | +67.6% | $5.93 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 30.0% $26.93 Aristocrat 8.0% $26.69 Trace Lock 30.0% $15.24 Phobos 8.0% $9.81 Chopper 8.0% $9.03 Reboot 8.0% $4.12 | $26.93 +71.9% | $16.92 +8.1% | 38.0% | +49.7% | $15.66 | — |